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Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. $7.42, price $8.70, upside -14.7%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · US · Home Mexico · ISIN MX01Q0000008

Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Quálitas Controladora, S.A.

QUCOF · US

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $7.42 · Overvalued (−14.7%)

!Quality 55/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +16.8 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 6.0% net margin (TTM)

✓generates free cash flow

!Moderate moat 51/100

26 models, one by oneBear $5.56 to bull $9.27 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 55/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.24 – $10.58 · fair‑value band $5.56 – $9.27 · the $8.70 price screens above the $7.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Quálitas Controladora, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, provides insurance, coinsurance, and reinsurance services in the personal accident, health, and automobile areas in Mexico, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Peru, and the United States. The company offers car insurance services comprising personal cars and pickups, cargo pickups, trucks, public passenger service, border guards, regularized vehicles, tourists, and motorcycles, as well as standardized basic insurance and professional liability insurance for insurance agents. It also provides mechanical and electrical breakdown, and civil liability insurance, as well as advisory and training services for investment planning and business management. In addition, the company engages in acquisition, sale, and service of automotive glass and automobile spare parts; and salvage management and marketing activities. Further, it offers telemetry-oriented hardware for heavy and light equipment fleets, data analysis, internet of things ecosystem, and cloud ecosystem. Quálitas Controladora, S.A.B. de C.V. founded in 1993 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.

Stock analysis

Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF) currently trades at $8.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.42, 14.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $5.93 per share, and 1 of the 4 models we run sit above the $8.70 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.41, and 3 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $5.56 (bear) to $9.27 (bull), the price of $8.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Quálitas Controladora, S.A. reported revenue of 80.0B MXN in FY2025 versus 39.9B MXN in FY2021, a compound +19.0%/yr. Reported net income was 5.1B MXN in FY2025, compounding +7.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $3.4B · P/E ratio 13.2 · P/S ratio 0.84 · EPS (TTM) $0.6600 · Net margin 6.3% · Return on equity 16.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% · Operating margin 11.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −15%, QUCOF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.56 Fair Value $7.42 Bull $9.27

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4991 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Residual Income $4.38 $5.93 $10.28 73

P/E Multiple $6.92 $9.23 $11.54 63

P/B Multiple $3.77 $5.03 $6.29 55

All 4 models by family

Multiples

P/E Multiple $6.92 $9.23 $11.54 63

P/B Multiple $3.77 $5.03 $6.29 55

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $1.80 $2.41 $3.59 51

Economic Profit

Residual Income $4.38 $5.93 $10.28 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 40

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 56

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 50

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 57

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 56

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 91

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 39

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 38

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 81

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+8.9%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+23.5%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+16.8%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.2% a year

Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+16.2%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.

−0.4%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−0.4%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Profit margin 2015 to 2019 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 18%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+0.4%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+6.3%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (figures in MXN, Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.8% a year for the price and +2.9% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)−1.2%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+9.7%

Projected 2028 (sales)+8.7%

Projected 2029 (sales)+7.7%

Projected 2030 (sales)+6.8%

QUCOF screens overvalued: fair value 15% below the price. Compare with Chubb Limited →

Compare Quálitas Controladora, S.A. with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Property & Casualty · 116 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 57 · Below median

Fair Value upside −18.0% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 16.8% · Above median

Return on assets 3.5% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 6.0% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 11.1% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 9.0% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.2× · Pricier than median

P/B 2.36× · Priciest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.80× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 0.7× · Cheapest 25%

EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Chubb Limited CB	$331.37	$235.99	−29%
The Progressive Corporation PGR	$209.47	$160.75	−23%
The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV	$356.51	$279.78	−22%
The Allstate Corporation ALL	$224.41	$290.52	+29%
The People's Insurance Company 601319	¥7.98	¥9.02	+13%
Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH	C$2,219	C$3,257	+47%
Intact Financial Corporation IFC	C$250.54	C$167.88	−33%
Cincinnati Financial Corporation CINF	$161.92	$143.72	−11%
W. R. Berkley Corporation WRB	$67.66	$47.22	−30%
QBE Insurance Group QBE	A$23.81	A$13.42	−44%

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Quálitas Controladora, S.A. · Fair Value
$7.42 −15%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/QUCOF" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Quálitas Controladora, S.A. · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$7.42</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−15%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Quálitas Controladora, S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/QUCOF

Frequently asked questions

Is Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.42 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $8.70, about −15% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of QUCOF?

Our model-based fair value for Quálitas Controladora, S.A. is $7.42 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $8.70.

What is the quality score of QUCOF?

Quálitas Controladora, S.A. has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.42 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.56, optimistic scenario $9.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Quálitas Controladora, S.A. stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $7.42, about −15% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $8.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.56, optimistic scenario $9.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

Quálitas Controladora, S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 75.4B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

What growth is priced into Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Quálitas Controladora, S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by +0.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of QUCOF use?

Our models discount Quálitas Controladora, S.A. at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Quálitas Controladora, S.A. that is +0.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Quálitas Controladora, S.A. grew +16.8 % a year. The price currently implies +0.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (+0.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.88 %: that much free cash flow Quálitas Controladora, S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Quálitas Controladora, S.A. it is $7.42 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $8.70. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Quálitas Controladora, S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, QUCOF trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.70, fair value $7.42, a gap of about −15% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of QUCOF?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.42). For Quálitas Controladora, S.A. the two are $1.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Quálitas Controladora, S.A. worth?

The market values Quálitas Controladora, S.A. at about $3.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $8.70; our models calculate a fair value of $7.42 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about QUCOF?

Our models span a range for Quálitas Controladora, S.A.: cautious scenario $5.56, base $7.42, optimistic $9.27 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $8.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of QUCOF?

Quálitas Controladora, S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $7.42 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 8.2.

How solid is the balance sheet of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

Balance-sheet figures for Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is QUCOF from its 52-week high?

Quálitas Controladora, S.A. trades at $8.70, about 13% below its 52-week high of $9.96 and 9% above the low of $7.98 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.42 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Quálitas Controladora, S.A.?

From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Chubb Limited, The Progressive Corporation, The Travelers Companies, Inc, The Allstate Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Quálitas Controladora, S.A. stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $8.70, calculated fair value $7.42 (−15%), Quality Score 55/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of QUCOF calculated?

We run Quálitas Controladora, S.A. through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $7.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Quálitas Controladora, S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $8.70. Our model-based fair value is $7.42, about −15% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Quálitas Controladora, S.A. right now?

Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Quálitas Controladora, S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

The market capitalisation of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. is $3.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. is 0.84 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

Earnings per share at Quálitas Controladora, S.A. are $0.6600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

The net margin of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. is 6.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

The operating margin of Quálitas Controladora, S.A. is 11.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

Revenue at Quálitas Controladora, S.A. is growing +9.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Quálitas Controladora, S.A. (QUCOF)?

Earnings per share at Quálitas Controladora, S.A. are growing −27.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

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