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Data-driven stock valuation

Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR (SMBMY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Energy · US · Market cap $5.1B · ISIN US81662J1079

At a glance

SM Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR logo Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR SMBMY · US
Price$15.41
Fair Value$13.49
Upside−12.5%
Quality41/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 14% above our fair value of $13.49.

As of Sep 6, 2026, the fair value of Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR is $13.49 per share against a price of $15.41, so the fair value sits 12% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +49.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.56% dividend yield
!Trails peers (5/15)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Weak on valuation: 17 out of 100
!Weak on past: 19 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $9.46 to $17.71

Fair value as of: Sep 6, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Sep 6, 2026, revised from $13.31 to $13.49 (+1.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −10.4% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($9.46 to $17.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$25.23 $1.08 Fair Value $13.49 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.08 – $25.23 · fair‑value band $9.46 – $17.71 · the $15.41 price screens above the $13.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR (SMBMY) currently trades at $15.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.49, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $22.59 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the $15.41 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $2.23, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR generated revenue of $11.5B at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 17.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. Net debt stands at $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Sep 6, 2026

Scenario range: $9.46 (bear) to $17.71 (bull), the price of $15.41 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −12%, SMBMY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4795 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF n/a n/a $1.95 77
Residual Income $15.16 $15.03 $13.69 76
Growth DCF n/a $0.0200 $1.54 75
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF n/a n/a $1.95 77
Owner Earnings $22.52 $47.31 $93.62 72
5Y Revenue Exit $6.35 $16.33 $31.13 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $14.07 $33.58 $60.25 71
5Y P/E Exit $8.01 $20.06 $35.09 67
10Y Revenue Exit $3.52 $12.19 $27.88 60
10Y EBITDA Exit $9.11 $25.14 $53.68 62
10Y P/E Exit $5.05 $14.99 $31.39 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.39 $38.13 $53.13 63
Lynch FV $10.85 $15.51 $20.16 61
PEG = 1.0 $10.85 $15.51 $20.16 57
EPV $5.82 $7.06 $8.13 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.30 $2.58 $3.91 67
DDM Multi-Stage $1.30 $2.23 $2.72 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $14.80 $19.73 $24.67 63
P/S Multiple $11.98 $15.98 $19.97 58
P/B Multiple $11.98 $15.98 $19.97 55
EV/EBIT $14.02 $19.36 $24.71 66
EV/EBITDA $22.04 $30.06 $38.07 67
EV/Revenue $9.43 $14.34 $19.24 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.19 $13.65 $20.38 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a $0.0200 $1.54 75
Economic Profit
Residual Income $15.16 $15.03 $13.69 76
ROIC Compounder $5.82 $7.06 $8.13 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.82 $22.59 $29.37 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($22.59) versus Growth DCF ($0.0200). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 21.1
P/S ratio 0.60 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.7300 price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.1
Dividend yield 1.6% payout 32.9%
Net margin 2.8% FY2025
Return on equity 4.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) −3.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 3.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $11.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.0% 3y avg +79.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +48.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $26.2M FY2025
Net debt $1.1B FY2025 · ≈ 43.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Seatrium Limited provides engineering solutions to the offshore, marine, and energy industries. It operates through Rigs & floaters, Repairs & upgrades, Offshore platforms and Specialised shipbuilding; Ship chartering; and Others segments.

Full company description

Seatrium Limited provides engineering solutions to the offshore, marine, and energy industries. It operates through Rigs & floaters, Repairs & upgrades, Offshore platforms and Specialised shipbuilding; Ship chartering; and Others segments. The company engages in the turnkey design, engineering, procurement, construction, and commissioning of offshore newbuilding and conversions; FSOs, FPSOs, FDPSOs, FPUs, and MOPUs; gas terminals, FLNGs, FSRUs, and Gravifloat; offshore oil and gas fixed platforms; onshore LNG and plant modules; jack-ups, semi-submersibles, and drill ships; and TLPs, SPARs, and SSP solutions. It is also involved in the dry-docking, repair, refurbishment, retrofitting, life-extension, upgrading, and conversion of offshore and marine vessels and structures; gas carriers; cruise ships, ferries, and yachts; floating production vessels; mobile offshore drilling units, jack-ups, and semi submersibles; heavy lift vessels; and specialized projects, including jumboisation and dejumboisation. In addition, the company offers turnkey engineering, procurement, construction, transportation, installation, offshore hook-up, commissioning, and brownfield solutions; high voltage direct current (HVDC) converter stations, high voltage alternating current (HVAC) substations, and wind turbine foundations; and wind turbine installation vessels, floating offshore wind turbines, floating wind-HVDC stations, and HVAC stations. Further, it provides specialized shipbuilding solutions comprising ferry, RoPax, cruise, renewable energy support, offshore support, naval support and security, and research and scientific survey vessels. Additionally, it engages in LNG and ammonia assets; clean tech and energy transition; energies and alternative fuel value chain solutions; and digitalisation solutions. The company was formerly known as Sembcorp Marine Ltd and changed its name to Seatrium Limited in April 2023. Seatrium Limited was incorporated in 1963 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR reported revenue of 11.3B SGD in FY2025 versus 1.9B SGD in FY2021, a compound +56.9%/yr. Reported net income was 318M SGD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$11.3B
Latest YoY
+22.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+79.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+49.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−38.5% (2020) → 3.8% (2025)
Revenue +56.9%/yr
FY21 1.9B SGD
FY22 1.9B SGD
FY23 7.3B SGD
FY24 9.2B SGD
FY25 11.3B SGD
Net income
FY21 −1.2B SGD
FY22 −266M SGD
FY23 −2.0B SGD
FY24 157M SGD
FY25 318M SGD

SMBMY screens 14% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR · Fair Value
$13.49 −14%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMBMY

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 187 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −14% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.36× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.74× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.44× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 194.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.62× · Cheapest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+38.1 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+49.5 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+4.6 %
FCF yield on price0.50 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.5 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE17 · sector 0
FUTURE85 · sector 0
PAST19 · sector 29
HEALTH82 · sector 92
DIVIDEND31 · sector 35

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SLB N.V SLB $57.33 $28.66 −50%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $64.63 $32.40 −50%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $75.27 $27.43 −64%
Halliburton Company HAL $36.18 $21.50 −41%
Tenaris S.A TS $53.09 $45.68 −14%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥144.58 ¥34.17 −76%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.57 €2.72 −40%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 341.20 kr 221.37 −35%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.31 ¥12.64 +3%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €216.20 €95.01 −56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR (SMBMY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.49 versus a price of $15.41, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SMBMY?
Our model-based fair value for Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR is $13.49 (as of Sep 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $15.41.
What is the quality score of SMBMY?
Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR (SMBMY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $13.49 (as of Sep 6, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $9.46, optimistic scenario $17.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $13.49, about −12% upside versus a price of $15.41 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $9.46, optimistic scenario $17.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR (SMBMY)?
Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SMBMY?
The net profit margin of Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR is about 2.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.56% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR (SMBMY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +38.1 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.5 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +49.5 % per year. As of Sep 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMBMY use?
Our models discount Sembcorp Marine Ltd ADR at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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