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Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Patronus Resources Ltd A$0.04, price A$0.05, upside -15.9%, quality 9 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000348823

PR Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Patronus Resources Ltd

PTN · AU

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value A$0.0429 · Overvalued (−16%)
!Quality 9/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +108.6 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/6)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 12 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1581 A$0.0280 Fair Value A$0.0429 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0280 – A$0.1581 · fair‑value band A$0.0342 – A$0.0472 · the A$0.0510 price screens above the A$0.0429 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Patronus Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for gold, base metal, uranium, zinc, lead, copper, and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Kin Mining NL and changed its name to Patronus Resources Limited in August 2024.

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Patronus Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for gold, base metal, uranium, zinc, lead, copper, and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Kin Mining NL and changed its name to Patronus Resources Limited in August 2024. Patronus Resources Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN) currently trades at A$0.0510, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0429, implying the stock looks roughly 18.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0342 (bear) to A$0.0472 (bull), the price of A$0.0510 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 9/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Patronus Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$70.0K in FY2025 versus A$7.7K in FY2022, a compound +108.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$35.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$78.8M (≈ $55.3M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −54.1% · Operating margin −463% · Revenue (TTM) −A$250K · Revenue growth (YoY) −57.3% · Free cash flow −A$13.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at −16%, PTN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0342 Fair Value A$0.0429 Bull A$0.0472
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 9/100

Of which business quality 17 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−92.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+108.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−147,291.2% (2022) → −59,313.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

PTN screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Zijin Mining Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 17 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −11% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −57% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.72× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)12 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 20

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥31.41 ¥43.81 +39%
Newmont Corporation NEM A$177.02 A$265.78 +50%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $195.57 $222.49 +14%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $42.49 $65.40 +54%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $260.91 $287.00 +10%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $145.45 $89.12 −39%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $104.60 $88.63 −15%
Zijin Gold International Company 2259 HK$146.60 HK$83.20 −43%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $27.62 $51.30 +86%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $252.78 $278.06 +10%

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Patronus Resources Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0429 −19%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Patronus Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTN

Frequently asked questions

Is Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0429 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of A$0.0510, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTN?
Our model-based fair value for Patronus Resources Ltd is A$0.0429 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): A$0.0510.
What is the quality score of PTN?
Patronus Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 9/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0429 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0342, optimistic scenario A$0.0472. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Patronus Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0429, about −16% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of A$0.0510 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0342, optimistic scenario A$0.0472. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Patronus Resources Ltd it is A$0.0429 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0510. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Patronus Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, PTN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0510, fair value A$0.0429, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PTN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0510); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0429). For Patronus Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0081 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Patronus Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Patronus Resources Ltd at about A$78.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0510; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0429 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PTN?
Our models span a range for Patronus Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0342, base A$0.0429, optimistic A$0.0472 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0510). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Patronus Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −9.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 9/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PTN from its 52-week high?
Patronus Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0510, about 48% below its 52-week high of A$0.0980 and 28% above the low of A$0.0400 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0429 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Patronus Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Zijin Mining Group, Newmont Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Patronus Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0510, calculated fair value A$0.0429 (−16%), Quality Score 9/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PTN calculated?
We run Patronus Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0429, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Patronus Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at A$0.0510. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0429, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Patronus Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0472). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (9/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Patronus Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
The market capitalisation of Patronus Resources Ltd is A$78.8M (≈ $55.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
Earnings per share at Patronus Resources Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Patronus Resources Ltd is −9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Patronus Resources Ltd is −54.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
The operating margin of Patronus Resources Ltd is −463% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN) generate?
Patronus Resources Ltd generates revenue of −A$250K (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
Revenue at Patronus Resources Ltd is growing −57.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +109%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN) generate?
The free cash flow of Patronus Resources Ltd is −A$13.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN) hold?
Patronus Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$914K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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