Penguen Gida Sanayi A.S. (PENGD) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · TR · Market cap 1.6B TRY

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.48 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The model range is unusually wide (1.18 TRY to 3.48 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range 7.56 TRY – 15.05 TRY · fair‑value band 1.18 TRY – 3.48 TRY · the 9.70 TRY price screens above the 3.48 TRY fair value. As of Aug 1, 2026.

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Analysis

Penguen Gida Sanayi A.S. (PENGD) currently trades at 9.70 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.48 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 64.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Penguen Gida Sanayi A.S. generated revenue of 3.1B TRY at a net margin of -4.8%. Revenue declined 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.2%. Net debt stands at 969M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 1, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.18 TRY (bear case) to 3.48 TRY (bull case); at 9.70 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at -64%, PENGD screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Penguen Gida Sanayi A.S. engages in the production and sale of preserved products in Turkey. The company's products include jam, preserved vegetables, ready meals, preserved boiled legumes, tomato and pepper paste, pickles and frozen food.

Full company description

Penguen Gida Sanayi A.S. engages in the production and sale of preserved products in Turkey. The company's products include jam, preserved vegetables, ready meals, preserved boiled legumes, tomato and pepper paste, pickles and frozen food. It offers its products to national and local market chains, and middle-sized retailers, as well as mass consumption channels, including hotels, restaurants, and cafeterias. The company exports its products to 35 countries, including Germany, the United States, France, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Russia, and Sweden. Penguen Gida Sanayi A.S. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Bursa, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Penguen Gida Sanayi A.S. reported revenue of 3.2B TRL in FY2025 versus 411M TRL in FY2021, a compound +66.5%/yr. Reported net income was −246M TRL in FY2025.

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Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.