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Public Power Corporation (PUPOF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Public Power Corporation $8.37, price $21.20, upside -60.5%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Public Power Corporation
PUPOF · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $8.37 · Strongly overvalued (−60.5%)
!Quality 44/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +15.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.8% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!2.8% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Narrow moat 43/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.17 – $23.79 · fair‑value band $7.50 – $10.88 · the $21.20 price screens above the $8.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Public Power Corporation S.A., together with its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, and distributes electricity in Greece, Romania, Bulgaria, and North Macedonia. It generates electricity from fossil fuel or other energy sources, including wind, solar, and hydroelectric energy, as well as thermal, biomass, and photovoltaic powerplants.
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Public Power Corporation S.A., together with its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, and distributes electricity in Greece, Romania, Bulgaria, and North Macedonia. It generates electricity from fossil fuel or other energy sources, including wind, solar, and hydroelectric energy, as well as thermal, biomass, and photovoltaic powerplants. The company is involved in owning power generating stations; provision of infrastructure and charging, as well as wholesale telecommunication services; develops an urban fiber optic network on the distribution network; natural gas trading; and supply and trading of electricity. In addition, it retails and wholesale trade of electrical and electronic goods, and technology products; and provides repairs, maintenance, and delivery of devices. The company serves individuals, businesses, and public bodies. The company was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Athens, Greece.
Stock analysis
Public Power Corporation (PUPOF) currently trades at $21.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.37, 60.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $10.00 per share, and 3 of the 13 models we run sit above the $21.20 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.51, and 10 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $7.50 (bear) to $10.88 (bull), the price of $21.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Public Power Corporation reported revenue of €9.7B in FY2025 versus €5.7B in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was €295M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $12.7B · P/E ratio 21.4 · P/S ratio 0.65 · EPS (TTM) $0.9900 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 3.0% · Return on equity 8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −61%, PUPOF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.50
Fair Value $8.37
Bull $10.88
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2949 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$7.65
$7.82
$8.39
76
EPV
$13.63
$17.57
$21.01
74
ROIC Compounder
$14.27
$20.06
$26.81
71
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$3.78
$9.45
$12.27
65
PEG = 1.0
$1.73
$2.47
$3.21
57
EPV
$13.63
$17.57
$21.01
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$7.50
$10.00
$12.50
63
P/S Multiple
$7.09
$9.45
$11.81
58
P/B Multiple
$7.09
$9.45
$11.81
55
EV/EBIT
$21.01
$31.33
$41.65
65
EV/EBITDA
$26.38
$38.49
$50.61
67
EV/Revenue
$15.09
$25.82
$36.56
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$4.86
$6.51
$9.71
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$7.65
$7.82
$8.39
76
ROIC Compounder
$14.27
$20.06
$26.81
71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$5.86
$8.37
$10.88
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
44/100
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Profitability
25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
96
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.4% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+61.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+58.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.58.8% vs 9.5%, picking up
Profit margin 2018 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−7% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
PUPOF screens overvalued: fair value 61% below the price. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Compare Public Power Corporation with another stock
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥28.36 | ¥31.20 | +10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 139.45 | kr 31.40 | −77% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.75 | ¥4.45 | −54% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €23.42 | €14.06 | −40% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,297 | ₹169.61 | −87% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥14.86 | ¥16.35 | +10% |
| EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR | €12.99 | €3.53 | −73% |
| China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 | ¥3.61 | ¥2.40 | −34% |
| GD Power Development Co 600795 | ¥5.34 | ¥5.99 | +12% |
| BEP BEP | $28.42 | $71.46 | +151% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Public Power Corporation (PUPOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.37 versus a price of $21.20, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PUPOF?
Our model-based fair value for Public Power Corporation is $8.37 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.20.
What is the quality score of PUPOF?
Public Power Corporation has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.37 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.50, optimistic scenario $10.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Public Power Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.37, about −61% upside versus a price of $21.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.50, optimistic scenario $10.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
Public Power Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €9.6B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Public Power Corporation pay a dividend?
Public Power Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.83% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Public Power Corporation it is $8.37 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $21.20. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Public Power Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, PUPOF trades above its calculated fair value: price $21.20, fair value $8.37, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PUPOF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($21.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.37). For Public Power Corporation the two are $12.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Public Power Corporation worth?
The market values Public Power Corporation at about $12.7B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $21.20; our models calculate a fair value of $8.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PUPOF?
Our models span a range for Public Power Corporation: cautious scenario $7.50, base $8.37, optimistic $10.88 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $21.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is PUPOF from its 52-week high?
Public Power Corporation trades at $21.20, about 11% below its 52-week high of $23.79 and 78% above the low of $11.92 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Public Power Corporation?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Public Power Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $21.20, calculated fair value $8.37 (−61%), Quality Score 44/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PUPOF calculated?
We run Public Power Corporation through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Public Power Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $21.20. Our model-based fair value is $8.37, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Public Power Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Public Power Corporation (PUPOF) come from?
Earnings per share at Public Power Corporation grew +10.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.3 %, EBIT margin +10.2 %, tax rate +2.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Public Power Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
The market capitalisation of Public Power Corporation is $12.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Public Power Corporation is 21.4. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Public Power Corporation is 0.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
Earnings per share at Public Power Corporation are $0.9900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
The dividend yield of Public Power Corporation is 2.8% (payout 60.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
The net margin of Public Power Corporation is 3.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Public Power Corporation is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Public Power Corporation is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
The operating margin of Public Power Corporation is 17.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
Revenue at Public Power Corporation is growing −5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Public Power Corporation (PUPOF)?
Earnings per share at Public Power Corporation are growing +483% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Public Power Corporation (PUPOF) generate?
The free cash flow of Public Power Corporation is −€759M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Public Power Corporation (PUPOF) carry?
The net debt of Public Power Corporation is €6.5B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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