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Rallybio Corporation (RLYB) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $92.6M

RC Rallybio Corporation logo Rallybio Corporation RLYB · US
Price$16.16
Fair Value$9.82
Upside-39.2%
Quality52/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (5/7)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range $6.48 – $12.27 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +3.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($12.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($6.48 to $12.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$187.20 $2.00 Fair Value $9.82 Jul 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.00 – $187.20 · fair‑value band $6.48 – $12.27 · the $16.16 price screens above the $9.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Rallybio Corporation (RLYB) currently trades at $16.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.82, implying the stock looks roughly 39.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $858K. It earns a return on equity of -15.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $31.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.48 (bear case) to $12.27 (bull case); at $16.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -39%, RLYB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $5.00 $6.69 $9.99 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.00 $6.69 $9.99 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $858K
Return on equity -15.0%
Free cash flow −$29.8M FY2025
Operating margin -4,119%
EPS (TTM) $-1.36
Net cash $31.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 23
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Rallybio Corporation, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the development and commercialization of life-transforming therapies for patients suffering from severe and rare diseases.

Full company description

Rallybio Corporation, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the development and commercialization of life-transforming therapies for patients suffering from severe and rare diseases. Its lead product candidate is the RLYB116, an inhibitor of complement component 5 (C5) to treat several diseases of complement dysregulation which has completed phase 1 trial; and RLYB332, a preclinical antibody, for the treatment of severe anemia with ineffective erythropoiesis and iron overload. The company has a strategic alliance with AbCellera to discover, develop, and commercialize novel antibody-based therapeutics for rare diseases, as well as collaboration agreement with Johnson & Johnson to provide therapeutic solutions for pregnant individuals at risk of fetal and neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia. Rallybio Corporation was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in New Haven, Connecticut.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rallybio Corporation reported revenue of $858K in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$9.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 27/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$858K
Latest YoY
+34.9%
Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $636K
FY25 $858K
Net income
FY21 −$47.0M
FY22 −$66.7M
FY23 −$74.6M
FY24 −$57.8M
FY25 −$9.0M

RLYB screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rallybio Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RLYB

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −39% · Above median
Return on assets -34% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.60× · Pricier than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rallybio Corporation (RLYB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.82 versus a price of $16.16, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RLYB?
Our model-based fair value for Rallybio Corporation is $9.82 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $16.16.
What is the quality score of RLYB?
Rallybio Corporation has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Rallybio Corporation (RLYB)?
Rallybio Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $858K (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RLYB?
The net profit margin of Rallybio Corporation is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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