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nForce Secure Public Company (SECURE) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TH · Market cap 1.5B THB

NS nForce Secure Public Company SECURE · BK
Price14.80 THB
Fair Value23.65 THB
Upside+59.8%
Quality70/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
6.94% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range 17.74 THB – 29.57 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +12.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (17.74 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

30.27 THB 9.01 THB Fair Value 23.65 THB Jul 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9.01 THB – 30.27 THB · fair‑value band 17.74 THB – 29.57 THB · the 14.80 THB price screens below the 23.65 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

nForce Secure Public Company (SECURE) currently trades at 14.80 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 23.65 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 59.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, nForce Secure Public Company generated revenue of 1.3B THB at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue grew 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 544M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 17.74 THB (bear case) to 29.57 THB (bull case); at 14.80 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -18% fair-value upside, at 60%, SECURE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 7.21 THB 8.76 THB 16.43 THB 76
Growth DCF 26.92 THB 40.18 THB 59.52 THB 72
Gordon GGM 5.44 THB 9.80 THB 13.49 THB 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 27.34 THB 42.64 THB 66.56 THB 38
Owner Earnings 19.44 THB 29.18 THB 44.40 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 21.74 THB 32.20 THB 46.16 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 22.54 THB 33.85 THB 47.88 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 23.87 THB 36.64 THB 51.22 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 23.23 THB 33.42 THB 48.67 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 24.10 THB 34.53 THB 50.00 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 24.91 THB 36.41 THB 52.59 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.04 THB 39.27 THB 54.12 THB 54
Lynch FV 10.54 THB 15.06 THB 19.57 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 10.54 THB 15.06 THB 19.57 THB 46
EPV 14.73 THB 15.97 THB 17.01 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 5.44 THB 9.80 THB 13.49 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 5.44 THB 8.95 THB 10.47 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 17.74 THB 23.65 THB 29.57 THB 63
P/S Multiple 15.08 THB 20.11 THB 25.13 THB 58
P/B Multiple 15.08 THB 20.11 THB 25.13 THB 55
EV/EBIT 25.11 THB 31.61 THB 38.10 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 21.06 THB 26.21 THB 31.36 THB 54
EV/Revenue 18.76 THB 24.39 THB 30.02 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.75 THB 5.03 THB 7.51 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 26.92 THB 40.18 THB 59.52 THB 72
Rev-Margin DCF 21.74 THB 32.09 THB 45.69 THB 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 7.21 THB 8.76 THB 16.43 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 15.43 THB 17.57 THB 19.87 THB 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 15.90 THB 22.71 THB 29.52 THB 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (33.85 THB) versus Asset-Based (5.03 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.3B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.9%
Net margin 9.6%
Return on equity 16.3%
Free cash flow 207M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 10.4
More key figures
Operating margin 12.2%
EPS (TTM) 1.24 THB
Dividend yield 7.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +19.9%
Net cash 544M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

nForce Secure Public Company Limited operates as a specialty distributor of IT security, information management, network solutions, and cloud security in Thailand. It sells computer hardware and software, all related equipment, and network communication equipment and software.

Full company description

nForce Secure Public Company Limited operates as a specialty distributor of IT security, information management, network solutions, and cloud security in Thailand. It sells computer hardware and software, all related equipment, and network communication equipment and software. The company also offers application, cloud, email, endpoint, network, and PDPA and data security software products; identity and access management, network performance and monitoring, network operating platform solutions; and AI and OT security, cyber risk exposure management, cyber threat intelligence, and others. In addition, it is involved in the development of enterprise software; and provides project management, business consulting, risk assessment, and planning and training services. Further, the company offers installation and support services, as well as products training services. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

nForce Secure Public Company reported revenue of 1.3B THB in FY2025 versus 823M THB in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was 122M THB in FY2025, compounding +18.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.3B THB
Latest YoY
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.5%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Revenue +12.2%/yr
FY21 823M THB
FY22 894M THB
FY23 1.1B THB
FY24 1.2B THB
FY25 1.3B THB
Net income +18.7%/yr
FY21 61.1M THB
FY22 55.1M THB
FY23 91.8M THB
FY24 116M THB
FY25 122M THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "nForce Secure Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SECURE

Peer Group

Electronics & Computer Distribution · 151 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.89× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 14
FUTURE 25 · sector 57
PAST 65 · sector 36
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 39

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronics & Computer Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
TD SYNNEX Corporation SNX $251.52 $207.02 -18%
Unisplendour Corporation 000938 ¥38.59 ¥11.79 -69%
Rexel S.A RXL €38.59 €33.31 -14%
Arrow Electronics, Inc ARW $204.10 $115.40 -43%
Avnet, Inc AVT $87.13 $58.57 -33%
WPG Holdings 3702 106.50 TWD 102.31 TWD -4%
Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry Co 000062 ¥22.37 ¥7.52 -66%
Synnex Technology International Corporation 2347 85.30 TWD 86.30 TWD +1%
Nanjing Sunlord Electronics Corporation 300975 ¥37.37 ¥8.60 -77%
Insight Enterprises, Inc NSIT $114.65 $104.19 -9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is nForce Secure Public Company (SECURE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 23.65 THB versus a price of 14.80 THB, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SECURE?
Our model-based fair value for nForce Secure Public Company is 23.65 THB (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 14.80 THB.
What is the quality score of SECURE?
nForce Secure Public Company has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of nForce Secure Public Company (SECURE)?
nForce Secure Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SECURE?
The net profit margin of nForce Secure Public Company is about 9.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does nForce Secure Public Company pay a dividend?
nForce Secure Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.46% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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