Redsense Medical AB (REDS) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · SE · Market cap 72.9M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from kr 6.25 to kr 1.11 (−82.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 72% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 0.7300 to kr 1.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 2.54 – kr 37.00 · fair‑value band kr 0.7300 – kr 1.39 · the kr 4.00 price screens above the kr 1.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Redsense Medical AB (REDS) currently trades at kr 4.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.11, implying the stock looks roughly 72.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Redsense Medical AB generated revenue of 28.7M SEK at a net margin of -10.1%. Revenue grew 38.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.0%. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 0.7300 (bear case) to kr 1.39 (bull case); at kr 4.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -72%, REDS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Redsense Medical AB (publ) provides an alarm in the event of blood leakage to monitor hemodialysis treatments in Europe, Canada, and Australia.
Full company description
Redsense Medical AB (publ) provides an alarm in the event of blood leakage to monitor hemodialysis treatments in Europe, Canada, and Australia. It offers alarm units, such as Redsense, an alarm system for monitoring the blood access during hemodialysis; sensor patches to monitor venous needle or catheter access; and Redsense clamps to automatically stop the blood flow. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Halmstad, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Redsense Medical AB reported revenue of kr 24.0M in FY2025 versus kr 9.4M in FY2021, a compound +26.6%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 7.2M in FY2025.
REDS screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →
Peer Group
Medical Devices · 352 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abbott Laboratories, ABT | $100.68 | $74.79 | -26% |
| Stryker Corporation SYK | $316.44 | $186.28 | -41% |
| Medtronic plc MDT | $83.56 | $65.57 | -22% |
| Boston Scientific Corporation BSX | $43.04 | $38.44 | -11% |
| Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW | $85.73 | $41.02 | -52% |
| Siemens Healthineers AG SHL | €34.59 | €33.87 | -2% |
| Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 | ¥149.43 | ¥147.63 | -1% |
| Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 | ¥109.00 | ¥43.60 | -60% |
| Demant A/S DEMANT | kr 276.60 | kr 161.17 | -42% |
| Getinge AB GETIB | kr 206.80 | kr 192.14 | -7% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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