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SD Guthrie Berhad (SDPNF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $11.2B

SG SD Guthrie Berhad logo SD Guthrie Berhad SDPNF · US
Price$1.49
Fair Value$1.40
Upside-6.0%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.37% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range $0.8700 – $2.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $1.38 to $1.40 (+1.4%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.8700 to $2.32). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1.49 $0.6651 Fair Value $1.40 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6651 – $1.49 · fair‑value band $0.8700 – $2.32 · the $1.49 price screens above the $1.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

SD Guthrie Berhad (SDPNF) currently trades at $1.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.40, implying the stock looks roughly 6.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, SD Guthrie Berhad generated revenue of $12.6B at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue declined 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. Net debt stands at $4.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.8700 (bear case) to $2.32 (bull case); at $1.49, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -6%, SDPNF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.79 $3.58 $6.63 80
Residual Income $2.84 $3.44 $7.50 76
Rev-Margin DCF $2.33 $4.69 $7.75 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.81 $3.77 $7.21 38
Owner Earnings $3.21 $6.34 $11.82 31
5Y Revenue Exit $2.33 $4.77 $8.14 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.12 $8.49 $14.06 41
5Y P/E Exit $3.96 $8.15 $13.01 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2.03 $4.30 $7.86 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.33 $7.03 $12.85 37
10Y P/E Exit $3.22 $6.78 $11.97 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.58 $12.22 $16.81 54
Lynch FV $3.24 $4.63 $6.03 50
PEG = 1.0 $3.24 $4.63 $6.03 46
EPV $2.44 $2.94 $3.37 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.98 $7.98 $9.97 63
P/S Multiple $3.63 $4.83 $6.04 58
P/B Multiple $4.84 $6.46 $8.07 55
EV/EBIT $4.95 $6.78 $8.62 53
EV/EBITDA $5.68 $7.76 $9.84 54
EV/Revenue $2.61 $3.97 $5.33 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.51 $2.02 $3.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.79 $3.58 $6.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.33 $4.69 $7.75 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.84 $3.44 $7.50 76
ROIC Compounder $2.44 $2.94 $3.89 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.11 $7.31 $9.50 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($7.31) versus Asset-Based ($2.02). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $12.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.6%
Net margin 2.8%
Return on equity 2.2%
Free cash flow $1.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 16.5
More key figures
Operating margin 17.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.0900
Dividend yield 5.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.2%
Net debt $4.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SD Guthrie Berhad operates as an integrated plantations company in Malaysia and internationally. It engages in the palm oil value chain, including upstream and downstream activities, research and development, renewables, and agribusiness activities.

Full company description

SD Guthrie Berhad operates as an integrated plantations company in Malaysia and internationally. It engages in the palm oil value chain, including upstream and downstream activities, research and development, renewables, and agribusiness activities. The company is also involved in the development, cultivation, and management of oil palm, rubber, coconut, and sugarcane plantation estates; milling of fresh fruit bunches into crude palm oil and palm kernel; cattle rearing and beef production; and crushing of palm kernel to crude palm kernel oil and palm kernel expeller. In addition, it offers refined oils and fats, and oil palm seeds and seedlings; crude palm oil, oleochemical products; oil palm tissue culture and technical product support services; red palm oils and tocotrienol based, vegetables oil, and fat products; and biodiesel products. Further, the company engages in the sale of derivatives; the development of green technology and renewable energy, including solar, biogas, and biomass projects; the trade of agricultural products and services; the supply of local manpower and related services; the manufacture and marketing of rat bait; agricultural mechanization and the commercialization of prototype machines and equipment; the operation of childcare centres, rest/guest houses, cafeterias/canteens, a golf course, and tourist attractions; the rental of conventional and recreational facilities; and the acquisition, development, and investment in trademarks, patents, and intellectual property rights; holding of land; and processing, production, and sale of ingredients for the food, feed, nutritional, pharmaceutical, and cosmetic industries. Additionally, it provides advisory and management consultancy services, as well as research and development services in biotechnology and agriculture. SD Guthrie Berhad was founded in 1821 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SD Guthrie Berhad reported revenue of $20.9B in FY2025 versus $18.7B in FY2021, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was $2.6B in FY2025, compounding +2.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$20.9B
Latest YoY
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+29.2%
Revenue +2.8%/yr
FY21 $18.7B
FY22 $21.0B
FY23 $18.4B
FY24 $19.8B
FY25 $20.9B
Net income +2.5%/yr
FY21 $2.4B
FY22 $2.6B
FY23 $2.0B
FY24 $2.3B
FY25 $2.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SD Guthrie Berhad Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SDPNF

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −6% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.22× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.54× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.89× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 8.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 25 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 9 · sector 27
HEALTH 89 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SD Guthrie Berhad (SDPNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.40 versus a price of $1.49, about −6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SDPNF?
Our model-based fair value for SD Guthrie Berhad is $1.40 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.49.
What is the quality score of SDPNF?
SD Guthrie Berhad has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SD Guthrie Berhad (SDPNF)?
SD Guthrie Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SDPNF?
The net profit margin of SD Guthrie Berhad is about 2.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does SD Guthrie Berhad pay a dividend?
SD Guthrie Berhad currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.37% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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