Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Selva Gida Sanayi AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.3640 TRY – 4.20 TRY · fair‑value band 0.1530 TRY – 0.1615 TRY · the 1.47 TRY price screens above the 0.1615 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. manufactures and sells various food products in Turkey. It offers various types of pasta, such as penne rigate, farfalle, sedanini, fusilli, elbow, elbow rigate, ditalini, farfalle tonde, ditaloni, pipe rigate, tagliatelle, bucatini, linguine, spaghetti, vermicelli, risoni, and filini; as well as wheat flour and semolina.
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Selva Gida Sanayi A.S. manufactures and sells various food products in Turkey. It offers various types of pasta, such as penne rigate, farfalle, sedanini, fusilli, elbow, elbow rigate, ditalini, farfalle tonde, ditaloni, pipe rigate, tagliatelle, bucatini, linguine, spaghetti, vermicelli, risoni, and filini; as well as wheat flour and semolina. The company also provides soup, dessert, and salad products. In addition, it is involved in the catering business. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Konya, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA) currently trades at 1.47 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1615 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 809.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 0.6200 TRY per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the 1.47 TRY price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.2300 TRY, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.1530 TRY (bear) to 0.1615 TRY (bull), the price of 1.47 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 14/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Selva Gida Sanayi AS reported revenue of 2.0B TRY in FY2025 versus 287M TRY in FY2021, a compound +62.6%/yr. Reported net income was −454M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.8B TRY (≈ $37.3M) · P/S ratio 0.95 · EPS (TTM) −0.8800 TRY · Net margin −22.6% · Return on equity −34.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% · Operating margin −22.1% · Revenue (TTM) 1.9B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −89%, SELVA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.1530 TRYFair Value 0.1615 TRYBull 0.1615 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+47.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.3%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.5% (2020) → 1.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 648 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score14 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−47% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−41% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−22% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−17% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.02× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Selva Gida Sanayi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SELVA
Frequently asked questions
Is Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1615 TRY versus a price of 1.47 TRY, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SELVA?
Our model-based fair value for Selva Gida Sanayi AS is 0.1615 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.47 TRY.
What is the quality score of SELVA?
Selva Gida Sanayi AS has a Quality Score of 14/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.1615 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1530 TRY, optimistic scenario 0.1615 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Selva Gida Sanayi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.1615 TRY, about −89% upside versus a price of 1.47 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.1530 TRY, optimistic scenario 0.1615 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
Selva Gida Sanayi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Selva Gida Sanayi AS it is 0.1615 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 1.47 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Selva Gida Sanayi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, SELVA trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.47 TRY, fair value 0.1615 TRY, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SELVA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.47 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.1615 TRY). For Selva Gida Sanayi AS the two are 1.31 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Selva Gida Sanayi AS worth?
The market values Selva Gida Sanayi AS at about 1.8B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 1.47 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 0.1615 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SELVA?
Our models span a range for Selva Gida Sanayi AS: cautious scenario 0.1530 TRY, base 0.1615 TRY, optimistic 0.1615 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 1.47 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Selva Gida Sanayi AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −34.1%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 14/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SELVA from its 52-week high?
Selva Gida Sanayi AS trades at 1.47 TRY, about 65% below its 52-week high of 4.20 TRY and 10% above the low of 1.33 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.1615 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Selva Gida Sanayi AS?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Nestlé India Limited, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Selva Gida Sanayi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 1.47 TRY, calculated fair value 0.1615 TRY (−89%), Quality Score 14/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SELVA calculated?
We run Selva Gida Sanayi AS through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.1615 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Selva Gida Sanayi AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
The closing price on Sep 14, 2026 was 1.47 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 0.1615 TRY, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Selva Gida Sanayi AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.1615 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (14/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band (0.1530 TRY to 0.1615 TRY), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Selva Gida Sanayi AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
The market capitalisation of Selva Gida Sanayi AS is 1.8B TRY (≈ $37.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Selva Gida Sanayi AS is 0.95 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
Earnings per share at Selva Gida Sanayi AS are −0.8800 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
The net margin of Selva Gida Sanayi AS is −22.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Selva Gida Sanayi AS is −34.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Selva Gida Sanayi AS is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
The operating margin of Selva Gida Sanayi AS is −22.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
Revenue at Selva Gida Sanayi AS is growing −17.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +47.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA)?
Earnings per share at Selva Gida Sanayi AS are growing −83.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA) generate?
The free cash flow of Selva Gida Sanayi AS is −812M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Selva Gida Sanayi AS (SELVA) carry?
The net debt of Selva Gida Sanayi AS is 437M TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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