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Prudential Financial, Inc (PRU) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $41.4B

PF Prudential Financial, Inc logo Prudential Financial, Inc PRU · US
Price$121.50
Fair Value$133.85
Upside+10.2%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.61% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range $100.38 – $167.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +5.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 10% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from $100.38 (bear) to $167.31 (bull), base $133.85. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$123.93 $65.54 Fair Value $133.85 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $65.54 – $123.93 · fair‑value band $100.38 – $167.31 · the $121.50 price screens below the $133.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Prudential Financial, Inc (PRU) currently trades at $121.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $133.85, implying the stock looks roughly 10.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Prudential Financial, Inc generated revenue of $63.3B at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue grew 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at $3.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $100.38 (bear case) to $167.31 (bull case); at $121.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 10%, PRU screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $192.07 $268.49 $372.08 80
Residual Income $84.63 $96.15 $157.41 76
Rev-Margin DCF $139.60 $205.04 $275.06 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $186.15 $267.70 $382.81 38
5Y Revenue Exit $139.60 $202.23 $277.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $141.59 $205.74 $275.93 41
5Y P/E Exit $150.75 $221.91 $291.65 38
10Y Revenue Exit $151.84 $210.73 $281.07 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $156.65 $213.10 $279.61 37
10Y P/E Exit $162.36 $223.98 $290.99 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $70.01 $156.24 $199.62 54
PEG = 1.0 $25.30 $36.14 $46.98 46
EPV $97.88 $114.93 $129.86 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $50.92 $82.12 $117.45 70
DDM Multi-Stage $50.92 $74.13 $100.14 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $154.44 $205.92 $257.40 63
P/S Multiple $131.27 $175.03 $218.79 58
P/B Multiple $131.27 $175.03 $218.79 55
EV/EBIT $181.53 $243.52 $305.52 53
EV/EBITDA $133.46 $179.43 $225.40 54
EV/Revenue $120.91 $174.64 $228.37 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $46.70 $62.57 $93.39 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $192.07 $268.49 $372.08 80
Rev-Margin DCF $139.60 $205.04 $275.06 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $84.63 $96.15 $157.41 76
ROIC Compounder $98.53 $121.13 $146.81 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $115.57 $165.10 $214.63 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($213.10) versus Asset-Based ($62.57). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $63.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.3%
Net margin 5.5%
Return on equity 10.7%
Free cash flow $6.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 12.3
More key figures
Operating margin 4.7%
EPS (TTM) $9.71
Dividend yield 4.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -14.3%
Net debt $3.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Prudential Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United States, Japan and internationally. It operates through PGIM, Retirement Strategies, Group Insurance, Individual Life, and International Businesses segments.

Full company description

Prudential Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United States, Japan and internationally. It operates through PGIM, Retirement Strategies, Group Insurance, Individual Life, and International Businesses segments. The PGIM segment offers investment management services and solutions related to public fixed income, public equity, real estate debt and equity, private credit and other alternatives, and multi-asset class strategies to institutional and retail clients, as well as its insurance and retirement businesses. The Retirement Strategies segment provides a range of retirement investment, and income products and services to retirement plan sponsors in the public, private, and not-for-profit sectors; group annuities and other products; international reinsurance; investment only products; and FlexGuard suite, Fixed annuities, and variable annuities, as well as develops and distributes individual variable and fixed annuity products. The Group Insurance segment offers various group life, and long-term and short-term group disability, as well as group corporate-, bank-, and trust-owned life insurance; and supplemental health solutions including accident, critical illness, and hospital indemnity. The Individual Life segment develops and distributes variable life, universal life, and term life insurance products. The International Businesses segment develops and distributes life insurance, retirement products, investment products, and certain accident and health products. The company provides its products and services to individual and institutional customers through its proprietary and third-party distribution networks, financial professionals, and trusted partnerships. Prudential Financial, Inc. was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Newark, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Prudential Financial, Inc reported revenue of $60.8B in FY2025 versus $71.1B in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was $3.6B in FY2025, compounding −20.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$60.8B
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+3.8%
Revenue −3.9%/yr
FY21 $71.1B
FY22 $57.0B
FY23 $54.3B
FY24 $70.7B
FY25 $60.8B
Net income −20.3%/yr
FY21 $8.9B
FY22 −$1.6B
FY23 $2.5B
FY24 $2.7B
FY25 $3.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Prudential Financial, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PRU

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Insurance - Life · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.66× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.27× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.65× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.29× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 47 · sector 28
FUTURE 77 · sector 44
PAST 43 · sector 42
HEALTH 67 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 92 · sector 54

Insider activity: 88/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥38.72 ¥70.87 +83%
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥49.60 ¥96.76 +95%
AIA Group 1299 HK$75.55 HK$7.88 -90%
Manulife Financial Corporation MFC C$58.52 C$45.13 -23%
Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO C$92.34 C$59.64 -35%
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹438.30 ₹590.43 +35%
Fubon Financial Holding 2881 124.50 TWD 115.05 TWD -8%
Cathay Financial Holding 2882 94.00 TWD 94.95 TWD +1%
Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 337,500 KRW 166,710 KRW -51%
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥29.75 ¥59.50 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Prudential Financial, Inc (PRU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $133.85 versus a price of $121.50, about +10% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PRU?
Our model-based fair value for Prudential Financial, Inc is $133.85 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $121.50.
What is the quality score of PRU?
Prudential Financial, Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Prudential Financial, Inc (PRU)?
Prudential Financial, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $63.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PRU?
The net profit margin of Prudential Financial, Inc is about 5.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Prudential Financial, Inc pay a dividend?
Prudential Financial, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.41% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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