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Redwood Capital Bancorp (RWCB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $60.2M

RC Redwood Capital Bancorp logo Redwood Capital Bancorp RWCB · US
Price$33.05
Fair Value$35.97
Upside+8.8%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 22.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.12% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range $26.98 – $44.96 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +3.4% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$33.65 $9.59 Fair Value $35.97 Aug 2017 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.59 – $33.65 · fair‑value band $26.98 – $44.96 · the $33.05 price screens below the $35.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Redwood Capital Bancorp (RWCB) currently trades at $33.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.97, implying the stock looks roughly 8.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Redwood Capital Bancorp generated revenue of $23.6M at a net margin of 22.9%. Revenue grew 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 11.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $26.98 (bear case) to $44.96 (bull case); at $33.05, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 9%, RWCB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $22.71 $23.85 $25.48 76
Gordon GGM $2.52 $4.22 $5.47 70
P/E Multiple $26.98 $35.97 $44.96 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.52 $4.22 $5.47 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.52 $3.75 $4.54 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $26.98 $35.97 $44.96 63
P/B Multiple $30.88 $41.18 $51.47 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.71 $19.71 $29.41 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $22.71 $23.85 $25.48 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($35.97) versus Dividend Discount ($3.75). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $23.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.1%
Net margin 22.9%
Return on equity 9.8%
Free cash flow $5.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.5
More key figures
Operating margin 31.0%
EPS (TTM) $2.80
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +23.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 98
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Redwood Capital Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Redwood Capital Bank that provides various banking products and services to individuals and businesses in California. The company offers checking, savings, and money market accounts; and certificates of deposit.

Full company description

Redwood Capital Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Redwood Capital Bank that provides various banking products and services to individuals and businesses in California. The company offers checking, savings, and money market accounts; and certificates of deposit. It also provides real estate loans, home equity lines of credit, construction and development loans, term loans for machinery and equipment, and lines of credit for working capital, as well as industrial, agricultural, residential, and personal credits. In addition, the company offers credit and debit cards, check reordering services, and online and mobile banking services. It operates through ATMs and branches located in Eureka, Fortuna, and Arcata, California. Redwood Capital Bancorp was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Eureka, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Redwood Capital Bancorp reported revenue of $22.4M in FY2025 versus $19.5M in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was $5.2M in FY2025, compounding −1.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$22.4M
Latest YoY
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Revenue +3.5%/yr
FY21 $19.5M
FY22 $21.0M
FY23 $23.5M
FY24 $21.6M
FY25 $22.4M
Net income −1.9%/yr
FY21 $5.6M
FY22 $6.0M
FY23 $7.0M
FY24 $5.3M
FY25 $5.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Redwood Capital Bancorp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RWCB

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Below median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.09× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.56× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 10.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 45 · sector 39
FUTURE 56 · sector 44
PAST 39 · sector 41
HEALTH 95 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 22 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Redwood Capital Bancorp (RWCB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $35.97 versus a price of $33.05, about +9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of RWCB?
Our model-based fair value for Redwood Capital Bancorp is $35.97 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $33.05.
What is the quality score of RWCB?
Redwood Capital Bancorp has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Redwood Capital Bancorp (RWCB)?
Redwood Capital Bancorp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $23.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RWCB?
The net profit margin of Redwood Capital Bancorp is about 22.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Redwood Capital Bancorp pay a dividend?
Redwood Capital Bancorp currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.12% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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