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Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Prairie Lithium Limited A$0.01, price A$0.01, upside +26.0%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000421893

PL Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Prairie Lithium Limited

PL9 · AU

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value A$0.0063 · Undervalued (+26.0%)
!Quality 34/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +202.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.2% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (7/10)
!Moderate moat 47/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 8 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2400 A$0.0050 Fair Value A$0.0063 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0050 – A$0.2400 · fair‑value band A$0.0058 – A$0.0068 · the A$0.0050 price screens below the A$0.0063 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Prairie Lithium Limited operates as a mineral exploration company in the United States and Canada. The company explores primarily for lithium deposits.

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Prairie Lithium Limited operates as a mineral exploration company in the United States and Canada. The company explores primarily for lithium deposits. It owns 100% interest in the Big Sandy Lithium project that comprises 331 bureau of land management (BLM) claims covering an area of approximately 25 square kilometers located in Arizona, the United States; and the Pairie Lithium project located in the southeast Saskatchewan. The company was formerly known as Arizona Lithium Limited and changed its name to Prairie Lithium Limited in September 2025. Prairie Lithium Limited was incorporated in 1969 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9) currently trades at A$0.0050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0063, implying the stock looks roughly 20.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of A$0.0100 per share, and 12 of the 12 models we run sit above the A$0.0050 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 0 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.0058 (bear) to A$0.0068 (bull), the price of A$0.0050 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Prairie Lithium Limited reported revenue of A$3.9M in FY2025 versus A$15.4K in FY2020, a compound +202.0%/yr. Reported net income was A$10.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$39.1M (≈ $27.1M) · P/S ratio 2.74 · Net margin −0.2% · Return on equity 2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −25.2% · Operating margin 83.0% · Free cash flow −A$13.6M · Net cash A$9.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 26%, PL9 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0058 Fair Value A$0.0063 Bull A$0.0068
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 70
Residual Income A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 68
ROIC Compounder A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 68
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.0100 A$0.0900 A$0.1300 61
Lynch FV A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.0900 59
PEG = 1.0 A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.0900 55
EPV A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 62
P/B Multiple A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 54
EV/EBIT A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 63
EV/EBITDA A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 68
ROIC Compounder A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.0600 A$0.0800 A$0.1100 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 92
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 13
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+124.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+202.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−22,146.4% (2020) → 112.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 445 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Below median
Fair Value upside +5.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Return on assets 7.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) −0.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 83.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.29× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.91× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)68 · sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)8 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Boliden AB BOL kr 521.00 kr 464.45 −11%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥35.19 ¥38.71 +10%
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$12.06 C$4.46 −63%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥46.90 ¥23.62 −50%
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹266.35 ₹655.92 +146%

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A$0.0063 +21%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Prairie Lithium Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PL9

Frequently asked questions

Is Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0063 versus a price of A$0.0050, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PL9?
Our model-based fair value for Prairie Lithium Limited is A$0.0063 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0050.
What is the quality score of PL9?
Prairie Lithium Limited has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0063 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0058, optimistic scenario A$0.0068. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Prairie Lithium Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0063, about +26% upside versus a price of A$0.0050 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0058, optimistic scenario A$0.0068. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Prairie Lithium Limited it is A$0.0063 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of A$0.0050. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Prairie Lithium Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, PL9 trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0050, fair value A$0.0063, a gap of about +26% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PL9?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0050); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0063). For Prairie Lithium Limited the two are A$0.0013 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Prairie Lithium Limited worth?
The market values Prairie Lithium Limited at about A$39.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0050; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0063 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PL9?
Our models span a range for Prairie Lithium Limited: cautious scenario A$0.0058, base A$0.0063, optimistic A$0.0068 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price A$0.0050). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9)?
Balance-sheet figures for Prairie Lithium Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 2.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PL9 from its 52-week high?
Prairie Lithium Limited trades at A$0.0050, about 50% below its 52-week high of A$0.0100 and at the low of A$0.0050 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0063 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Prairie Lithium Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Prairie Lithium Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price A$0.0050, calculated fair value A$0.0063 (+26%), Quality Score 34/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PL9 calculated?
We run Prairie Lithium Limited through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0063, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Prairie Lithium Limited currently trades 21 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was A$0.0050. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0063, about +26% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Prairie Lithium Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0058). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Prairie Lithium Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9)?
The market capitalisation of Prairie Lithium Limited is A$39.1M (≈ $27.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Prairie Lithium Limited is 2.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9)?
The net margin of Prairie Lithium Limited is −0.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Prairie Lithium Limited is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Prairie Lithium Limited is −25.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9)?
The operating margin of Prairie Lithium Limited is 83.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9) generate?
The free cash flow of Prairie Lithium Limited is −A$13.6M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Prairie Lithium Limited (PL9) hold?
Prairie Lithium Limited holds more cash than debt, A$9.7M net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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