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Standard Bank Group (SBK) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · ZA · Market cap 527B ZAC

SB Standard Bank Group SBK · JSE
PriceR324.48
Fair ValueR410.25
Upside+26.4%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 28.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Wide moat 76/100
Evidence: High Range R307.69 – R512.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +4.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 26% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R329.06 R80.21 Fair Value R410.25 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R80.21 – R329.06 · fair‑value band R307.69 – R512.82 · the R324.48 price screens below the R410.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Standard Bank Group (SBK) currently trades at R324.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R410.25, implying the stock looks roughly 26.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Standard Bank Group generated revenue of 180B ZAR at a net margin of 28.4%. Revenue grew 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.7%. Net debt stands at 148B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R307.69 (bear case) to R512.82 (bull case); at R324.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 26%, SBK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income R209.35 R260.70 R758.22 76
Gordon GGM R183.71 R401.07 R674.82 70
P/E Multiple R307.69 R410.25 R512.82 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R183.71 R401.07 R674.82 70
DDM Multi-Stage R183.71 R328.54 R417.98 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R307.69 R410.25 R512.82 63
P/B Multiple R174.47 R232.63 R290.78 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R83.08 R111.33 R166.16 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income R209.35 R260.70 R758.22 76

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (R328.54) versus Asset-Based (R111.33). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 180B ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.0%
Net margin 28.4%
Return on equity 18.7%
Free cash flow 68.3B ZAC FY2025
P/E ratio 10.9
More key figures
Operating margin 43.0%
EPS (TTM) R29.88
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +15.8%
Net debt 148B ZAC FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Standard Bank Group Limited provides financial products and services in South Africa and internationally. It offers a range of onshore and offshore savings and investment; home and personal loans; forex solutions; transactional banking, including digital wallets, cards, payment and transfer platforms; private and digital banking; forex solutions; vehicle …

Full company description

Standard Bank Group Limited provides financial products and services in South Africa and internationally. It offers a range of onshore and offshore savings and investment; home and personal loans; forex solutions; transactional banking, including digital wallets, cards, payment and transfer platforms; private and digital banking; forex solutions; vehicle and asset finance; credit cards; and insurance solutions. The company also provides transactional banking; business lending; commercial asset finance; merchant, trade, fleet, and business solar solutions; specific solutions for clients in various sectors, such as agriculture, manufacturing, healthcare, and tourism; app and internet banking; international payments and forex; alternative funding options; and business resources and insurance. In addition, it offers advisory, transactional, trading, risk management, and funding solutions; and long and short-term insurance, health insurance, and asset management. Further, the company engages in trust or other fiduciary activities. The company was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Standard Bank Group reported revenue of R373B in FY2025 versus R133B in FY2021, a compound +29.5%/yr. Reported net income was R51.2B in FY2025, compounding +18.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
373B ZAR
Latest YoY
+38.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.5%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.6%
Revenue +29.5%/yr
FY21 R133B
FY22 R156B
FY23 R161B
FY24 R269B
FY25 R373B
Net income +18.8%/yr
FY21 R25.7B
FY22 R35.2B
FY23 R46.0B
FY24 R19.6B
FY25 R51.2B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.6 pp

of which total revenue +10.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.4 pp

EBIT margin −0.5 pp
Tax rate −0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Standard Bank Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SBK

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1081 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +26% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 43% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.95× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.92× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 65.37× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 69 · sector 39
FUTURE 45 · sector 44
PAST 75 · sector 41
HEALTH 95 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Standard Bank Group (SBK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R410.25 versus a price of R324.48, about +26% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SBK?
Our model-based fair value for Standard Bank Group is R410.25 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R324.48.
What is the quality score of SBK?
Standard Bank Group has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Standard Bank Group (SBK)?
Standard Bank Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 180B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SBK?
The net profit margin of Standard Bank Group is about 28.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Standard Bank Group pay a dividend?
Standard Bank Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.05% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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