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Reynolds Consumer Products Inc (REYN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $5.5B

RC Reynolds Consumer Products Inc logo Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN · US
Price$26.52
Fair Value$18.17
Upside-31.5%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.51% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: High Range $10.58 – $29.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $18.06 to $18.17 (+0.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 31% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($10.58 to $29.94). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$30.38 $20.24 Fair Value $18.17 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $20.24 – $30.38 · fair‑value band $10.58 – $29.94 · the $26.52 price screens above the $18.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc (REYN) currently trades at $26.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.17, implying the stock looks roughly 31.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Reynolds Consumer Products Inc generated revenue of $3.8B at a net margin of 8.7%. Revenue grew 7.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. Net debt stands at $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.58 (bear case) to $29.94 (bull case); at $26.52, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -31%, REYN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $8.17 $12.83 $20.67 80
Residual Income $10.13 $12.03 $21.47 76
Rev-Margin DCF $9.31 $17.29 $27.10 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.66 $12.49 $21.28 38
Owner Earnings $5.79 $9.98 $17.64 31
5Y Revenue Exit $9.31 $17.04 $28.21 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $14.14 $25.28 $39.88 41
5Y P/E Exit $10.70 $19.41 $29.69 38
10Y Revenue Exit $8.05 $14.61 $22.18 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $11.44 $19.93 $29.71 37
10Y P/E Exit $9.37 $16.14 $23.13 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.71 $16.78 $20.54 54
EPV $10.45 $13.18 $15.53 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.00 $10.03 $12.08 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.00 $10.65 $13.77 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $22.49 $29.99 $37.49 63
P/S Multiple $18.21 $24.28 $30.35 58
P/B Multiple $18.21 $24.28 $30.35 55
EV/EBIT $22.96 $32.88 $42.81 53
EV/EBITDA $22.21 $31.87 $41.54 54
EV/Revenue $11.74 $19.68 $27.63 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.34 $7.16 $10.69 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.17 $12.83 $20.67 80
Rev-Margin DCF $9.31 $17.29 $27.10 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.13 $12.03 $21.47 76
ROIC Compounder $10.45 $13.53 $16.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.88 $22.69 $29.50 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($24.28) versus Asset-Based ($7.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.2%
Net margin 8.7%
Return on equity 15.0%
Free cash flow $316M FY2025
P/E ratio 16.8
More key figures
Operating margin 11.2%
EPS (TTM) $1.56
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +89.9%
Net debt $1.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. produces and sells products in cooking, serving, cleanup, and storage, and tableware product categories in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Reynolds Cooking & Baking, Hefty Waste & Storage, Hefty Tableware, and Presto Products.

Full company description

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. produces and sells products in cooking, serving, cleanup, and storage, and tableware product categories in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Reynolds Cooking & Baking, Hefty Waste & Storage, Hefty Tableware, and Presto Products. The Reynolds Cooking & Baking segment produces aluminum foil, disposable aluminum pans, parchment paper, freezer paper, wax paper, butcher paper, plastic wrap, baking cups, oven bags, and slow cooker liners under the Reynolds Wrap, Reynolds Kitchens, and EZ Foil brands in the United States, as well as under the ALCAN brand in Canada and under the Diamond brand internationally. The Hefty Waste & Storage segment offers trash and food storage bags under the Hefty Ultra Strong and Hefty Strong brands; and food storage bags under the Hefty brands. It also provides a suite of products, including compostable bags, bags made from recycled materials. The Hefty Tableware segment offers disposable and compostable plates, bowls, platters, containers, cups, and cutlery under the Hefty brand, as well as dishes and party cups. The Presto Products segment primarily sells store brand products in food storage bags, trash bags, and plastic wrap categories. It offers both branded and store brand products to grocery stores, mass merchants, warehouse clubs, discount chains, dollar stores, drug stores, home improvement stores, military outlets, and eCommerce retailers. Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois. Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. is a subsidiary of Packaging Finance Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc reported revenue of $3.7B in FY2025 versus $3.6B in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was $301M in FY2025, compounding −1.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.7B
Latest YoY
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+2.3%
Revenue +1.1%/yr
FY21 $3.6B
FY22 $3.8B
FY23 $3.8B
FY24 $3.7B
FY25 $3.7B
Net income −1.8%/yr
FY21 $324M
FY22 $258M
FY23 $298M
FY24 $352M
FY25 $301M

REYN screens 31% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Reynolds Consumer Products Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/REYN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −32% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.70× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.46× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 17.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 36 · sector 1
PAST 60 · sector 21
HEALTH 65 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 70 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Reynolds Consumer Products Inc (REYN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.17 versus a price of $26.52, about −31% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of REYN?
Our model-based fair value for Reynolds Consumer Products Inc is $18.17 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $26.52.
What is the quality score of REYN?
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Reynolds Consumer Products Inc (REYN)?
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of REYN?
The net profit margin of Reynolds Consumer Products Inc is about 8.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Reynolds Consumer Products Inc pay a dividend?
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.27% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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