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Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (PLGO) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $2.2B

PI Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited logo Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited PLGO · US
Price$25.03
Fair Value$50.46
Upside+101.6%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.19% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range $37.84 – $63.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $47.54 to $50.46 (+6.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +0.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 102% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($37.84). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$25.98 $10.98 Fair Value $50.46 Jun 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range $10.98 – $25.98 · fair‑value band $37.84 – $63.08 · the $25.03 price screens below the $50.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (PLGO) currently trades at $25.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $50.46, implying the stock looks roughly 101.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited generated revenue of $2.5B at a net margin of 15.3%. Revenue declined 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $29.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $37.84 (bear case) to $63.08 (bull case); at $25.03, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 102%, PLGO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $23.87 $26.10 $35.68 76
Gordon GGM $5.37 $10.71 $16.21 70
P/E Multiple $39.56 $52.75 $65.94 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.37 $10.71 $16.21 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.37 $9.25 $11.30 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $39.56 $52.75 $65.94 63
P/B Multiple $33.63 $44.84 $56.05 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.03 $18.80 $28.07 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $23.87 $26.10 $35.68 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($44.84) versus Dividend Discount ($9.25). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.3%
Net margin 15.3%
Return on equity 16.2%
Free cash flow −$410M FY2025
P/E ratio 5.8
More key figures
Operating margin 19.3%
EPS (TTM) $3.64
Dividend yield 2.2%
Net cash $29.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 88

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited provides insurance and reinsurance solutions in Bermuda, the Republic of Ireland, and the United Kingdom. It operates in two segments: Insurance and Reinsurance.

Full company description

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited provides insurance and reinsurance solutions in Bermuda, the Republic of Ireland, and the United Kingdom. It operates in two segments: Insurance and Reinsurance. The Insurance segment offers property, marine, asset backed finance and portfolio credit, aviation and aerospace, political risk, violence and terror, energy, cyber, and other insurance risks products. The Reinsurance segment provides property, retrocession, and whole account reinsurance solutions. The company was formerly known as Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limited and changed its name to Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited in May 2026. Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited reported revenue of $2.2B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was $226M in FY2025, compounding +34.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.2B
Latest YoY
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+23.1%
Revenue +16.5%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $1.5B
FY23 $3.4B
FY24 $2.1B
FY25 $2.2B
Net income +34.8%/yr
FY21 $68.3M
FY22 $52.6M
FY23 $2.1B
FY24 $113M
FY25 $226M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PLGO

Peer Group

Insurance - Diversified · 84 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +102% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.88× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 44
FUTURE 0 · sector 31
PAST 65 · sector 49
HEALTH 82 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 44 · sector 45

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRKB 8,562 MXN 10,844 MXN +27%
Allianz SE ALV €421.00 €369.31 -12%
Zurich Insurance Group ZURN CHF 624.40 CHF 619.80 -1%
AXA SA AXAN 888.28 MXN 1,249 MXN +41%
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A G €42.90 €12.18 -72%
Sun Life Financial Inc SLF C$114.20 C$87.83 -23%
BB Seguridade Participações S.A BBSE3 R$40.71 R$60.39 +48%
Tryg A/S TRYG kr 154.00 kr 116.45 -24%
PT Sinar Mas Multiartha Tbk SMMA 20,625 IDR 4,176 IDR -80%
Caixa Seguridade Participações S.A CXSE3 R$21.77 R$18.60 -15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (PLGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $50.46 versus a price of $25.03, about +102% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PLGO?
Our model-based fair value for Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited is $50.46 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $25.03.
What is the quality score of PLGO?
Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited (PLGO)?
Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PLGO?
The net profit margin of Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited is about 15.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited pay a dividend?
Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.19% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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