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Redsense Medical AB (REDS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Redsense Medical AB SEK 1.11, price SEK 3.26, upside -66.0%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Healthcare · SE · ISIN SE0006965158

RM Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Redsense Medical AB

REDS · ST

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value kr 1.11 · Strongly overvalued (−66%)
!Quality 36/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -10.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 29.00 kr 2.54 Fair Value kr 1.11 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 2.54 – kr 29.00 · fair‑value band kr 0.7300 – kr 1.39 · the kr 3.26 price screens above the kr 1.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Redsense Medical AB (publ) provides an alarm in the event of blood leakage to monitor hemodialysis treatments in Europe, Canada, and Australia.

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Redsense Medical AB (publ) provides an alarm in the event of blood leakage to monitor hemodialysis treatments in Europe, Canada, and Australia. It offers alarm units, such as Redsense, an alarm system for monitoring the blood access during hemodialysis; sensor patches to monitor venous needle or catheter access; and Redsense clamps to automatically stop the blood flow. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Halmstad, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Redsense Medical AB (REDS) currently trades at kr 3.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.11, implying the stock looks roughly 193.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: kr 0.7300 (bear) to kr 1.39 (bull), the price of kr 3.26 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Redsense Medical AB reported revenue of 24.0M SEK in FY2025 versus 9.4M SEK in FY2021, a compound +26.6%/yr. Reported net income was −7.2M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 72.9M SEK (≈ $7.3M) · P/S ratio 2.54 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.1800 · Net margin −29.9% · Return on equity −8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −19.7% · Operating margin 9.7% · Revenue (TTM) 28.7M SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at −66%, REDS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 0.7300 Fair Value kr 1.11 Bull kr 1.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.04 kr 1.40 kr 2.08 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.04 kr 1.40 kr 2.08 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 53
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−56.3% (2020) → −30.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

REDS screens 194% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Devices · 365 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside −68% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 39% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 7
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $103.49 $74.79 −28%
Stryker Corporation SYK $273.40 $300.74 +10%
Medtronic plc MDT $89.30 $65.57 −27%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $44.62 $49.08 +10%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $86.82 $82.04 −6%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €37.21 €35.22 −5%
DexCom, Inc DXCM $87.73 $96.50 +10%
GE HealthCare Technologies Inc GEHC $66.27 $69.62 +5%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥156.68 ¥172.35 +10%
Koninklijke Philips N.V PHIA €21.85 €15.32 −30%

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Redsense Medical AB · Fair Value
kr 1.11 −194%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Redsense Medical AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/REDS

Frequently asked questions

Is Redsense Medical AB (REDS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.11 versus a price of kr 3.26, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of REDS?
Our model-based fair value for Redsense Medical AB is kr 1.11 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 3.26.
What is the quality score of REDS?
Redsense Medical AB has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Redsense Medical AB (REDS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 1.11 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.7300, optimistic scenario kr 1.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Redsense Medical AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 1.11, about −66% upside versus a price of kr 3.26 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.7300, optimistic scenario kr 1.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Redsense Medical AB (REDS)?
Redsense Medical AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 28.7M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Redsense Medical AB (REDS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Redsense Medical AB it is kr 1.11 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 3.26. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Redsense Medical AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, REDS trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 3.26, fair value kr 1.11, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of REDS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 3.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 1.11). For Redsense Medical AB the two are kr 2.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Redsense Medical AB worth?
The market values Redsense Medical AB at about 72.9M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 3.26; our models calculate a fair value of kr 1.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about REDS?
Our models span a range for Redsense Medical AB: cautious scenario kr 0.7300, base kr 1.11, optimistic kr 1.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 3.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Redsense Medical AB (REDS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Redsense Medical AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −8.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is REDS from its 52-week high?
Redsense Medical AB trades at kr 3.26, about 36% below its 52-week high of kr 5.10 and 28% above the low of kr 2.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 1.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Redsense Medical AB?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Abbott Laboratories,, Stryker Corporation, Medtronic plc, Boston Scientific Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Redsense Medical AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 3.26, calculated fair value kr 1.11 (−66%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of REDS calculated?
We run Redsense Medical AB through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 1.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Redsense Medical AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Redsense Medical AB (REDS)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 3.26. Our model-based fair value is kr 1.11, about −66% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Redsense Medical AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (kr 0.7300 to kr 1.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Redsense Medical AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Redsense Medical AB (REDS)?
The market capitalisation of Redsense Medical AB is 72.9M SEK (≈ $7.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Redsense Medical AB (REDS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Redsense Medical AB is 2.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Redsense Medical AB (REDS)?
Earnings per share at Redsense Medical AB are kr −0.1800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Redsense Medical AB (REDS)?
The net margin of Redsense Medical AB is −29.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Redsense Medical AB (REDS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Redsense Medical AB is −8.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Redsense Medical AB (REDS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Redsense Medical AB is −19.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Redsense Medical AB (REDS)?
The operating margin of Redsense Medical AB is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Redsense Medical AB (REDS)?
Revenue at Redsense Medical AB is growing +38.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Redsense Medical AB (REDS) generate?
The free cash flow of Redsense Medical AB is −8.0M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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