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Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk (SSMS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 7.8T IDR (≈ $776M) · ISIN ID1000130008

What is Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk really worth?

SS Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk SSMS · JK
Price1,180 IDR
Fair Value1,828 IDR
Upside+54.9%
Quality69/100

A solid business, trading 35% below our fair value of 1,828 IDR.

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Strengths

✓Ranks above peers (11/14)
✓Wide moat 68/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +29.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.7% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range 832.87 IDR to 3,256 IDR
Evidence: Low Range 832.87 IDR – 3,256 IDR

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 2,978 IDR to 1,828 IDR (−38.6%) since Jul 13, 2026. Share price +19.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (832.87 IDR to 3,256 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2,029 IDR 616.54 IDR Fair Value 1,828 IDR Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 616.54 IDR – 2,029 IDR · fair‑value band 832.87 IDR – 3,256 IDR · the 1,180 IDR price screens below the 1,828 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk (SSMS) currently trades at 1,180 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,828 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 35.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 3,866 IDR per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the 1,180 IDR price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 812.64 IDR, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk generated revenue of 14.7T IDR at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue declined 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 36.7%. Net debt stands at 7.5T IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 832.87 IDR (bear case) to 3,256 IDR (bull case); at 1,180 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 82% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 55%, SSMS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 94.81 IDR per share, which is 5.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence 1,720 IDR 2,108 IDR 2,453 IDR 74
FCF DCF 590.35 IDR 1,377 IDR 3,684 IDR 70
5Y EBITDA Exit 2,081 IDR 4,814 IDR 9,793 IDR 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 590.35 IDR 1,377 IDR 3,684 IDR 70
Owner Earnings 1,830 IDR 4,917 IDR 11,673 IDR 68
5Y Revenue Exit 1,067 IDR 2,609 IDR 5,610 IDR 67
5Y EBITDA Exit 2,081 IDR 4,814 IDR 9,793 IDR 70
5Y P/E Exit 1,415 IDR 3,696 IDR 6,655 IDR 67
10Y Revenue Exit 864.35 IDR 2,649 IDR 4,944 IDR 62
10Y EBITDA Exit 1,664 IDR 4,604 IDR 10,142 IDR 62
10Y P/E Exit 1,184 IDR 3,319 IDR 7,055 IDR 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 964.30 IDR 6,697 IDR 9,397 IDR 63
Lynch FV 1,975 IDR 2,822 IDR 3,669 IDR 61
PEG = 1.0 1,975 IDR 2,822 IDR 3,669 IDR 57
EPV best evidence 1,720 IDR 2,108 IDR 2,453 IDR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 454.40 IDR 992.04 IDR 1,669 IDR 65
DDM Multi-Stage 454.40 IDR 812.64 IDR 1,034 IDR 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2,233 IDR 2,978 IDR 3,722 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 1,808 IDR 2,411 IDR 3,013 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 986.42 IDR 1,315 IDR 1,644 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 3,041 IDR 4,214 IDR 5,388 IDR 66
EV/EBITDA 2,680 IDR 3,734 IDR 4,788 IDR 67
EV/Revenue 1,153 IDR 1,852 IDR 2,552 IDR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 119.57 IDR 160.22 IDR 239.13 IDR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 544.25 IDR 1,620 IDR 3,759 IDR 70
Rev-Margin DCF 1,067 IDR 2,757 IDR 5,280 IDR 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1,465 IDR 2,493 IDR 63,272 IDR 64
ROIC Compounder 2,239 IDR 3,452 IDR 5,155 IDR 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2,707 IDR 3,866 IDR 5,026 IDR 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (3,866 IDR) versus Asset-Based (160.22 IDR). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.4
P/S ratio 0.77 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 140.14 IDR price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.4
Dividend yield 6.7% payout 56.8%
Net margin 9.1% FY2025
Return on equity 36.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 15.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 17.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 14.7T IDR TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −2.1% 3y avg +9.6%
EPS growth (YoY) −6.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 614B IDR FY2025
Net debt 7.5T IDR FY2025 · ≈ 12.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 89
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

PT Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells crude palm oil, its derivatives, fresh fruit bunches, palm kernel oil, and palm kernel in Indonesia and internationally. The company operates palm oil estates, palm oil plantations, palm oil mills, and a biogas plant.

Full company description

PT Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells crude palm oil, its derivatives, fresh fruit bunches, palm kernel oil, and palm kernel in Indonesia and internationally. The company operates palm oil estates, palm oil plantations, palm oil mills, and a biogas plant. It also provides consulting, trading, industrial estate, and other business support services. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Pangkalan Bun, Indonesia. PT Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk. is a subsidiary of PT Citra Borneo Indah.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk reported revenue of 14.8T IDR in FY2025 versus 5.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +29.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.4T IDR in FY2025, compounding −2.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
14.8T IDR
Latest YoY
+40.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (15Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in IDR) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+25.3% (18.6 + 6.7)
Revenue +29.9%/yr
FY21 5.2T IDR
FY22 11.2T IDR
FY23 10.7T IDR
FY24 10.5T IDR
FY25 14.8T IDR
Net income −2.8%/yr
FY21 1.5T IDR
FY22 1.8T IDR
FY23 512B IDR
FY24 820B IDR
FY25 1.4T IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +19.5 %

of which total revenue +19.5 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −9.3 %
Tax rate −0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk · Fair Value
1,828 IDR +35%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SSMS

Peer Group

Farm Products · 300 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +55% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 2.39× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.53× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.4× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 26
FUTURE0 · sector 21
PAST100 · sector 19
HEALTH0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND100 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $81.54 $38.02 −53%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.15 ¥47.42 +18%
Bunge Global SA BG $111.57 $56.19 −50%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $55.40 $28.60 −48%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥13.80 ¥11.18 −19%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 206.00 kr 260.70 +27%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥201.06 ¥143.09 −29%
United Plantations Berhad 2089 32.60 MYR 23.34 MYR −28%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 23.40 THB 43.24 THB +85%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 2,960 IDR 6,818 IDR +130%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk (SSMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,828 IDR versus a price of 1,180 IDR, about +55% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SSMS?
Our model-based fair value for Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk is 1,828 IDR (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,180 IDR.
What is the quality score of SSMS?
Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk (SSMS)?
Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.7T IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SSMS?
The net profit margin of Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk is about 7.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk pay a dividend?
Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.75% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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