Thermax Limited (THERMAX) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹542B
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −11.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,359). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹1,286 – ₹5,618 · fair‑value band ₹815.49 – ₹1,359 · the ₹4,060 price screens above the ₹1,087 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Thermax Limited (THERMAX) currently trades at ₹4,060, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,087, implying the stock looks roughly 73.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Thermax Limited generated revenue of ₹107B at a net margin of 6.7%. Revenue grew 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. Net debt stands at ₹11.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹815.49 (bear case) to ₹1,359 (bull case); at ₹4,060, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -73%, THERMAX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (₹1,087) versus Dividend Discount (₹233.77). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Thermax Limited provides energy, environmental, and chemical solutions in India and internationally. It operates in Industrial Products, Industrial Infra, Green Solutions, and Chemical segments.
Full company description
Thermax Limited provides energy, environmental, and chemical solutions in India and internationally. It operates in Industrial Products, Industrial Infra, Green Solutions, and Chemical segments. The Industrial Products segment offers manufacturing, installation, sales and services related to boilers and heating equipment, absorption chillers/heat pumps, air pollution control equipment/ systems, water & waste recycling, including associated services and engineering, procurement and construction. The Industrial Infra segment provides engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) of power plants, infra projects, and flue gas desulphurisation projects, along with associated services and manufacturing, installation, sales and services related to boiler and heater plants. The Green solutions segment builds, owns and operates BOO models, energy management solutions, oil and gas-fired, green hydrogen projects and renewable energy (Solar/Wind). The Chemical segment offers manufacturing, installation, sales and services related to ion exchange resins, performance chemicals, construction chemicals, water treatment chemicals, oil field chemicals, paper and construction chemicals, and related services. It also operates cogeneration, waste heat recovery power, captive power, and independent power plants, as well as offers operation and maintenance services. In addition, the company offers steam boilers; waste heat recovery units; fired heaters and process furnaces; thermic fluid, hot air, and hot water heaters; and waste heat recovery. It serves automobiles, cement, chemicals and fertilizers, commercial/construction, dairy, distillery, paper and pulp, pharmaceuticals, plywood, power generation, food, refineries and petrochemicals, soft beverages, metals, sugar, textiles, and tyre industries. Thermax Limited was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Pune, India. Thermax Limited is a subsidiary of RDA Holdings Private Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Thermax Limited reported revenue of ₹107B in FY2026 versus ₹60.6B in FY2022, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹7.2B in FY2026, compounding +23.2%/yr from FY2022.
THERMAX screens 73% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| Swire Pacific Limited 0019 | HK$99.50 | HK$16.77 | -83% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| Grupo Carso, S.A. GCARSOA1 | 127.02 MXN | 66.21 MXN | -48% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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