PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of PT Astra International Tbk $0.26, price $0.28, upside -7.9%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1277 – $0.3970 · fair‑value band $0.1672 – $0.3372 · the $0.2785 price screens above the $0.2566 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Astra International Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction, energy, agri, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and property businesses in Indonesia and internationally.
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PT Astra International Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction, energy, agri, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and property businesses in Indonesia and internationally. It operates in Automotive, Financial Services, Heavy Equipment and Mining, construction, and energy, infrastructure and logistics, Agribusiness, Information Technology, and Property segments. The Automotive segment includes car, motorcycle, component, and others. Its Financial Services segment engages in car, motorcycle, heavy equipment financing, and Insurance. The Heavy Equipment and Mining, construction, and energy segment engages in construction machines, mining contractor, mining, and construction. Its infrastructure and logistics segment includes infrastructure and logistics value chain services; Agribusiness segment include oil palm plantations and their derivative products. The Information Technology segment comprises document solutions, IT Solutions, and office solutions; and Property development segment. The company also engages in sales of spare parts, heavy equipment and rental services, mining and related services. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Astra International Tbk is a subsidiary of Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited.
Stock analysis
PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF) currently trades at $0.2785, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2566, implying the stock looks roughly 8.5% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 24 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.1672 (bear) to $0.3372 (bull), the price of $0.2785 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
PT Astra International Tbk reported revenue of 324T IDR in FY2025 versus 233T IDR in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was 32.9T IDR in FY2025, compounding +12.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $11.3B · P/E ratio 7.0 · P/S ratio 0.71 · EPS (TTM) $0.0400 · Net margin 10.1% · Return on equity 13.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9% · Revenue (TTM) 334T IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at −8%, PTAIF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1672Fair Value $0.2566Bull $0.3372
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0293 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.8% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10% vs 8%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 12%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in IDR, Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.6% a year for the price and +0.5% for the forecasts.
Compare PT Astra International Tbk with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 378 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside−8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Return on assets5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.17× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Astra International Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTAIF
Frequently asked questions
Is PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2566 versus a price of $0.2785, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PTAIF?
Our model-based fair value for PT Astra International Tbk is $0.2566 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2785.
What is the quality score of PTAIF?
PT Astra International Tbk has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2566 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1672, optimistic scenario $0.3372. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Astra International Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2566, about −8% upside versus a price of $0.2785 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.1672, optimistic scenario $0.3372. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
PT Astra International Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 334T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PT Astra International Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by -9.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PTAIF use?
Our models discount PT Astra International Tbk at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PT Astra International Tbk that is -9.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PT Astra International Tbk grew +13.1 % a year. The price currently implies -9.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PT Astra International Tbk (-9.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.05 %: that much free cash flow PT Astra International Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Astra International Tbk it is $0.2566 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.2785. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Astra International Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PTAIF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.2785, fair value $0.2566, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PTAIF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2785); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2566). For PT Astra International Tbk the two are $0.0219 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Astra International Tbk worth?
The market values PT Astra International Tbk at about $11.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.2785; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2566 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PTAIF?
Our models span a range for PT Astra International Tbk: cautious scenario $0.1672, base $0.2566, optimistic $0.3372 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.2785). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PTAIF?
PT Astra International Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2566 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 3.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Astra International Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.3%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Astra International Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Poste Italiane S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Astra International Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.2785, calculated fair value $0.2566 (−8%), Quality Score 56/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PTAIF calculated?
We run PT Astra International Tbk through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2566, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Astra International Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.2785. Our model-based fair value is $0.2566, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Astra International Tbk right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($0.1672 to $0.3372) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF) come from?
Earnings per share at PT Astra International Tbk grew +8.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.2 %, EBIT margin −0.9 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of PT Astra International Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
The market capitalisation of PT Astra International Tbk is $11.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Astra International Tbk is 0.71 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
Earnings per share at PT Astra International Tbk are $0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
The net margin of PT Astra International Tbk is 10.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Astra International Tbk is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Astra International Tbk is 9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
Revenue at PT Astra International Tbk is growing −5.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF)?
Earnings per share at PT Astra International Tbk are growing −14.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PT Astra International Tbk (PTAIF) carry?
The net debt of PT Astra International Tbk is 57.5T IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026