Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Scottish American Investment Co £5.14, price £5.55, upside -7.4%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £3.86 – £5.70 · fair‑value band £3.85 – £6.42 · the £5.55 price screens above the £5.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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The Scottish American Investment Company P.L.C. is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Baillie Gifford & Co Ltd. The fund is co-managed by Baillie Gifford & Co. and OLIM Property Limited. It invests in public equity markets across the globe. The fund seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors.
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The Scottish American Investment Company P.L.C. is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Baillie Gifford & Co Ltd. The fund is co-managed by Baillie Gifford & Co. and OLIM Property Limited. It invests in public equity markets across the globe. The fund seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. It primarily invests in dividend paying growth stocks of companies. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against a composite index comprised of 50% FTSE All-Share Index and 50% FTSE All-World Ex UK Index. The Scottish American Investment Company P.L.C. was formed in 1873 and is domiciled in the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN) currently trades at £5.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £5.14, implying the stock looks roughly 8.0% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 21 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at high.
Scenario range: £3.85 (bear) to £6.42 (bull), the price of £5.55 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Scottish American Investment Co reported revenue of £30.2M in FY2025 versus £160M in FY2021, a compound −34.1%/yr. Reported net income was £17.7M in FY2025, compounding −42.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 880M GBX · P/E ratio 17.3 · P/S ratio 10.2 · EPS (TTM) £0.3200 · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 58.7% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at −7%, SAIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £3.85Fair Value £5.14Bull £6.42
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.1141 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−65.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.6% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−29.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−32.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−32% vs −2%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.99% → 64%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+26.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.9% a year for the price.
Compare Scottish American Investment Co with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 659 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)80% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)95% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth278% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Scottish American Investment Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAIN
Frequently asked questions
Is Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £5.14 versus a price of £5.55, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SAIN?
Our model-based fair value for Scottish American Investment Co is £5.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £5.55.
What is the quality score of SAIN?
Scottish American Investment Co has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £5.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario £3.85, optimistic scenario £6.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Scottish American Investment Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £5.14, about −7% upside versus a price of £5.55 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £3.85, optimistic scenario £6.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
Scottish American Investment Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £64.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Scottish American Investment Co pay a dividend?
Scottish American Investment Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.95% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Scottish American Investment Co would have to grow free cash flow by +26.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -19.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SAIN use?
Our models discount Scottish American Investment Co at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.62, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Scottish American Investment Co that is +26.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Scottish American Investment Co grew -19.2 % a year. The price currently implies +26.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Scottish American Investment Co (+26.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.53 %: that much free cash flow Scottish American Investment Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Scottish American Investment Co it is £5.14 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £5.55. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Scottish American Investment Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SAIN trades above its calculated fair value: price £5.55, fair value £5.14, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SAIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£5.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£5.14). For Scottish American Investment Co the two are £0.4100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Scottish American Investment Co worth?
The market values Scottish American Investment Co at about 880M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £5.55; our models calculate a fair value of £5.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SAIN?
Our models span a range for Scottish American Investment Co: cautious scenario £3.85, base £5.14, optimistic £6.42 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £5.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SAIN?
Scottish American Investment Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £5.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 18.0, EV/EBITDA 54.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Scottish American Investment Co (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SAIN from its 52-week high?
Scottish American Investment Co trades at £5.55, about 3% below its 52-week high of £5.70 and 16% above the low of £4.80 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £5.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Scottish American Investment Co?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Scottish American Investment Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £5.55, calculated fair value £5.14 (−7%), Quality Score 61/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SAIN calculated?
We run Scottish American Investment Co through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £5.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Scottish American Investment Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was £5.55. Our model-based fair value is £5.14, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Scottish American Investment Co right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN) come from?
Earnings per share at Scottish American Investment Co grew +0.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.0 %, EBIT margin +0.2 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Scottish American Investment Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
The market capitalisation of Scottish American Investment Co is 880M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Scottish American Investment Co is 10.2 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
Earnings per share at Scottish American Investment Co are £0.3200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
The dividend yield of Scottish American Investment Co is 3.0% (payout 51.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
The net margin of Scottish American Investment Co is 58.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Scottish American Investment Co is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Scottish American Investment Co is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
The operating margin of Scottish American Investment Co is 94.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
Revenue at Scottish American Investment Co is growing +278% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN)?
Earnings per share at Scottish American Investment Co are growing +499% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Scottish American Investment Co (SAIN) carry?
The net debt of Scottish American Investment Co is 91.2M GBX (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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