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Pason Systems Inc (PSI) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CA · Market cap C$996M

PS Pason Systems Inc PSI · TO
PriceC$12.39
Fair ValueC$9.60
Upside-22.5%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.3% net margin
generates free cash flow
4.02% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range C$7.20 – C$12.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −4.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$12.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$16.98 C$6.11 Fair Value C$9.60 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$6.11 – C$16.98 · fair‑value band C$7.20 – C$12.00 · the C$12.39 price screens above the C$9.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Pason Systems Inc (PSI) currently trades at C$12.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$9.60, implying the stock looks roughly 22.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Pason Systems Inc generated revenue of C$409M at a net margin of 11.3%. Revenue declined 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$23.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$7.20 (bear case) to C$12.00 (bull case); at C$12.39, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -23%, PSI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income C$5.34 C$5.88 C$7.49 76
Growth DCF C$9.72 C$14.72 C$21.79 72
Gordon GGM C$4.08 C$7.35 C$10.12 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$9.83 C$15.46 C$23.93 38
Owner Earnings C$9.07 C$14.22 C$21.95 31
5Y Revenue Exit C$7.06 C$10.49 C$14.95 39
5Y EBITDA Exit C$9.00 C$14.44 C$21.12 41
5Y P/E Exit C$8.38 C$13.18 C$18.53 38
10Y Revenue Exit C$7.91 C$11.32 C$16.19 36
10Y EBITDA Exit C$9.21 C$13.95 C$20.84 37
10Y P/E Exit C$8.83 C$13.11 C$18.89 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$4.66 C$20.70 C$28.35 54
Lynch FV C$5.37 C$7.67 C$9.97 50
PEG = 1.0 C$5.37 C$7.67 C$9.97 46
EPV C$7.61 C$8.52 C$9.27 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM C$4.08 C$7.35 C$10.12 70
DDM Multi-Stage C$4.08 C$6.72 C$7.85 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$7.20 C$9.60 C$12.00 63
P/S Multiple C$4.87 C$6.49 C$8.11 58
P/B Multiple C$8.40 C$11.19 C$13.99 55
EV/EBIT C$9.11 C$11.81 C$14.52 53
EV/EBITDA C$9.27 C$12.03 C$14.80 54
EV/Revenue C$5.52 C$7.46 C$9.41 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$3.11 C$4.17 C$6.22 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$9.72 C$14.72 C$21.79 72
Rev-Margin DCF C$7.06 C$10.51 C$14.93 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$5.34 C$5.88 C$7.49 76
ROIC Compounder C$8.07 C$9.97 C$12.36 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$7.15 C$10.22 C$13.29 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$13.18) versus Asset-Based (C$4.17). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$409M
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.5%
Net margin 11.3%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow C$65.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 21.4
More key figures
Operating margin 17.3%
EPS (TTM) C$0.6000
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -32.8%
Net cash C$23.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pason Systems Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides instrumentation and data management systems for oil and gas drilling in Canada, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Pason Systems Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides instrumentation and data management systems for oil and gas drilling in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers AutoDriller, which delivers smooth payout to maximized rate of penetration and bit life; Communications, a suite of IT solutions that ensures effective collaboration between rig and office; DAS, an automation software delivering faster drilling and reduced wear; DataHub with Pason Live, a cloud service hosting customer well information along with a suite of real-time viewing applications; and DataLink, which connects the drilling data to the real time centres and third party. It also offers Electronic Choke Actuator, which remotely controls the choke valve from the doghouse, rig floor, or other locations on site; Electronic Drilling Recorder, a network of sensors, software, and displays providing real-time drilling data to rig site personnel; Gas Analyzer, which detects changes in relative volume of gases; Hazardous Gas Alarm System, a system that detects the presence of hazardous gases providing visible and audible alerts; Mud Analyzer, an automated rheology measurement in real-time; Pit Volume Totalizer, which measures tank volumes and flow rates from the mud system; and Toolface Control, a directional automation software. In addition, the company provides phone, chat, field, proactive monitoring, and drilling optimization support services, as well as office support services for data integration. It serves drilling contractors and other oilfield service companies, as well as solar power and energy storage industry. Pason Systems Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pason Systems Inc reported revenue of C$419M in FY2025 versus C$207M in FY2021, a compound +19.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$53.2M in FY2025, compounding +11.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$419M
Latest YoY
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+21.8%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+17.3%
Revenue +19.3%/yr
FY21 C$207M
FY22 C$335M
FY23 C$369M
FY24 C$414M
FY25 C$419M
Net income +11.9%/yr
FY21 C$33.8M
FY22 C$108M
FY23 C$97.5M
FY24 C$122M
FY25 C$53.2M

PSI screens 23% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pason Systems Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PSI

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −23% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.48× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.75× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.24× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 3 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 37 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 80 · sector 31

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SLB N.V SLBN 836.00 MXN 533.97 MXN -36%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $55.95 $33.55 -40%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $74.57 $27.57 -63%
Halliburton Company HAL $35.22 $21.50 -39%
Tenaris S.A TS $57.16 $45.68 -20%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥138.79 ¥34.17 -75%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.20 €2.72 -35%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 319.00 kr 227.98 -29%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.08 ¥12.64 +5%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €188.10 €95.01 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pason Systems Inc (PSI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$9.60 versus a price of C$12.39, about −23% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PSI?
Our model-based fair value for Pason Systems Inc is C$9.60 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$12.39.
What is the quality score of PSI?
Pason Systems Inc has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pason Systems Inc (PSI)?
Pason Systems Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$409M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PSI?
The net profit margin of Pason Systems Inc is about 11.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Pason Systems Inc pay a dividend?
Pason Systems Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.61% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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