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Atrium Therapeutics, Inc (RNA) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $217M

AT Atrium Therapeutics, Inc logo Atrium Therapeutics, Inc RNA · US
Price$12.34
Fair Value$11.80
Upside-4.4%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -160.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range $7.79 – $14.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −7.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($7.79 to $14.75) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 months)

$16.54 $11.18 Fair Value $11.80 Feb 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

5‑month range $11.18 – $16.54 · fair‑value band $7.79 – $14.75 · the $12.34 price screens above the $11.80 fair value. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Atrium Therapeutics, Inc (RNA) currently trades at $12.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.80, implying the stock looks roughly 4.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $36.7M. It earns a return on equity of -44.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $266M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.79 (bear case) to $14.75 (bull case); at $12.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -4%, RNA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $6.06 $8.12 $12.12 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.06 $8.12 $12.12 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $36.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1,148%
Net margin -160%
Return on equity -44.0%
Free cash flow −$42.6M FY2025
Operating margin -88.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-5.02
Net cash $266M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Atrium Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on delivering ribonucleic acid (RNA) therapeutics to the heart to transform the care for people living with cardiomyopathies.

Full company description

Atrium Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on delivering ribonucleic acid (RNA) therapeutics to the heart to transform the care for people living with cardiomyopathies. The company's development stage product candidates include ATR 1072, a siRNA-based therapy targeting PRKAG2 for the treatment of PRKAG2 syndrome; and ATR 1086, a siRNA-based therapy targeting PLN for the treatment of PLN cardiomyopathy. It also focuses on pipeline to treat a range of genetic and cardiac diseases. The company was incorporated in 2025 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Atrium Therapeutics, Inc reported revenue of $18.6M in FY2025 versus $9.3M in FY2021, a compound +18.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$76.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$18.6M
Latest YoY
+70.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.4%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Revenue +18.9%/yr
FY21 $9.3M
FY22 $9.2M
FY23 $9.6M
FY24 $10.9M
FY25 $18.6M
Net income
FY21 −$117M
FY22 −$169M
FY23 −$212M
FY24 −$322M
FY25 −$76.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Atrium Therapeutics, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RNA

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside −4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -160% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -88% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 1148% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.90× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 27 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Atrium Therapeutics, Inc (RNA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.80 versus a price of $12.34, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of RNA?
Our model-based fair value for Atrium Therapeutics, Inc is $11.80 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $12.34.
What is the quality score of RNA?
Atrium Therapeutics, Inc has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Atrium Therapeutics, Inc (RNA)?
Atrium Therapeutics, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $36.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RNA?
The net profit margin of Atrium Therapeutics, Inc is about -160.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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