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Real Estate Credit Investments Limited (RECI) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · GB · Market cap 253M GBX

RE Real Estate Credit Investments Limited RECI · LSE
Price£1.15
Fair Value£1.17
Upside+2.2%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 58.2% net margin
negative free cash flow
0.10% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/12)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: Medium Range £0.8800 – £1.46 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from £1.75 to £1.17 (−33.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +1.3% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£1.18 £0.8249 Fair Value £1.17 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.8249 – £1.18 · fair‑value band £0.8800 – £1.46 · the £1.15 price screens below the £1.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Real Estate Credit Investments Limited (RECI) currently trades at £1.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.17, implying the stock looks roughly 2.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Real Estate Credit Investments Limited generated revenue of £31.0M at a net margin of 61.7%. Revenue declined 12.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. Net debt stands at £99.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.8800 (bear case) to £1.46 (bull case); at £1.15, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 2%, RECI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income £0.9500 £0.9200 £0.7700 76
P/E Multiple £0.6700 £0.8900 £1.12 63
P/B Multiple £0.8800 £1.17 £1.46 55
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.4700 £3.26 £4.57 54
Lynch FV £1.30 £1.86 £2.42 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple £0.6700 £0.8900 £1.12 63
P/B Multiple £0.8800 £1.17 £1.46 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.6900 £0.9300 £1.38 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.9500 £0.9200 £0.7700 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (£1.86) versus Multiples (£0.8900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 26.1M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -32.3%
Net margin 58.2%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow −13.3M GBX FY2026
P/E ratio 16.4
More key figures
Operating margin 92.3%
EPS (TTM) £0.0700
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -39.6%
Net debt 99.9M GBX FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Real Estate Credit Investments Limited is a closed-ended fixed income mutual fund launched and managed by Cheyne Capital Management (UK) LLP. The fund invests in the fixed income markets across the globe. It primarily makes its investments in asset backed securities.

Full company description

Real Estate Credit Investments Limited is a closed-ended fixed income mutual fund launched and managed by Cheyne Capital Management (UK) LLP. The fund invests in the fixed income markets across the globe. It primarily makes its investments in asset backed securities. The fund considers coupon or cash flows on the tranche relative to the underlying credit to make its investments. It was formerly known as Real Estate Credit Investments PCC Limited. Real Estate Credit Investments Limited was formed in September 6, 2005 and is domiciled in Guernsey, Channel Islands.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Real Estate Credit Investments Limited reported revenue of £21.5M in FY2026 versus £32.4M in FY2022, a compound −9.7%/yr. Reported net income was £15.2M in FY2026, compounding −11.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 9/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£21.5M
Latest YoY
−28.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Revenue −9.7%/yr
FY22 £32.4M
FY23 £18.3M
FY24 £31.1M
FY25 £30.1M
FY26 £21.5M
Net income −11.3%/yr
FY22 £24.6M
FY23 £20.6M
FY24 £21.9M
FY25 £22.8M
FY26 £15.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Real Estate Credit Investments Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RECI

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Below median
Fair Value upside +2% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 58% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 92% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -32% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 13.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 36 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 19 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 2 · sector 69

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Real Estate Credit Investments Limited (RECI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.17 versus a price of £1.15, about +2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of RECI?
Our model-based fair value for Real Estate Credit Investments Limited is £1.17 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £1.15.
What is the quality score of RECI?
Real Estate Credit Investments Limited has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Real Estate Credit Investments Limited (RECI)?
Real Estate Credit Investments Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £31.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RECI?
The net profit margin of Real Estate Credit Investments Limited is about 61.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 61.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Real Estate Credit Investments Limited pay a dividend?
Real Estate Credit Investments Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.10% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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