Rio Tinto Group (RIO) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $177B
Rio Tinto Group
RIO · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $97.02 to $110.45 (+13.8%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −15.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $55.44 – $113.42 · fair‑value band $55.28 – $169.21 · the $95.58 price screens below the $110.45 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Rio Tinto Group (RIO) currently trades at $95.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $110.45 — implying the stock looks roughly 15.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Rio Tinto Group generated revenue of $57.6B at a net margin of 17.3%. Revenue grew 14.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. Net debt stands at $15.7B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Rio Tinto Group engages in exploring, mining, and processing mineral resources worldwide. The company operates through Iron Ore; Aluminium and lithium; and Copper segments. The Iron Ore segment engages in the iron ore mining, and salt and gypsum production in Western Australia. The Aluminum and lithium segment is involved in bauxite mining; alumina refining; and aluminium smelting, and recycling, as well as mining and processing of lithium. The Copper segment engages in mining and refining of copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, and other by-products and exploration activities. It also owns and operates open pit and underground mines; and refineries, smelters, processing plants and power, and shipping facilities. The company was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rio Tinto Group reported revenue of $57.8B in FY2025 versus $63.5B in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was $10.0B in FY2025, compounding −17.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- SSR Mining (SSRM) Finalizes $1.49B Sale of Çöpler Mine Stake to Cengiz Holding
- BHP, Rio Tinto PLC ADR (RIO) and Caterpillar Advance Battery‑Electric Haul Truck Trial in Pilbara
- Rio Tinto (LSE:RIO) Is Talking To Vitol About A Freight Cost Joint Venture
- Lithium producers warm to demand for battery storage as focus shifts from EVs
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.