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PT Astra International Tbk, (PTAIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $11.0B

PA PT Astra International Tbk, logo PT Astra International Tbk, PTAIF · US
Price$0.2306
Fair Value$0.4610
Upside+99.9%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.3480 – $0.5770 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $0.5500 to $0.4610 (−16.2%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, screening 100% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.3480). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.3970 $0.1277 Fair Value $0.4610 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1277 – $0.3970 · fair‑value band $0.3480 – $0.5770 · the $0.2306 price screens below the $0.4610 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Astra International Tbk, (PTAIF) currently trades at $0.2306, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4610, implying the stock looks roughly 99.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Astra International Tbk, generated revenue of $334T at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue declined 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. Net debt stands at $57.5T. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.3480 (bear case) to $0.5770 (bull case); at $0.2306, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 100%, PTAIF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $10,147 $14,863 $21,602 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7,909 $12,017 $16,743 74
P/E Multiple $13,535 $18,046 $22,558 63
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $9,857 $15,106 $23,085 31
5Y P/E Exit $11,525 $18,700 $26,199 38
10Y P/E Exit $10,871 $16,902 $24,257 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5,578 $17,116 $22,731 54
Lynch FV $3,686 $5,266 $6,846 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $13,535 $18,046 $22,558 63
P/B Multiple $10,459 $13,945 $17,431 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2,865 $3,839 $5,730 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10,147 $14,863 $21,602 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7,909 $12,017 $16,743 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5,632 $7,214 $18,087 61

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($16,902) versus Asset-Based ($3,839). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $334T
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.6%
Net margin 9.9%
Return on equity 13.3%
Free cash flow $34.2T FY2025
P/E ratio 6.9
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) -14.6%
Net debt $57.5T FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Astra International Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction, energy, agri, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and property businesses in Indonesia and internationally.

Full company description

PT Astra International Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction, energy, agri, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and property businesses in Indonesia and internationally. It operates in Automotive, Financial Services, Heavy Equipment and Mining, construction, and energy, infrastructure and logistics, Agribusiness, Information Technology, and Property segments. The Automotive segment includes car, motorcycle, component, and others. Its Financial Services segment engages in car, motorcycle, heavy equipment financing, and Insurance. The Heavy Equipment and Mining, construction, and energy segment engages in construction machines, mining contractor, mining, and construction. Its infrastructure and logistics segment includes infrastructure and logistics value chain services; Agribusiness segment include oil palm plantations and their derivative products. The Information Technology segment comprises document solutions, IT Solutions, and office solutions; and Property development segment. The company also engages in sales of spare parts, heavy equipment and rental services, mining and related services. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Astra International Tbk is a subsidiary of Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Astra International Tbk, reported revenue of $324T in FY2025 versus $233T in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was $32.9T in FY2025, compounding +12.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$324T
Latest YoY
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Revenue +8.6%/yr
FY21 $233T
FY22 $301T
FY23 $317T
FY24 $331T
FY25 $324T
Net income +12.9%/yr
FY21 $20.2T
FY22 $28.9T
FY23 $33.8T
FY24 $34.1T
FY25 $32.9T
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +8.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.2 pp

of which total revenue +6.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −0.9 pp
Tax rate −0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Astra International Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTAIF

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 369 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 16
PAST 53 · sector 20
HEALTH 91 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Astra International Tbk, (PTAIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4610 versus a price of $0.2306, about +100% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PTAIF?
Our model-based fair value for PT Astra International Tbk, is $0.4610 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.2306.
What is the quality score of PTAIF?
PT Astra International Tbk, has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Astra International Tbk, (PTAIF)?
PT Astra International Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $334T (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PTAIF?
The net profit margin of PT Astra International Tbk, is about 9.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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