nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of nForce Secure Public Company Limited THB 33.12, price THB 13.00, upside +154.8%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9.01 THB – 30.27 THB · fair‑value band 24.84 THB – 40.93 THB · the 13.00 THB price screens below the 33.12 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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nForce Secure Public Company Limited operates as a specialty distributor of IT security, information management, network solutions, and cloud security in Thailand. It sells computer hardware and software, all related equipment, and network communication equipment and software.
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nForce Secure Public Company Limited operates as a specialty distributor of IT security, information management, network solutions, and cloud security in Thailand. It sells computer hardware and software, all related equipment, and network communication equipment and software. The company also offers application, cloud, email, endpoint, network, and PDPA and data security software products; identity and access management, network performance and monitoring, network operating platform solutions; and AI and OT security, cyber risk exposure management, cyber threat intelligence, and others. In addition, it is involved in the development of enterprise software; and provides project management, business consulting, risk assessment, and planning and training services. Further, the company offers installation and support services, as well as products training services. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Stock analysis
nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE) currently trades at 13.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.12 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 60.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 43.20 THB per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the 13.00 THB price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 5.03 THB, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 24.84 THB (bear) to 40.93 THB (bull), the price of 13.00 THB sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
nForce Secure Public Company Limited reported revenue of 1.3B THB in FY2025 versus 823M THB in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was 122M THB in FY2025, compounding +18.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.5B THB (≈ $43.6M) · P/E ratio 10.5 · P/S ratio 0.98 · EPS (TTM) 1.24 THB · Dividend yield 7.7% · Net margin 9.3% · Return on equity 16.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 155%, SECURE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 24.84 THBFair Value 33.12 THBBull 40.93 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1762 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+23.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15% vs 14%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 11%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−20.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −21.7% a year for the price.
Compare nForce Secure Public Company Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronics & Computer Distribution · 154 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+155% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)7.7% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "nForce Secure Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SECURE
Frequently asked questions
Is nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 33.12 THB versus a price of 13.00 THB, about +155% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SECURE?
Our model-based fair value for nForce Secure Public Company Limited is 33.12 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 13.00 THB.
What is the quality score of SECURE?
nForce Secure Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 33.12 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 24.84 THB, optimistic scenario 40.93 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the nForce Secure Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 33.12 THB, about +155% upside versus a price of 13.00 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 24.84 THB, optimistic scenario 40.93 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
nForce Secure Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does nForce Secure Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
nForce Secure Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, nForce Secure Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -20.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SECURE use?
Our models discount nForce Secure Public Company Limited at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.39, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For nForce Secure Public Company Limited that is -20.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at nForce Secure Public Company Limited grew +15.5 % a year. The price currently implies -20.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into nForce Secure Public Company Limited (-20.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.48 %: that much free cash flow nForce Secure Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For nForce Secure Public Company Limited it is 33.12 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 13.00 THB. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is nForce Secure Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SECURE trades below its calculated fair value: price 13.00 THB, fair value 33.12 THB, a gap of about +155% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SECURE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (13.00 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (33.12 THB). For nForce Secure Public Company Limited the two are 20.12 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is nForce Secure Public Company Limited worth?
The market values nForce Secure Public Company Limited at about 1.5B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 13.00 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 33.12 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SECURE?
Our models span a range for nForce Secure Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 24.84 THB, base 33.12 THB, optimistic 40.93 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 13.00 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SECURE?
nForce Secure Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 33.12 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 5.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
Balance-sheet figures for nForce Secure Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SECURE from its 52-week high?
nForce Secure Public Company Limited trades at 13.00 THB, about 15% below its 52-week high of 15.30 THB and 18% above the low of 11.02 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 33.12 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to nForce Secure Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Technology) we also value TD SYNNEX Corporation, Unisplendour Corporation, Rexel S.A, Arrow Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is nForce Secure Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 13.00 THB, calculated fair value 33.12 THB (+155%), Quality Score 70/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SECURE calculated?
We run nForce Secure Public Company Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 33.12 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. nForce Secure Public Company Limited currently trades 155 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 13.00 THB. Our model-based fair value is 33.12 THB, about +155% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with nForce Secure Public Company Limited right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (24.84 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of nForce Secure Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
The market capitalisation of nForce Secure Public Company Limited is 1.5B THB (≈ $43.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of nForce Secure Public Company Limited is 0.98 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
Earnings per share at nForce Secure Public Company Limited are 1.24 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
The dividend yield of nForce Secure Public Company Limited is 7.7% (payout 80.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
The net margin of nForce Secure Public Company Limited is 9.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of nForce Secure Public Company Limited is 16.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of nForce Secure Public Company Limited is 11.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
The operating margin of nForce Secure Public Company Limited is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
Revenue at nForce Secure Public Company Limited is growing +4.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE)?
Earnings per share at nForce Secure Public Company Limited are growing +18.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does nForce Secure Public Company Limited (SECURE) hold?
nForce Secure Public Company Limited holds more cash than debt, 544M THB net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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