Simon Property Group (SPG) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $81.5B
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +10.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $153.93 – $229.43 · fair‑value band $63.23 – $159.46 · the $225.49 price screens above the $86.11 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.
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Simon Property Group (SPG) currently trades at $225.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $86.11 — implying the stock looks roughly 61.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 90/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Simon Property Group generated revenue of $6.6B at a net margin of 70.6%. Revenue grew 19.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 113.6%. Net debt stands at $28.4B. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Simon Property Group, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT). Simon Property Group, L.P., or the Operating Partnership, is our majority-owned partnership subsidiary that owns all of our real estate properties and other assets. In this package, the terms Simon, we, our, or the Company refer to Simon Property Group, Inc., the Operating Partnership, and its subsidiaries. We own, develop and manage premier shopping, dining, entertainment and mixed-use destinations, which consist primarily of malls, Premium Outlets, The Mills, and International Properties. At December 31, 2024, we owned or had an interest in 229 properties comprising 183 million square feet in North America, Asia and Europe. We also owned an 88% interest in The Taubman Realty Group, or TRG, which owns 22 regional, super-regional, and outlet malls in the U.S. and Asia. Additionally, at December 31, 2024, we had a 22.4% ownership interest in Klepierre, a publicly traded, Paris-base…
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Simon Property Group reported revenue of $6.4B in FY2025 versus $5.1B in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was $4.6B in FY2025, compounding +19.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
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External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
6 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Realty Income Corporation O | 1,055 MXN | 664.56 MXN | -37% |
| Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE UNBLF | $117.90 | $115.55 | -2% |
| Kimco Realty Corporation KIM | $25.42 | $12.60 | -50% |
| Scentre Group STGPF | $2.65 | $2.31 | -13% |
| CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) CPAMF | $1.86 | $1.07 | -42% |
| Regency Centers Corporation REG | $77.36 | $48.40 | -37% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.