Post Holdings Inc (POST) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Post Holdings Inc $154, price $75.81, upside +102.5%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Post Holdings Inc
POST · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $62.08 – $120.72 · fair‑value band $78.86 – $194.43 · the $75.81 price screens below the $153.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail segments.
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Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail segments. The Post Consumer Brands segment manufactures, markets, and sells branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) cereals under Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, and Malt-O-Meal brands; hot cereal; peanut butter under the Peter Pan brand; and branded and private label pet food under Rachael Ray Nutrish, Nature's Recipe, 9Lives, Kibbles 'n Bits and Gravy Train brands. The Weetabix segment manufactures, markets, and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal under Weetabix and Alpen brands; hot cereals and other cereal-based food products; private label cereals; and protein-based shakes under the UFIT brand, and nutritional snacks. The Foodservice segment produces and distributes egg products primarily under Papetti's and Abbotsford Farms brands, as well as potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels. The segment also manufactures certain meat products. The Refrigerated Retail segment produces and distributes side dish, potato, sausage products under Bob Evans, Bob Evans Farms, and Simply Potatoes brands; eggs and egg products under Bob Evans Egg Whites and Egg Beaters brands; and cheese and other dairy products under Crystal Farms brand. It serves grocery stores, mass merchandise customers, supercenters, club stores, natural/specialty stores, dollar stores, discounters, wholesalers, convenience stores, pet supply retailers, drug store customers, foodservice distributors, and national restaurant chains, as well as sells its products in the military, ecommerce, and foodservice channels. The company was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
Stock analysis
Post Holdings Inc (POST) currently trades at $75.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $153.53, implying the stock looks roughly 50.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $152.99 per share, and 19 of the 24 models we run sit above the $75.81 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $55.48, and 5 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $78.86 (bear) to $194.43 (bull), the price of $75.81 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Post Holdings Inc reported revenue of $8.2B in FY2025 versus $5.0B in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was $336M in FY2025, compounding +19.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.8B · P/E ratio 12.7 · P/S ratio 0.52 · EPS (TTM) $5.96 · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Operating margin 11.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at 103%, POST screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Recent news
- Can Post Holdings' Foodservice Growth Counter Retail Headwinds?
- Post Holdings (POST), Why Is The Stock Back In Focus?
- A Look Back at Shelf-Stable Food Stocks’ Q2 Earnings: Post (NYSE:POST) Vs The Rest Of The Pack
Compare Post Holdings Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 77.09 | CHF 59.49 | −23% |
| Danone S.A BN | €60.90 | €50.81 | −17% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $24.00 | $29.20 | +22% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥34.29 | ¥37.72 | +10% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,387 | ₹724.74 | −48% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥26.77 | ¥41.84 | +56% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥25.12 | ¥9.98 | −60% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $35.45 | $34.66 | −2% |
| Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 | 74.50 TWD | 68.72 TWD | −8% |
| McCormick & Company MKC | $49.42 | $51.01 | +3% |
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Key figures of Post Holdings Inc
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