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Principal Real Estate Income Fund (PGZ) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $65.8M

PR Principal Real Estate Income Fund logo Principal Real Estate Income Fund PGZ · US
Price$10.27
Fair Value$13.04
Upside+27.0%
Quality68/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range $9.78 – $16.30 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +0.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$10.47 $6.13 Fair Value $13.04 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.13 – $10.47 · fair‑value band $9.78 – $16.30 · the $10.27 price screens below the $13.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Principal Real Estate Income Fund (PGZ) currently trades at $10.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.04, implying the stock looks roughly 27.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Net debt stands at $32.0M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 12.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.78 (bear case) to $16.30 (bull case); at $10.27, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 27%, PGZ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $8.35 $8.56 $8.16 76
Growth DCF $6.57 $10.61 $16.91 72
Gordon GGM $8.78 $14.70 $19.08 70
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit $7.32 $15.77 $27.18 38
10Y P/E Exit $7.18 $14.92 $27.36 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.22 $36.37 $51.05 54
Lynch FV $18.79 $26.85 $34.90 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.78 $14.70 $19.08 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.78 $13.94 $15.81 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.48 $9.97 $12.46 63
P/B Multiple $9.78 $13.04 $16.30 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.68 $7.61 $11.36 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.57 $10.61 $16.91 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.35 $8.56 $8.16 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($26.85) versus Asset-Based ($7.61). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow $4.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.8
EPS (TTM) $0.7700
Net debt $32.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Principal Real Estate Income Fund is a closed ended balanced mutual fund launched and managed by ALPS Advisers, Inc. It is co-managed by Principal Real Estate Investors, LLC. The fund invests in public equity and fixed income markets of the United States.

Full company description

Principal Real Estate Income Fund is a closed ended balanced mutual fund launched and managed by ALPS Advisers, Inc. It is co-managed by Principal Real Estate Investors, LLC. The fund invests in public equity and fixed income markets of the United States. It seeks to invest in commercial mortgage backed securities, real estate investment trusts and REIT-like entities. The fund invests in value stocks of companies. It uses financial derivatives such as credit default swaps, interest rate swaps, caps, floors and collars, currency futures and forwards, rate forwards, and interest rate futures to invest in securities. The fund employs fundamental analysis with a combination of top-down and bottom-up stock picking approach while focusing on factors such as macro outlook on the economy, real estate cycle and real estate fundamentals, shorter-term tactical allocation shifts upon a continual assessment of market valuations, quantitative, analysis, and technical indicators to create it portfolio. Principal Real Estate Income Fund was formed on August 31, 2012 and is domiciled in the United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Principal Real Estate Income Fund reported revenue of $6.1M in FY2025 versus $34.1M in FY2021, a compound −35.1%/yr. Reported net income was $5.1M in FY2025, compounding −37.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$6.1M
Latest YoY
+37.3%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.8%
Revenue −35.1%/yr
FY21 $34.1M
FY22 −$25.0M
FY23 −$10.9M
FY24 $4.4M
FY25 $6.1M
Net income −37.4%/yr
FY21 $33.4M
FY22 −$25.8M
FY23 −$11.7M
FY24 $22.0M
FY25 $5.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Principal Real Estate Income Fund Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PGZ

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +27% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.87× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 16.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 69 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Principal Real Estate Income Fund (PGZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.04 versus a price of $10.27, about +27% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PGZ?
Our model-based fair value for Principal Real Estate Income Fund is $13.04 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.27.
What is the quality score of PGZ?
Principal Real Estate Income Fund has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of PGZ?
The net profit margin of Principal Real Estate Income Fund is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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