Sensirion Holding AG (SENS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Sensirion Holding AG CHF 36.21, price CHF 84.20, upside -57.0%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 49.65 – CHF 137.80 · fair‑value band CHF 26.66 – CHF 45.27 · the CHF 84.20 price screens above the CHF 36.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Sensirion Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, production, sale, and servicing of sensor systems, modules, and components in the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Americas. It primarily manufactures digital microsensors and microsystems.
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Sensirion Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, production, sale, and servicing of sensor systems, modules, and components in the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Americas. It primarily manufactures digital microsensors and microsystems. The company offers environmental sensors for the measurement of humidity and temperature, volatile organic compounds, carbon dioxide, particulate matter, gas and liquid flow sensors, and differential pressure sensors, as well as gas leakage sensors. It also provides sensor solutions and services based on connected sensor and data systems. The company serves automotive, medical, industrial, and consumer markets. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Stäfa, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Sensirion Holding AG (SENS) currently trades at CHF 84.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 36.21, implying the stock looks roughly 132.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of CHF 43.79 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the CHF 84.20 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 13.20, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: CHF 26.66 (bear) to CHF 45.27 (bull), the price of CHF 84.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sensirion Holding AG reported revenue of CHF 342M in FY2025 versus CHF 287M in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 20.1M in FY2025, compounding −25.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap CHF 1.3B · P/E ratio 65.3 · P/S ratio 3.84 · EPS (TTM) CHF 1.29 · Net margin 5.9% · Return on equity 6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.2% · Operating margin 10.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −57%, SENS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear CHF 26.66Fair Value CHF 36.21Bull CHF 45.27
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 0.9436 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−18.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 13%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.4% a year for the price and +5.0% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 162 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sensirion Holding AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SENS
Frequently asked questions
Is Sensirion Holding AG (SENS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 36.21 versus a price of CHF 84.20, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SENS?
Our model-based fair value for Sensirion Holding AG is CHF 36.21 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 84.20.
What is the quality score of SENS?
Sensirion Holding AG has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 36.21 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 26.66, optimistic scenario CHF 45.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sensirion Holding AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 36.21, about −57% upside versus a price of CHF 84.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 26.66, optimistic scenario CHF 45.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
Sensirion Holding AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 342M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sensirion Holding AG would have to grow free cash flow by +25.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SENS use?
Our models discount Sensirion Holding AG at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sensirion Holding AG that is +25.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sensirion Holding AG (SENS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sensirion Holding AG grew +6.2 % a year. The price currently implies +25.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sensirion Holding AG (SENS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sensirion Holding AG (+25.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.45 %: that much free cash flow Sensirion Holding AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sensirion Holding AG it is CHF 36.21 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of CHF 84.20. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sensirion Holding AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SENS trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 84.20, fair value CHF 36.21, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SENS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 84.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 36.21). For Sensirion Holding AG the two are CHF 47.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sensirion Holding AG worth?
The market values Sensirion Holding AG at about CHF 1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is CHF 84.20; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 36.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SENS?
Our models span a range for Sensirion Holding AG: cautious scenario CHF 26.66, base CHF 36.21, optimistic CHF 45.27 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price CHF 84.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SENS?
Sensirion Holding AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 65.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 36.21 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.2, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 26.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sensirion Holding AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.7%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SENS from its 52-week high?
Sensirion Holding AG trades at CHF 84.20, about 5% below its 52-week high of CHF 88.30 and 70% above the low of CHF 49.65 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 36.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sensirion Holding AG?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, MKS Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sensirion Holding AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price CHF 84.20, calculated fair value CHF 36.21 (−57%), Quality Score 77/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SENS calculated?
We run Sensirion Holding AG through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 36.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sensirion Holding AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was CHF 84.20. Our model-based fair value is CHF 36.21, about −57% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sensirion Holding AG right now?
A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 45.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Key figures of Sensirion Holding AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
The market capitalisation of Sensirion Holding AG is CHF 1.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sensirion Holding AG is 3.84 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
Earnings per share at Sensirion Holding AG are CHF 1.29 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 65.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
The net margin of Sensirion Holding AG is 5.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sensirion Holding AG is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sensirion Holding AG is 10.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
The operating margin of Sensirion Holding AG is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
Revenue at Sensirion Holding AG is growing +6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sensirion Holding AG (SENS)?
Earnings per share at Sensirion Holding AG are growing +35.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Sensirion Holding AG (SENS) hold?
Sensirion Holding AG holds more cash than debt, CHF 73.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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