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Data-driven stock valuation

Realty Income Corporation (O) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Realty Income Corporation is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Real Estate · US · Market cap $56.2B · ISIN US7561091049

At a glance

RI Realty Income Corporation logo Realty Income Corporation O · US
Price$61.25
Fair Value$30.45
Upside−50.3%
Quality47/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 101% above our fair value of $30.45.

As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of Realty Income Corporation is $30.45 per share against a price of $61.25, so the fair value sits 50% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +28.4 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 18.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·5.28% dividend yield
!Trails peers (1/15)
!Moderate moat 59/100
!Weak on past: 11 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $29.33 to $30.45

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price −2.3% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($30.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band ($29.33 to $30.45), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$66.68 $39.83 Fair Value $30.45 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $39.83 – $66.68 · fair‑value band $29.33 – $30.45 · the $61.25 price screens above the $30.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Realty Income Corporation (O) currently trades at $61.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.45, implying the stock looks roughly 101.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $96.75 per share, and 4 of the 14 models we run sit above the $61.25 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $19.30, and 10 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Realty Income Corporation generated revenue of $5.9B at a net margin of 18.9%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at $32.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Scenario range: $29.33 (bear) to $30.45 (bull), the price of $61.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −50%, O screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $30.63 $29.99 $25.21 76
Growth DCF $32.21 $96.75 $200.56 72
FCF DCF $34.15 $85.21 $216.89 71
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $34.15 $85.21 $216.89 71
5Y Revenue Exit $1.69 $20.71 $46.33 64
5Y EBITDA Exit $28.47 $81.00 $151.04 70
10Y Revenue Exit $10.88 $34.02 $69.11 61
10Y EBITDA Exit $29.92 $80.52 $165.92 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $28.76 $59.80 $94.87 66
DDM Multi-Stage $28.76 $50.42 $62.76 66
Multiples
P/S Multiple $14.47 $19.30 $24.12 58
P/B Multiple $14.47 $19.30 $24.12 55
EV/EBIT $0.5500 $10.14 $19.74 57
EV/EBITDA $28.52 $47.44 $66.36 65
EV/Revenue n/a n/a $1.25 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $21.15 $28.34 $42.29 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $32.21 $96.75 $200.56 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $30.63 $29.99 $25.21 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($96.75) versus Multiples ($19.30). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 50.2
P/S ratio 9.24 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.22 price ÷ EPS = P/E 50.2
Dividend yield 5.3%
Net margin 18.4% FY2025
Return on equity 2.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 45.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $5.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.0% 3y avg +19.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $4.0B FY2025
Net debt $32.4B FY2025 · ≈ 8.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 24
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Realty Income Corporation, an S&P 500 company, is real estate partner to the world's leading companies. They serve their clients as a full-service real estate capital provider. As of March 31, 2026, They have a portfolio of over 15,500 properties in all 50 states of the United States (U.S.), the United Kingdom (U.K.), and eight other countries in Europe.

Full company description

Realty Income Corporation, an S&P 500 company, is real estate partner to the world's leading companies. They serve their clients as a full-service real estate capital provider. As of March 31, 2026, They have a portfolio of over 15,500 properties in all 50 states of the United States (U.S.), the United Kingdom (U.K.), and eight other countries in Europe. They are known as (The Monthly Dividend Company) and have a mission to invest in people and places to deliver dependable monthly dividends that increase over time. Since their founding, they have declared 671 consecutive monthly dividends and are a member of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats index for having increased dividend for over 31 consecutive years. The firm was founded and incorporated in 1969 in Maryland and is based in San Diego, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Realty Income Corporation reported revenue of $5.7B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound +28.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding +31.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.7B
Latest YoY
+9.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (32Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+4.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−1.1%
Dividend yield5.3%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 0.4% vs 10Y −0.5%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.48.1% (2020) → 28.3% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop24% (2024) · in USD
Revenue +28.9%/yr
FY21 $2.1B
FY22 $3.3B
FY23 $4.1B
FY24 $5.3B
FY25 $5.7B
Net income +31.0%/yr
FY21 $359M
FY22 $869M
FY23 $872M
FY24 $861M
FY25 $1.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −0.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.9 %

of which total revenue +19.4 % · buybacks/dilution −12.9 %

EBIT margin −2.9 %
Tax rate −0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

O screens 101% overvalued. Compare with Simon Property Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Realty Income Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/O

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Retail · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −50% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 46% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.68× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 50.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.42× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 9.47× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 14.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 15.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 5.75× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Realty Income Corporation deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+6.1 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+28.4 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+1.5 %
FCF yield on price7.21 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.6 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 15
FUTURE60 · sector 22
PAST11 · sector 30
HEALTH66 · sector 67
DIVIDEND100 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simon Property Group SPG $212.32 $84.26 −60%
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW €103.40 €98.09 −5%
Kimco Realty Corporation KIM $23.71 $12.49 −47%
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U 2.38 SGD 0.9100 SGD −62%
Scentre Group SCG A$3.56 A$3.34 −6%
Regency Centers Corporation REG $75.92 $33.37 −56%
Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 HK$39.76 HK$41.98 +6%
Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT $117.09 $41.47 −65%
Brixmor Property Group BRX $29.50 $12.34 −58%
Agree Realty Corporation ADC $73.20 $38.85 −47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Realty Income Corporation (O) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $30.45 versus a price of $61.25, about −50% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of O?
Our model-based fair value for Realty Income Corporation is $30.45 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $61.25.
What is the quality score of O?
Realty Income Corporation has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Realty Income Corporation (O)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $30.45 (as of Aug 30, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $29.33, optimistic scenario $30.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Realty Income Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $30.45, about −50% upside versus a price of $61.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $29.33, optimistic scenario $30.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Realty Income Corporation (O)?
Realty Income Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of O?
The net profit margin of Realty Income Corporation is about 18.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Realty Income Corporation pay a dividend?
Realty Income Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.28% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into Realty Income Corporation (O)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Realty Income Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +6.1 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.6 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +28.4 % per year. As of Aug 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of O use?
Our models discount Realty Income Corporation at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.73, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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