Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad $1.65, price $1.49, upside +10.8%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.6651 – $1.49 · fair‑value band $0.8700 – $2.27 · the $1.49 price screens below the $1.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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SD Guthrie Berhad operates as an integrated plantations company in Malaysia and internationally. It engages in the palm oil value chain, including upstream and downstream activities, research and development, renewables, and agribusiness activities.
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SD Guthrie Berhad operates as an integrated plantations company in Malaysia and internationally. It engages in the palm oil value chain, including upstream and downstream activities, research and development, renewables, and agribusiness activities. The company is also involved in the development, cultivation, and management of oil palm, rubber, coconut, and sugarcane plantation estates; milling of fresh fruit bunches into crude palm oil and palm kernel; cattle rearing and beef production; and crushing of palm kernel to crude palm kernel oil and palm kernel expeller. In addition, it offers refined oils and fats, and oil palm seeds and seedlings; crude palm oil, oleochemical products; oil palm tissue culture and technical product support services; red palm oils and tocotrienol based, vegetables oil, and fat products; and biodiesel products. Further, the company engages in the sale of derivatives; the development of green technology and renewable energy, including solar, biogas, and biomass projects; the trade of agricultural products and services; the supply of local manpower and related services; the manufacture and marketing of rat bait; agricultural mechanization and the commercialization of prototype machines and equipment; the operation of childcare centres, rest/guest houses, cafeterias/canteens, a golf course, and tourist attractions; the rental of conventional and recreational facilities; and the acquisition, development, and investment in trademarks, patents, and intellectual property rights; holding of land; and processing, production, and sale of ingredients for the food, feed, nutritional, pharmaceutical, and cosmetic industries. Additionally, it provides advisory and management consultancy services, as well as research and development services in biotechnology and agriculture. SD Guthrie Berhad was founded in 1821 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF) currently trades at $1.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.65, implying the stock looks roughly 9.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $7.31 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the $1.49 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.02, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $0.8700 (bear) to $2.27 (bull), the price of $1.49 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sime Darby Plantation Berhad reported revenue of 20.9B MYR in FY2025 versus 18.7B MYR in FY2021, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was 2.6B MYR in FY2025, compounding +2.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $11.2B · P/E ratio 16.5 · P/S ratio 2.08 · EPS (TTM) $0.0900 · Dividend yield 5.4% · Net margin 12.6% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at 11%, SDPNF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.8700Fair Value $1.65Bull $2.27
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0073 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.7% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+12.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 14%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.8% a year for the price and −0.2% for the forecasts.
Compare Sime Darby Plantation Berhad with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 646 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+11% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Is Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.65 versus a price of $1.49, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SDPNF?
Our model-based fair value for Sime Darby Plantation Berhad is $1.65 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.49.
What is the quality score of SDPNF?
Sime Darby Plantation Berhad has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.65 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8700, optimistic scenario $2.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sime Darby Plantation Berhad stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.65, about +11% upside versus a price of $1.49 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.8700, optimistic scenario $2.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
Sime Darby Plantation Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Sime Darby Plantation Berhad pay a dividend?
Sime Darby Plantation Berhad currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.37% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sime Darby Plantation Berhad would have to grow free cash flow by -3.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SDPNF use?
Our models discount Sime Darby Plantation Berhad at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.28, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sime Darby Plantation Berhad that is -3.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sime Darby Plantation Berhad grew +9.9 % a year. The price currently implies -3.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (-3.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.26 %: that much free cash flow Sime Darby Plantation Berhad produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sime Darby Plantation Berhad it is $1.65 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.49. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sime Darby Plantation Berhad stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SDPNF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.49, fair value $1.65, a gap of about +11% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SDPNF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.49); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.65). For Sime Darby Plantation Berhad the two are $0.1608 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sime Darby Plantation Berhad worth?
The market values Sime Darby Plantation Berhad at about $11.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.49; our models calculate a fair value of $1.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SDPNF?
Our models span a range for Sime Darby Plantation Berhad: cautious scenario $0.8700, base $1.65, optimistic $2.27 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.49). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SDPNF?
Sime Darby Plantation Berhad trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.65 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.5, P/B 0.5, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 10.2.
What is the PEG ratio of SDPNF?
The PEG ratio of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad is 3.48 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.2%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SDPNF from its 52-week high?
Sime Darby Plantation Berhad trades at $1.49, at its 52-week high of $1.49 and 54% above the low of $0.9658 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sime Darby Plantation Berhad?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sime Darby Plantation Berhad stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.49, calculated fair value $1.65 (+11%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SDPNF calculated?
We run Sime Darby Plantation Berhad through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sime Darby Plantation Berhad currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $1.49. Our model-based fair value is $1.65, about +11% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sime Darby Plantation Berhad right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.8700 to $2.27). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad
How large is the market capitalisation of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
The market capitalisation of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad is $11.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad is 2.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
Earnings per share at Sime Darby Plantation Berhad are $0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
The dividend yield of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad is 5.4% (payout 88.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
The net margin of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad is 12.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad is 9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
The operating margin of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad is 17.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
Revenue at Sime Darby Plantation Berhad is growing −2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF)?
Earnings per share at Sime Darby Plantation Berhad are growing −1.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (SDPNF) carry?
The net debt of Sime Darby Plantation Berhad is $4.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026