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Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. (SELVA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · TR · Market cap 1.8B TRY

SG Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. SELVA · IS
Price1.72 TRY
Fair Value0.9600 TRY
Upside-44.2%
Quality18/100
Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -41.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 2/100
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Evidence: Low Range 0.6100 TRY – 0.9600 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 1, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Share price −11.8% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.9600 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (18/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

4.20 TRY 1.38 TRY Fair Value 0.9600 TRY Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 1.38 TRY – 4.20 TRY · fair‑value band 0.6100 TRY – 0.9600 TRY · the 1.72 TRY price screens above the 0.9600 TRY fair value. As of Aug 1, 2026.

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Analysis

Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. (SELVA) currently trades at 1.72 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.9600 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 44.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. generated revenue of 1.9B TRY at a net margin of -41.3%. Revenue declined 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -34.1%. Net debt stands at 437M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 1, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.6100 TRY (bear case) to 0.9600 TRY (bull case); at 1.72 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -44%, SELVA screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.9B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.1%
Net margin -41.3%
Return on equity -34.1%
Free cash flow −812M TRY FY2025
Operating margin -22.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.8800 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) -83.6%
Net debt 437M TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 18/100
Profitability 8
Quality Growth 49
Cashflow 13
Fin. Strength 37
Investment 8
Low Volatility 50
Momentum 21
52W Momentum 26
Net Issuance 0

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. manufactures and sells various food products in Turkey. It offers various types of pasta, such as penne rigate, farfalle, sedanini, fusilli, elbow, elbow rigate, ditalini, farfalle tonde, ditaloni, pipe rigate, tagliatelle, bucatini, linguine, spaghetti, vermicelli, risoni, and filini; as well as wheat flour and semolina.

Full company description

Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. manufactures and sells various food products in Turkey. It offers various types of pasta, such as penne rigate, farfalle, sedanini, fusilli, elbow, elbow rigate, ditalini, farfalle tonde, ditaloni, pipe rigate, tagliatelle, bucatini, linguine, spaghetti, vermicelli, risoni, and filini; as well as wheat flour and semolina. The company also provides soup, dessert, and salad products. In addition, it is involved in the catering business. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Konya, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. reported revenue of 2.0B TRY in FY2025 versus 287M TRY in FY2021, a compound +62.6%/yr. Reported net income was −454M TRY in FY2025.

Revenue +62.6%/yr
FY21 287M TRY
FY22 622M TRY
FY23 2.0B TRY
FY24 1.8B TRY
FY25 2.0B TRY
Net income
FY21 −10.9M TRY
FY22 79.4M TRY
FY23 251M TRY
FY24 42.6M TRY
FY25 −454M TRY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SELVA

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 25
FUTURE 0 / 20
PAST 0 / 27
HEALTH 100 / 96
DIVIDEND 0 / 46

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 1, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,386 ₹278.10 -80%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 75.60 TWD 55.53 TWD -27%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,121 ₹1,374 -73%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,131 ₹339.05 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,250 IDR 10,177 IDR +63%
PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk INDF 6,750 IDR 25,554 IDR +279%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,000,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW +1%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹420.45 ₹294.68 -30%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,900 VND 70,912 VND +20%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,650 IDR 2,175 IDR +32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. (SELVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.9600 TRY versus a price of 1.72 TRY, about −44% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SELVA?
Our model-based fair value for Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. is 0.9600 TRY (as of Aug 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.72 TRY.
What is the quality score of SELVA?
Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. has a Quality Score of 18/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. (SELVA)?
Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 1, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SELVA?
The net profit margin of Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. is about -41.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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