Empresas Copec S.A (COPEC) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CL · Market cap 7.8T CLP
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from 10,535 CLP to 10,879 CLP (+3.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +1.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 78% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (8,157 CLP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4,457 CLP – 7,660 CLP · fair‑value band 8,157 CLP – 13,591 CLP · the 6,115 CLP price screens below the 10,879 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
Empresas Copec S.A (COPEC) currently trades at 6,115 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10,879 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 77.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Empresas Copec S.A generated revenue of 30.1B CLP at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at 8.3B CLP. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8,157 CLP (bear case) to 13,591 CLP (bull case); at 6,115 CLP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 78%, COPEC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (10,879 CLP) versus Asset-Based (6,792 CLP). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Empresas Copec S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the natural resources and energy sectors in Chile and internationally. The company operates through Celulosa Arauco y Constitución S.A., Copec S.A., Abastible S.A., Sociedad Nacional de Oleoductos S.A., and Pesquera Iquique-Guanaye S.A. segments.
Full company description
Empresas Copec S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the natural resources and energy sectors in Chile and internationally. The company operates through Celulosa Arauco y Constitución S.A., Copec S.A., Abastible S.A., Sociedad Nacional de Oleoductos S.A., and Pesquera Iquique-Guanaye S.A. segments. It offers electric charging services, renewable energy, and energy storage and efficiency solutions; and operates service stations and convenience stores. The company also distributes liquid fuels, lubricants, liquefied gas, and natural gas; produces and sells kraft pulps, panels, and sawn timbers for the paper, construction, packaging, and furniture industries; transports gasoline, kerosene and diesel, and liquefied petroleum gas; and produces fishmeal, fish oil, and canned and frozen mussels. In addition, it engages in the forestry, fishing, and mining businesses; sale of beans, rice, chickpeas, and lentils under the San José brand; distribution of general mills' products and processed avocado pears; investment in electromobility and start-ups involving energy, mobility, convenience, and other projects; and electricity generation and distribution from renewable energies. It exports its products to Asia and America. The company was incorporated in 1934 and is based in Santiago, Chile. Empresas Copec S.A. is a subsidiary of AntarChile S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Empresas Copec S.A reported revenue of 29.6B CLP in FY2025 versus 24.8B CLP in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was 877M CLP in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Conglomerates · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| Swire Pacific Limited 0019 | HK$99.50 | HK$16.77 | -83% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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