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Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company (SMPC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 5.0B THB

SP Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company SMPC · BK
Price9.85 THB
Fair Value15.64 THB
Upside+58.8%
Quality75/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
7.53% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range 11.71 THB – 19.91 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +4.8% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 59% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (75/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (11.71 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

13.08 THB 6.78 THB Fair Value 15.64 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 6.78 THB – 13.08 THB · fair‑value band 11.71 THB – 19.91 THB · the 9.85 THB price screens below the 15.64 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company (SMPC) currently trades at 9.85 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.64 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 58.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company generated revenue of 3.9B THB at a net margin of 16.3%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.1%. Net debt stands at 50.3M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 11.71 THB (bear case) to 19.91 THB (bull case); at 9.85 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 59%, SMPC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 20.18 THB 31.55 THB 48.56 THB 80
Residual Income 6.96 THB 8.72 THB 21.92 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 11.86 THB 17.37 THB 24.00 THB 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 20.03 THB 31.74 THB 49.53 THB 38
Owner Earnings 12.85 THB 20.34 THB 31.72 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 11.86 THB 17.16 THB 23.75 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 12.80 THB 18.96 THB 26.07 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 15.43 THB 24.02 THB 33.13 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 14.45 THB 20.06 THB 27.41 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 15.27 THB 21.31 THB 29.19 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 16.93 THB 24.79 THB 34.59 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 7.62 THB 26.90 THB 36.19 THB 54
Lynch FV 6.29 THB 8.99 THB 11.69 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 6.29 THB 8.99 THB 11.69 THB 46
EPV 9.28 THB 10.73 THB 11.99 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 5.88 THB 11.71 THB 17.73 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 5.88 THB 10.12 THB 12.36 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 14.29 THB 19.06 THB 23.82 THB 63
P/S Multiple 8.13 THB 10.84 THB 13.55 THB 58
P/B Multiple 13.77 THB 18.36 THB 22.95 THB 55
EV/EBIT 11.89 THB 15.82 THB 19.75 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 9.84 THB 13.09 THB 16.34 THB 54
EV/Revenue 7.68 THB 10.93 THB 14.18 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.06 THB 4.10 THB 6.12 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 20.18 THB 31.55 THB 48.56 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 11.86 THB 17.37 THB 24.00 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 6.96 THB 8.72 THB 21.92 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 10.01 THB 12.83 THB 16.32 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 10.72 THB 15.32 THB 19.91 THB 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (20.34 THB) versus Asset-Based (4.10 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.9B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.6%
Net margin 16.3%
Return on equity 20.1%
Free cash flow 957M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 8.0
More key figures
Operating margin 15.8%
EPS (TTM) 1.18 THB
Dividend yield 7.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +26.0%
Net debt 50.3M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 75/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of LPG and other pressure cylinders in Asia, Africa, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of LPG and other pressure cylinders in Asia, Africa, the United States, and internationally. The company offers LPG cylinders, including 2-piece and 3-piece cylinders; automotive LPG cylinders, such as multi-valve system, 3-separated valve system, and automotive LPG toroidal; other pressure valves, such as air receivers " automotive components, refrigerant cylinders, propane cylinders for forklifts, methyl bromide cylinders, lubricant cylinders, chlorine cylinders, sulfur dioxide, and ammonia cylinders; and parts and components, including collar, footring, spud/bung, and cylinder cap. It also provides reconditioning services for pre-owned pressure vessels covering damaged cylinder, paint coating, and valve replacements. The company was founded in 1981 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company reported revenue of 3.9B THB in FY2025 versus 4.6B THB in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was 600M THB in FY2025, compounding −4.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.9B THB
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Revenue −4.0%/yr
FY21 4.6B THB
FY22 5.2B THB
FY23 3.8B THB
FY24 4.6B THB
FY25 3.9B THB
Net income −4.7%/yr
FY21 728M THB
FY22 829M THB
FY23 371M THB
FY24 598M THB
FY25 600M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +2.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.1 pp

of which total revenue +3.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp

EBIT margin −1.1 pp
Tax rate +0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMPC

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +59% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.54× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.29× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 9
FUTURE 13 · sector 1
PAST 80 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 42

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company (SMPC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15.64 THB versus a price of 9.85 THB, about +59% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SMPC?
Our model-based fair value for Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company is 15.64 THB (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 9.85 THB.
What is the quality score of SMPC?
Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company (SMPC)?
Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SMPC?
The net profit margin of Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company is about 16.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company pay a dividend?
Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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