SAMCO Inc (SMU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of SAMCO Inc €42.76, price €51.00, upside -16.2%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
In Frankfurt, only 1 of the last 20 trading days (30 days) had any turnover. On the other days the price is an indicative quote without trading, so we do not list this stock in the radar. It stays reachable through search.
SIBroad dataOct 1, 2026
SAMCO Inc
SMU · F
Overvalued / MonitorQuality growthQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €11.64 – €86.58 · fair‑value band €29.94 – €55.58 · the €51.00 price screens above the €42.76 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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SAMCO Inc. manufactures and sales semiconductor and materials in Japan and internationally. The company primarily offers thin film deposition, microfabrication, cleaning, and surface treatment products.
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SAMCO Inc. manufactures and sales semiconductor and materials in Japan and internationally. The company primarily offers thin film deposition, microfabrication, cleaning, and surface treatment products. Its deposition systems include atomic layer deposition systems, Plasma enhanced chemical vapor deposition (PECVD) systems, liquid source CVD systems, and diamond-like carbon coating systems; and etching systems comprise inductively coupled plasma (ICP), silicon deep reactive ion, reactive ion, and xenon difluoride etching systems. It also provides Aqua Plasma cleaner, a plasma processing equipment; plasma cleaners; and UV ozone cleaners. The company was formerly known as SAMCO International, Inc. and changed its name to SAMCO Inc. in December 2004. SAMCO Inc. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.
Stock analysis
SAMCO Inc (SMU) currently trades at €51.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €42.76, 16.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €26.54 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the €51.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €5.77, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €29.94 (bear) to €55.58 (bull), the price of €51.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
SAMCO Inc reported revenue of ¥8.2B in FY2024 versus ¥5.9B in FY2020, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.5B in FY2024, compounding +23.4%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap €410M · P/E ratio 33.1 · P/S ratio 5.94 · EPS (TTM) €1.54 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 17.9% · Return on equity 15.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 162% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −16%, SMU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €29.94Fair Value €42.76Bull €55.58
Price €51.00 · Upside -16.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+31.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+29.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 25%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 217 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SAMCO Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMU.F
Frequently asked questions
Is SAMCO Inc (SMU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €42.76 versus a price of €51.00, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SMU?
Our model-based fair value for SAMCO Inc is €42.76 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €51.00.
What is the quality score of SMU?
SAMCO Inc has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €42.76 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €29.94, optimistic scenario €55.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SAMCO Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €42.76, about −16% upside versus a price of €51.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €29.94, optimistic scenario €55.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
SAMCO Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥10.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does SAMCO Inc pay a dividend?
SAMCO Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.85% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SAMCO Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +27.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.7 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMU use?
Our models discount SAMCO Inc at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.65, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SAMCO Inc that is +27.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SAMCO Inc (SMU) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SAMCO Inc grew +10.7 % a year. The price currently implies +27.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SAMCO Inc (SMU) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SAMCO Inc (+27.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.91 %: that much free cash flow SAMCO Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SAMCO Inc it is €42.76 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of €51.00. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SAMCO Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, SMU trades above its calculated fair value: price €51.00, fair value €42.76, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€51.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€42.76). For SAMCO Inc the two are €8.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SAMCO Inc worth?
The market values SAMCO Inc at about €410M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is €51.00; our models calculate a fair value of €42.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMU?
Our models span a range for SAMCO Inc: cautious scenario €29.94, base €42.76, optimistic €55.58 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price €51.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMU?
SAMCO Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.1 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €42.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.9, P/S 6.7, EV/EBITDA 21.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
Balance-sheet figures for SAMCO Inc (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 15.3%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMU from its 52-week high?
SAMCO Inc trades at €51.00, about 41% below its 52-week high of €86.58 and 162% above the low of €19.49 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €42.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SAMCO Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Lam Research Corporation, Applied Materials, Inc, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SAMCO Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price €51.00, calculated fair value €42.76 (−16%), Quality Score 72/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMU calculated?
We run SAMCO Inc through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €42.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. SAMCO Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was €51.00. Our model-based fair value is €42.76, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SAMCO Inc right now?
A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. A fairly wide model range (€29.94 to €55.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of SAMCO Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
The market capitalisation of SAMCO Inc is €410M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SAMCO Inc is 5.94 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
Earnings per share at SAMCO Inc are €1.54 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
The dividend yield of SAMCO Inc is 1.9% (payout 61.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
The net margin of SAMCO Inc is 17.9% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SAMCO Inc is 15.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SAMCO Inc is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
The operating margin of SAMCO Inc is 34.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
Revenue at SAMCO Inc is growing +9.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SAMCO Inc (SMU)?
Earnings per share at SAMCO Inc are growing +17.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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