Patronus Resources Limited (PTN) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$69.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 11% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0440). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0280 – A$0.1581 · fair‑value band A$0.0325 – A$0.0440 · the A$0.0480 price screens above the A$0.0425 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Patronus Resources Limited (PTN) currently trades at A$0.0480, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0425, implying the stock looks roughly 11.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 9/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Revenue declined 57.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.2%. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0325 (bear case) to A$0.0440 (bull case); at A$0.0480, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -11%, PTN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 17 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Patronus Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for gold, base metal, uranium, zinc, lead, copper, and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Kin Mining NL and changed its name to Patronus Resources Limited in August 2024.
Full company description
Patronus Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for gold, base metal, uranium, zinc, lead, copper, and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Kin Mining NL and changed its name to Patronus Resources Limited in August 2024. Patronus Resources Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Patronus Resources Limited reported revenue of A$70.0K in FY2025 versus A$7.7K in FY2022, a compound +108.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$35.9M in FY2025.
PTN screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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