Quanterix Corp (QTRX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Quanterix Corp $1.61, price $3.16, upside -49.2%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.42 – $65.67 · fair‑value band $1.06 – $2.02 · the $3.16 price screens above the $1.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Quanterix Corporation, a life sciences company in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The company offers HD-X instrument, a protein detection platform; and SR-X instrument that enables researchers to apply Simoa detection in an expanded range of applications.
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Quanterix Corporation, a life sciences company in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The company offers HD-X instrument, a protein detection platform; and SR-X instrument that enables researchers to apply Simoa detection in an expanded range of applications. It also provides SP-X instrument that is based on Simoa planar array technology for the measurement of multiplex chemiluminescent immunoassays. The company's products include assays include all components required to run enzyme-based immunoassay, such as beads, capture and detector reagents, and enzyme reagents and substrate; and replacement parts, reagents, and antibodies. In addition, the company offers contract research and clinical laboratory testing services, including research and clinical trial testing, and lucent diagnostic services. The company primarily operates in the areas of neurology, oncology and immunology, and inflammation. It sells its products for the life science research sector primarily to laboratories associated with academic and governmental research institutions, as well as pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and contract research companies through a direct field sale, support organizations, and sales force and distributors. The company was formerly known as Digital Genomics, Inc. and changed its name to Quanterix Corporation in August 2007. Quanterix Corporation was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Billerica, Massachusetts.
Stock analysis
Quanterix Corp (QTRX) currently trades at $3.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.61, implying the stock looks roughly 96.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $1.06 (bear) to $2.02 (bull), the price of $3.16 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Quanterix Corp reported revenue of $139M in FY2025 versus $111M in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$107M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $164M · P/S ratio 1.13 · EPS (TTM) $−2.35 · Net margin −77.3% · Return on equity −34.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.1% · Operating margin −59.1% · Revenue (TTM) $145M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at −49%, QTRX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.06Fair Value $1.61Bull $2.02
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +27.5% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−36.6% (2020) → −79.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Devices · 365 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−49% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−13% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−72% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−59% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.56× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.13× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 7
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Quanterix Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/QTRX
Frequently asked questions
Is Quanterix Corp (QTRX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.61 versus a price of $3.16, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of QTRX?
Our model-based fair value for Quanterix Corp is $1.61 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.16.
What is the quality score of QTRX?
Quanterix Corp has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Quanterix Corp (QTRX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.61 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.06, optimistic scenario $2.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Quanterix Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.61, about −49% upside versus a price of $3.16 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.06, optimistic scenario $2.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Quanterix Corp (QTRX)?
Quanterix Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $145M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Quanterix Corp (QTRX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Quanterix Corp it is $1.61 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $3.16. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Quanterix Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, QTRX trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.16, fair value $1.61, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of QTRX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.61). For Quanterix Corp the two are $1.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Quanterix Corp worth?
The market values Quanterix Corp at about $164M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $3.16; our models calculate a fair value of $1.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about QTRX?
Our models span a range for Quanterix Corp: cautious scenario $1.06, base $1.61, optimistic $2.02 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $3.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Quanterix Corp (QTRX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Quanterix Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −34.8%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is QTRX from its 52-week high?
Quanterix Corp trades at $3.16, about 61% below its 52-week high of $8.06 and 31% above the low of $2.42 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Quanterix Corp?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Abbott Laboratories,, Stryker Corporation, Medtronic plc, Boston Scientific Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Quanterix Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $3.16, calculated fair value $1.61 (−49%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of QTRX calculated?
We run Quanterix Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Quanterix Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Quanterix Corp (QTRX)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $3.16. Our model-based fair value is $1.61, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Quanterix Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.06 to $2.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Quanterix Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Quanterix Corp (QTRX)?
The market capitalisation of Quanterix Corp is $164M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Quanterix Corp (QTRX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Quanterix Corp is 1.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Quanterix Corp (QTRX)?
Earnings per share at Quanterix Corp are $−2.35. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Quanterix Corp (QTRX)?
The net margin of Quanterix Corp is −77.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Quanterix Corp (QTRX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Quanterix Corp is −34.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Quanterix Corp (QTRX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Quanterix Corp is −17.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Quanterix Corp (QTRX)?
The operating margin of Quanterix Corp is −59.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Quanterix Corp (QTRX)?
Revenue at Quanterix Corp is growing +20.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Quanterix Corp (QTRX) generate?
The free cash flow of Quanterix Corp is −$79.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Quanterix Corp (QTRX) carry?
The net debt of Quanterix Corp is $7.4M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026