Sido Muncul PT (SIDO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Sido Muncul PT IDR 626, price IDR 354, upside +76.8%, quality 91 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 346.00 IDR – 808.04 IDR · fair‑value band 424.01 IDR – 886.29 IDR · the 354.00 IDR price screens below the 625.84 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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PT Industri Jamu dan Farmasi Sido Muncul Tbk provides herbal medicines, cosmetics, and foods and beverage products in Indonesia. The company operates through three segments: Herbal Medicine and Supplements; Food and Beverage; and Pharmacy.
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PT Industri Jamu dan Farmasi Sido Muncul Tbk provides herbal medicines, cosmetics, and foods and beverage products in Indonesia. The company operates through three segments: Herbal Medicine and Supplements; Food and Beverage; and Pharmacy. It also offers medicine products comprising ethical/prescriptions and OTCs; herbal products, such as traditional herbals, food and beverages, herbal medicines, supplements, vitamins, and mom, kids, and baby products; and powder and liquid herbal ingredients for ache and pain relief, antibiotics, anemia, anti-allergy, antioxidants, blood pressure, brain function, bone health, children's health, cold, flu, and cough, diabetes, digestion, energy and vitality, heart and cholesterol, immune system, joints and mobility, liver and detox, men's and skin health, sleep aids, tumor and cancer, weight management, women's health, and others. In addition, it is involved in commerce, land transportation, wastewater treatment, and plantation and printing activities. The company was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Semarang, Indonesia. PT Industri Jamu dan Farmasi Sido Muncul Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Hotel Candi Baru.
Stock analysis
Sido Muncul PT (SIDO) currently trades at 354.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 625.84 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 43.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 762.00 IDR per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the 354.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 71.03 IDR, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 424.01 IDR (bear) to 886.29 IDR (bull), the price of 354.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 91/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Sido Muncul PT reported revenue of 4.1T IDR in FY2025 versus 4.0T IDR in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2T IDR in FY2025, compounding −0.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 10.5T IDR (≈ $1.1B) · P/E ratio 9.2 · P/S ratio 2.76 · EPS (TTM) 38.63 IDR · Dividend yield 10.5% · Net margin 30.1% · Return on equity 32.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 36.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at 77%, SIDO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 424.01 IDRFair Value 625.84 IDRBull 886.29 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.21 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.3% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)10.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs 11%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.35% → 37%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.1% a year for the price and +1.5% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 646 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score91 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+78% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)33% · Top 25%
Return on assets23% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)29% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)28% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−19% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)10.5% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sido Muncul PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIDO
Frequently asked questions
Is Sido Muncul PT (SIDO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 625.84 IDR versus a price of 354.00 IDR, about +77% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SIDO?
Our model-based fair value for Sido Muncul PT is 625.84 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 354.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of SIDO?
Sido Muncul PT has a Quality Score of 91/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 625.84 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 424.01 IDR, optimistic scenario 886.29 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sido Muncul PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 625.84 IDR, about +77% upside versus a price of 354.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 424.01 IDR, optimistic scenario 886.29 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
Sido Muncul PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Sido Muncul PT pay a dividend?
Sido Muncul PT currently shows a dividend yield of about 10.45% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sido Muncul PT would have to grow free cash flow by -3.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SIDO use?
Our models discount Sido Muncul PT at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sido Muncul PT that is -3.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sido Muncul PT (SIDO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sido Muncul PT grew +4.1 % a year. The price currently implies -3.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sido Muncul PT (-3.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.36 %: that much free cash flow Sido Muncul PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sido Muncul PT it is 625.84 IDR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 354.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sido Muncul PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SIDO trades below its calculated fair value: price 354.00 IDR, fair value 625.84 IDR, a gap of about +77% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIDO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (354.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (625.84 IDR). For Sido Muncul PT the two are 271.84 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sido Muncul PT worth?
The market values Sido Muncul PT at about 10.5T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 354.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 625.84 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIDO?
Our models span a range for Sido Muncul PT: cautious scenario 424.01 IDR, base 625.84 IDR, optimistic 886.29 IDR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 354.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SIDO?
Sido Muncul PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 625.84 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 99.8, P/B 3.4, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 6.4.
What is the PEG ratio of SIDO?
The PEG ratio of Sido Muncul PT is 99.80 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sido Muncul PT (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 32.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 91/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SIDO from its 52-week high?
Sido Muncul PT trades at 354.00 IDR, about 35% below its 52-week high of 548.54 IDR and 2% above the low of 346.00 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 625.84 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sido Muncul PT?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sido Muncul PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 354.00 IDR, calculated fair value 625.84 IDR (+77%), Quality Score 91/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIDO calculated?
We run Sido Muncul PT through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 625.84 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sido Muncul PT currently trades 77 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 354.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 625.84 IDR, about +77% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sido Muncul PT right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (91/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (424.01 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (424.01 IDR to 886.29 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO) come from?
Earnings per share at Sido Muncul PT grew +10.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.8 %, EBIT margin +4.6 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sido Muncul PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
The market capitalisation of Sido Muncul PT is 10.5T IDR (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sido Muncul PT is 2.76 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
Earnings per share at Sido Muncul PT are 38.63 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
The dividend yield of Sido Muncul PT is 10.5% (payout 95.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
The net margin of Sido Muncul PT is 30.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sido Muncul PT is 32.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sido Muncul PT is 36.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
The operating margin of Sido Muncul PT is 27.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
Revenue at Sido Muncul PT is growing −18.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sido Muncul PT (SIDO)?
Earnings per share at Sido Muncul PT are growing −35.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Sido Muncul PT (SIDO) hold?
Sido Muncul PT holds more cash than debt, 458B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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