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Power Corporation (PWCDF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Power Corporation $21.87, price $63.28, upside -65.4%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Power Corporation
PWCDF · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $21.87 · Strongly overvalued (−65.4%)
!Quality 59/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −10.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓3.9% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Moderate moat 50/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $18.37 – $69.27 · fair‑value band $16.40 – $27.33 · the $63.28 price screens above the $21.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Power Corporation of Canada, an international management and holding company, provides financial services in North America, Europe, and Asia. The company operates through Lifeco, IGM Financial, and GBL segments.
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Power Corporation of Canada, an international management and holding company, provides financial services in North America, Europe, and Asia. The company operates through Lifeco, IGM Financial, and GBL segments. It offers life, health and dental, disability, critical illness, and creditor insurance, as well as reinsurance products; retirement and wealth management solutions, including annuities and segregated funds; and pension and investment products to individuals and small business owners. The company is also involved in wealth and asset management for supporting financial advisors; listed and private investments, and alternative assets and third-party asset management; and fintech investments. Power Corporation of Canada was incorporated in 1925 and is based in Montreal, Canada.
Stock analysis
Power Corporation (PWCDF) currently trades at $63.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.87, 65.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $41.67 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the $63.28 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $19.97, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $16.40 (bear) to $27.33 (bull), the price of $63.28 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Power Corporation reported revenue of C$37.6B in FY2025 versus C$69.6B in FY2021, a compound −14.2%/yr. Reported net income was C$2.6B in FY2025, compounding −3.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $40.9B · P/E ratio 21.4 · P/S ratio 1.49 · EPS (TTM) $2.97 · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 7.0% · Return on equity 10.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −65%, PWCDF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $16.40
Fair Value $21.87
Bull $27.33
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3932 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$26.73
$30.31
$40.89
76
P/E Multiple
$31.25
$41.67
$52.09
63
P/B Multiple
$31.30
$41.74
$52.17
55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$31.25
$41.67
$52.09
63
P/B Multiple
$31.30
$41.74
$52.17
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$14.91
$19.97
$29.81
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$26.73
$30.31
$40.89
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
59/100
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Profitability
22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
93
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.2% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
’13
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.2% vs 3.5%, steady
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 17%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.5% a year for the price.
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- Power Sustainable Announces Sale of Golden South Wind Energy Project to Concord Green Energy
- Power Corporation of Canada's Subsidiary to Invest More than CA$10 Billion into Infrastructure Companies
- Power Sustainable Announces Plan to Invest and Mobilize More than $10 Billion into Canadian Infrastructure and Related Companies
- Power Sustainable Infrastructure Credit Closes Financing for Sagepoint's RNG-Fueled Logistics Platform
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Life · 88 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Life Insurance Company 601628 | ¥37.43 | ¥49.98 | +34% |
| Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 | ¥53.29 | ¥67.19 | +26% |
| AIA Group 1299 | HK$73.75 | HK$41.69 | −43% |
| Manulife Financial Corporation MFC | $42.59 | $27.37 | −36% |
| MetLife, Inc MET | $94.35 | $54.39 | −42% |
| Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO | C$93.34 | C$42.07 | −55% |
| Aflac Incorporated AFL | $111.18 | $67.02 | −40% |
| Life Insurance Corporation LICI | ₹409.05 | ₹299.19 | −27% |
| Cathay Financial Holding 2882 | 110.50 TWD | 71.47 TWD | −35% |
| China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 | ¥30.88 | ¥48.28 | +56% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Power Corporation (PWCDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.87 versus a price of $63.28, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PWCDF?
Our model-based fair value for Power Corporation is $21.87 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $63.28.
What is the quality score of PWCDF?
Power Corporation has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $21.87 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $16.40, optimistic scenario $27.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Power Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $21.87, about −65% upside versus a price of $63.28 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $16.40, optimistic scenario $27.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
Power Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$39.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Power Corporation pay a dividend?
Power Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.87% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Power Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by -1.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.2 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PWCDF use?
Our models discount Power Corporation at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.94, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Power Corporation that is -1.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Power Corporation (PWCDF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Power Corporation grew -10.2 % a year. The price currently implies -1.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Power Corporation (PWCDF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Power Corporation (-1.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.13 %: that much free cash flow Power Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Power Corporation it is $21.87 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $63.28. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Power Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, PWCDF trades above its calculated fair value: price $63.28, fair value $21.87, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PWCDF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($63.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($21.87). For Power Corporation the two are $41.41 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Power Corporation worth?
The market values Power Corporation at about $40.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $63.28; our models calculate a fair value of $21.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PWCDF?
Our models span a range for Power Corporation: cautious scenario $16.40, base $21.87, optimistic $27.33 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $63.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PWCDF?
Power Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $21.87 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 1.6, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 6.3.
What is the PEG ratio of PWCDF?
The PEG ratio of Power Corporation is 0.84 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Power Corporation (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 10.5%, debt of 0.83 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PWCDF from its 52-week high?
Power Corporation trades at $63.28, about 9% below its 52-week high of $69.27 and 50% above the low of $42.30 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $21.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Power Corporation?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Life Insurance Company, Ping An Insurance (Group) Company, AIA Group, Manulife Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Power Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $63.28, calculated fair value $21.87 (−65%), Quality Score 59/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PWCDF calculated?
We run Power Corporation through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $21.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Power Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $63.28. Our model-based fair value is $21.87, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Power Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($27.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Power Corporation (PWCDF) come from?
Earnings per share at Power Corporation grew +2.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.1 %, EBIT margin +10.3 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Power Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
The market capitalisation of Power Corporation is $40.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Power Corporation is 1.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
Earnings per share at Power Corporation are $2.97 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
The dividend yield of Power Corporation is 3.9% (payout 82.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
The net margin of Power Corporation is 7.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Power Corporation is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Power Corporation is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
The operating margin of Power Corporation is 18.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
Revenue at Power Corporation is growing +7.4% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Power Corporation (PWCDF)?
Earnings per share at Power Corporation are growing +21.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Power Corporation (PWCDF) carry?
The net debt of Power Corporation is C$12.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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