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Oxford Industries, Inc (OXM) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $543M

OI Oxford Industries, Inc logo Oxford Industries, Inc OXM · US
Price$36.99
Fair Value$4.15
Upside-88.8%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -2.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
7.73% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range $4.15 – $9.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +4.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($4.15 to $9.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$106.03 $30.74 Fair Value $4.15 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $30.74 – $106.03 · fair‑value band $4.15 – $9.03 · the $36.99 price screens above the $4.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Oxford Industries, Inc (OXM) currently trades at $36.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.15, implying the stock looks roughly 88.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Oxford Industries, Inc generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of -2.7%. Revenue declined 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.0%. Net debt stands at $555M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.15 (bear case) to $9.03 (bull case); at $36.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -89%, OXM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.85 $4.51 80
ROIC Compounder $0.3700 $1.13 72
Gordon GGM $21.92 $36.32 $51.49 70
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.99 $5.09 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.2100 $4.16 $9.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $20.24 $40.08 $62.65 41
10Y Revenue Exit $2.91 $6.99 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $11.33 $25.19 $42.93 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.3700 $1.13 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $21.92 $36.32 $51.49 70
DDM Multi-Stage $21.92 $31.23 $40.01 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $5.33 $9.52 $13.72 53
EV/EBITDA $40.86 $56.89 $72.93 54
EV/Revenue $1.23 $4.86 $8.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.24 $23.10 $34.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.85 $4.51 80
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.3700 $1.13 72

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($31.23) versus Earnings-Based ($0.3700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.4%
Net margin -2.7%
Return on equity -7.0%
Free cash flow $11.3M FY2026
Operating margin 5.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-2.57
Dividend yield 7.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -41.2%
Net debt $555M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Oxford Industries, Inc., an apparel company, designs, sources, markets, and distributes lifestyle products worldwide. The company offers men's and women's sportswear and related products under the Tommy Bahama brand; and women's and girls' dresses and sportswear, scarves, bags, jewelry, and belts, as well as children's apparel, swim, footwear, and licensed …

Full company description

Oxford Industries, Inc., an apparel company, designs, sources, markets, and distributes lifestyle products worldwide. The company offers men's and women's sportswear and related products under the Tommy Bahama brand; and women's and girls' dresses and sportswear, scarves, bags, jewelry, and belts, as well as children's apparel, swim, footwear, and licensed products under the Lilly Pulitzer brand. It also licenses Tommy Bahama brand for various products, such as indoor and outdoor furniture, beach chairs, bedding and bath linens, fabrics, leather goods and gifts, headwear, hosiery, sleepwear, shampoo, toiletries, fragrances, cigar accessories, resort operations, and other products; Johnny Was brand that designs, sources, markets and distributes upscale collections of affordable luxury, artisan-inspired bohemian apparel, accessories and home goods; and Lilly Pulitzer for stationery and gift products, home furnishing products, and eyewear. The company distributes its products through southerntide.com, thebeaufortbonnetcompany.com, duckhead.com, and jackrogersusa.com; and specialty retailers, as well as offers product under the Southern Tide, TBBC, Duck Head and Jack Rogers brand name. It offers products through its retail stores, department stores, specialty stores, multi-branded e-commerce retailers, off-price retailers, and other retailers, as well as e-commerce sites. The company operates brand-specific full-price retail stores; Tommy Bahama food and beverage locations; and Tommy Bahama outlet stores. Oxford Industries, Inc. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Oxford Industries, Inc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2026 versus $1.1B in FY2022, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$27.9M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.5B
Latest YoY
−2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.6%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+2.6%
Revenue +6.7%/yr
FY22 $1.1B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 $1.5B
FY26 $1.5B
Net income
FY22 $131M
FY23 $166M
FY24 $60.7M
FY25 $93.0M
FY26 −$27.9M

OXM screens 89% overvalued. Compare with H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oxford Industries, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OXM

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Apparel Manufacturing · 212 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth -0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.23× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.06× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.37× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 48.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.70× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 89 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB kr 163.45 kr 165.47 +1%
Ralph Lauren Corporation RL $374.08 $224.21 -40%
Moncler S.p.A MONC €52.08 €50.69 -3%
LPP SA LPP 19,380 PLN 17,754 PLN -8%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.88 HK$5.92 +21%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥7.57 ¥5.59 -26%
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹39,900 ₹12,395 -69%
Hla Group 600398 ¥6.05 ¥9.92 +64%
Eclat Textile Co 1476 333.50 TWD 357.81 TWD +7%
Youngone Corporation 111770 87,600 KRW 196,629 KRW +124%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Oxford Industries, Inc (OXM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.15 versus a price of $36.99, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OXM?
Our model-based fair value for Oxford Industries, Inc is $4.15 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $36.99.
What is the quality score of OXM?
Oxford Industries, Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Oxford Industries, Inc (OXM)?
Oxford Industries, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OXM?
The net profit margin of Oxford Industries, Inc is about -2.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Oxford Industries, Inc pay a dividend?
Oxford Industries, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.73% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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