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Robinson plc (RBN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 21.4M GBX

RP Robinson plc RBN · LSE
Price£1.28
Fair Value£2.27
Upside+78.0%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.62% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range £1.37 – £2.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −1.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 78% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (£1.37). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (£1.37 to £2.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£1.56 £0.5850 Fair Value £2.27 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.5850 – £1.56 · fair‑value band £1.37 – £2.89 · the £1.28 price screens below the £2.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Robinson plc (RBN) currently trades at £1.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2.27, implying the stock looks roughly 78.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Robinson plc generated revenue of £56.2M at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at £5.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £1.37 (bear case) to £2.89 (bull case); at £1.28, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 78%, RBN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £0.5600 £0.7100 £0.8700 80
Residual Income £1.19 £1.24 £1.29 76
Rev-Margin DCF £1.24 £2.03 £2.92 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £0.5600 £0.7300 £0.9300 38
Owner Earnings £0.8900 £1.17 £1.52 31
5Y Revenue Exit £1.24 £2.05 £3.08 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £1.84 £3.15 £4.68 41
5Y P/E Exit £1.17 £1.91 £2.69 38
10Y Revenue Exit £0.8900 £1.47 £2.27 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £1.25 £2.12 £3.30 37
10Y P/E Exit £0.8900 £1.40 £2.01 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.9300 £2.73 £3.61 54
Lynch FV £0.5700 £0.8200 £1.06 50
PEG = 1.0 £0.5700 £0.8200 £1.06 46
EPV £1.18 £1.31 £1.42 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.4100 £0.6800 £0.8900 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.4100 £0.6000 £0.7300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £1.73 £2.31 £2.89 63
P/S Multiple £1.73 £2.31 £2.89 58
P/B Multiple £1.73 £2.31 £2.89 55
EV/EBIT £2.15 £2.82 £3.50 53
EV/EBITDA £3.21 £4.25 £5.28 54
EV/Revenue £1.88 £2.63 £3.38 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.7700 £1.04 £1.55 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £0.5600 £0.7100 £0.8700 80
Rev-Margin DCF £1.24 £2.03 £2.92 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £1.19 £1.24 £1.29 76
ROIC Compounder £1.18 £1.31 £1.42 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £1.44 £2.06 £2.68 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (£2.31) versus Dividend Discount (£0.6000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 56.2M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.3%
Net margin 4.1%
Return on equity 9.2%
Free cash flow 904K GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 9.1
More key figures
Operating margin 5.3%
EPS (TTM) £0.1400
Dividend yield 4.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +189%
Net debt 5.4M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Robinson plc manufactures and sells plastic and paperboard packaging products in the United Kingdom, Poland, Denmark, Germany, Hungary, Belgium, and internationally. It offers plastic packaging, including PET, rPET, HDPE, rHDPE, PP, and LLDPE bottles; pots, tubs, and containers; caps, closures, and overcaps; jars, and custom plastic packaging.

Full company description

Robinson plc manufactures and sells plastic and paperboard packaging products in the United Kingdom, Poland, Denmark, Germany, Hungary, Belgium, and internationally. It offers plastic packaging, including PET, rPET, HDPE, rHDPE, PP, and LLDPE bottles; pots, tubs, and containers; caps, closures, and overcaps; jars, and custom plastic packaging. The company also provides paper packaging products, including shoulder boxes, boxes and lids, book jackets, clam packs, rigid trays and sleeves, and folding cartons. It serves the food and drink, personal care and beauty, luxury gifts, and homecare markets. The company was founded in 1839 and is based in Chesterfield, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Robinson plc reported revenue of £56.2M in FY2025 versus £46.0M in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was £2.3M in FY2025, compounding +200.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£56.2M
Latest YoY
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Revenue +5.2%/yr
FY21 £46.0M
FY22 £50.5M
FY23 £49.7M
FY24 £56.4M
FY25 £56.2M
Net income +200.4%/yr
FY21 £28.0K
FY22 £2.3M
FY23 −£820K
FY24 −£3.3M
FY25 £2.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Robinson plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RBN

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +78% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.11× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.51× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 31.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 1
PAST 37 · sector 21
HEALTH 99 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 92 · sector 42

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Robinson plc (RBN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £2.27 versus a price of £1.28, about +78% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RBN?
Our model-based fair value for Robinson plc is £2.27 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £1.28.
What is the quality score of RBN?
Robinson plc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Robinson plc (RBN)?
Robinson plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £56.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RBN?
The net profit margin of Robinson plc is about 4.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Robinson plc pay a dividend?
Robinson plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.71% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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