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Telos Corporation (TLS) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $325M

TC Telos Corporation logo Telos Corporation TLS · US
Price$4.57
Fair Value$4.88
Upside+6.8%
Quality64/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -14.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.94 – $6.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $3.85 to $4.88 (+26.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $3.94 (bear) to $6.48 (bull), base $4.88. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$36.53 $1.59 Fair Value $4.88 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.59 – $36.53 · fair‑value band $3.94 – $6.48 · the $4.57 price screens below the $4.88 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Telos Corporation (TLS) currently trades at $4.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.88, implying the stock looks roughly 6.8% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Telos Corporation generated revenue of $182M at a net margin of -14.3%. Revenue grew 55.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -23.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $45.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.94 (bear case) to $6.48 (bull case); at $4.57, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at 7%, TLS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.91 $4.83 $6.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.86 $5.38 $7.26 74
Gordon GGM $0.3500 $0.3800 $0.4200 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.81 $4.78 $6.40 38
5Y Revenue Exit $3.86 $5.30 $7.39 39
10Y Revenue Exit $3.74 $4.73 $5.79 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.3500 $0.3800 $0.4200 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.3500 $0.4200 $0.5000 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue $4.20 $5.73 $7.26 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.6400 $0.8600 $1.28 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.91 $4.83 $6.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.86 $5.38 $7.26 74

Widest divergence: Multiples ($5.73) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $182M
Revenue growth (YoY) +55.9%
Net margin -14.3%
Return on equity -23.3%
Free cash flow $29.4M FY2025
Operating margin 3.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3500
Net cash $45.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 32
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 61
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Telos Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides cyber, cloud, and enterprise security solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Security Solutions and Secure Networks.

Full company description

Telos Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides cyber, cloud, and enterprise security solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Security Solutions and Secure Networks. The company offers Xacta, a platform delivering automated cyber risk management and compliance processes for systems based in the cloud, on-premises, and in hybrid environments; Xacta.ai, an artificial intelligence capability at Xacta cyber GRC platform; and risk management framework consulting services, security assessment and compliance, engineering and evaluation, operations, penetration testing, and digital forensics. It also provides Telos Automated Message Handling System, a web-based organizational message distribution and management for mission-critical communications used by military field operatives. In addition, the company offers Telos Identity Solutions, a portfolio of identity solutions that support secure identity verification, biometric enrollment, and trusted identity services for government and commercial customers; TSA PreCheck enrollment services, IDVetting, and Aviation Channeling Services, which provide identity enrollment, FBI background check submission, and biometric services for government agencies, transportation security programs, and regulated industries; and ONYX, a proprietary touchless fingerprint biometric technology designed to enable secure and scalable biometric authentication across mobile and enterprise environments. Further, the company provides secure mobility solutions that enable work off-premise and minimize operational and security concerns across and beyond the enterprise; and network management and defense services for operating, maintaining, and defending complex enterprise networks. It serves the United States federal government, large commercial businesses, state and local governments, and international customers. Telos Corporation was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Ashburn, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Telos Corporation reported revenue of $165M in FY2025 versus $242M in FY2021, a compound −9.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$36.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$165M
Latest YoY
+52.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
−0.1%
Revenue −9.2%/yr
FY21 $242M
FY22 $217M
FY23 $145M
FY24 $108M
FY25 $165M
Net income
FY21 −$43.1M
FY22 −$53.4M
FY23 −$34.4M
FY24 −$52.5M
FY25 −$36.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Telos Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TLS

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 367 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +7% · Above median
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 56% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.38× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.79× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 42 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 46
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 96 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 29

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Palantir Technologies Inc 1PLTR €112.86 €12.03 -89%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €381.50 €118.28 -69%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Telos Corporation (TLS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.88 versus a price of $4.57, about +7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TLS?
Our model-based fair value for Telos Corporation is $4.88 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.57.
What is the quality score of TLS?
Telos Corporation has a Quality Score of 64/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Telos Corporation (TLS)?
Telos Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $182M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TLS?
The net profit margin of Telos Corporation is about -14.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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