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Photon Energy N.V (P7V) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · DE · Market cap €13.7M

PE Photon Energy N.V P7V · XETRA
Price€0.2350
Fair Value€0.1200
Upside-48.9%
Quality40/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -20.3% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range €0.1200 – €0.4800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (€0.1200 to €0.4800). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (8 months)

€0.4670 €0.2250 Fair Value €0.1200 Dec 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

8‑month range €0.2250 – €0.4670 · fair‑value band €0.1200 – €0.4800 · the €0.2350 price screens above the €0.1200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Photon Energy N.V (P7V) currently trades at €0.2350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.1200, implying the stock looks roughly 48.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Photon Energy N.V generated revenue of €94.8M at a net margin of -18.4%. Revenue declined 30.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -31.0%. Net debt stands at €163M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.1200 (bear case) to €0.4800 (bull case); at €0.2350, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -49%, P7V screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €0.4000 €1.59 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.7100 €2.25 74
NCAV (Graham) €0.4400 €0.5900 €0.8700 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.5500 €1.99 38
5Y Revenue Exit €0.7200 €2.37 39
10Y Revenue Exit €0.4700 €2.01 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue €0.3800 €1.22 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.4400 €0.5900 €0.8700 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.4000 €1.59 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.7100 €2.25 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€0.5900) versus Multiples (€0.3800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €89.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) -22.6%
Net margin -20.3%
Return on equity -33.0%
Free cash flow €13.1M FY2025
Operating margin -10.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.7100
Net debt €163M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Photon Energy N.V., through its subsidiaries, builds and optimizes solar power plants and energy storage systems in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Australia, Romania, the Slovak Republic, Germany, New Zealand, and internationally. It operates through Engineering; Technology; Investments; Operations & Maintenance; New Energy; and Other segments.

Full company description

Photon Energy N.V., through its subsidiaries, builds and optimizes solar power plants and energy storage systems in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Australia, Romania, the Slovak Republic, Germany, New Zealand, and internationally. It operates through Engineering; Technology; Investments; Operations & Maintenance; New Energy; and Other segments. The company invests in and generates electricity through photovoltaic power plants, which has a combined capacity of 129.6 MWp. It also engages in the development, engineering, construction, and installation of turnkey photovoltaic systems; operation, maintenance, and supervision of photovoltaic power plants; and provision of inverter cardio, and monitoring and control services. In addition, the company engages in the wholesale, import, and export of FVE components; and project development, water technology, and other activities. Further, it provides capacity market, energy trading, and real-time asset aggregator services; asset management and battery energy storage system optimization; energy flexibility monetization, energy offtake, and clean energy supply and power purchase agreement solutions; water and wastewater treatment, water body management, water well, and consulting services; and PFAS management and environmental remediation solutions. Photon Energy N.V. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Photon Energy N.V reported revenue of €90.1M in FY2025 versus €36.4M in FY2021, a compound +25.5%/yr. Reported net income was −€17.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€90.1M
Latest YoY
+0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.8%
Revenue +25.5%/yr
FY21 €36.4M
FY22 €95.1M
FY23 €70.6M
FY24 €89.9M
FY25 €90.1M
Net income
FY21 −€6.4M
FY22 €6.3M
FY23 −€15.7M
FY24 −€13.1M
FY25 −€17.4M

P7V screens 49% overvalued. Compare with First Solar, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Photon Energy N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/P7V

Peer Group

Solar · 118 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Above median
Fair Value upside −49% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -11% · Below median
Revenue growth -23% · Below median
Debt / equity 2.86× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.30× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.18× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 40.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
First Solar, Inc FSLR $221.03 $284.45 +29%
Nextpower Inc NXT $111.50 $69.61 -38%
Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER ₹2,923 ₹3,613 +24%
Tongwei Co 600438 ¥13.08 ¥12.13 -7%
Jinko Solar Co 688223 ¥4.39 ¥4.75 +8%
Hengdian Group 002056 ¥21.64 ¥22.76 +5%
CSI Solar Co 688472 ¥10.11 ¥7.01 -31%
Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH $44.83 $22.20 -50%
Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE ₹1,086 ₹912.32 -16%
Trina Solar Co 688599 ¥12.98 ¥7.97 -39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Photon Energy N.V (P7V) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.1200 versus a price of €0.2350, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of P7V?
Our model-based fair value for Photon Energy N.V is €0.1200 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.2350.
What is the quality score of P7V?
Photon Energy N.V has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Photon Energy N.V (P7V)?
Photon Energy N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €94.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of P7V?
The net profit margin of Photon Energy N.V is about -18.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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