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Starz Entertainment Corp (STRZ) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $452M

SE Starz Entertainment Corp logo Starz Entertainment Corp STRZ · US
Price$26.22
Fair Value$28.63
Upside+9.2%
Quality47/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -13.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: Medium Range $12.96 – $34.68 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −10.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($12.96 to $34.68). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (15 months)

$30.21 $8.65 Fair Value $28.63 May 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range $8.65 – $30.21 · fair‑value band $12.96 – $34.68 · the $26.22 price screens below the $28.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Starz Entertainment Corp (STRZ) currently trades at $26.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.63, implying the stock looks roughly 9.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Starz Entertainment Corp generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of -13.2%. Revenue declined 7.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -34.7%. Net debt stands at $512M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.96 (bear case) to $34.68 (bull case); at $26.22, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 212% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at 9%, STRZ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $4.41 $15.57 $32.86 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.80 $22.30 $45.02 74
Gordon GGM $26.56 $28.63 $31.71 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.16 $14.93 $34.68 38
5Y Revenue Exit $3.80 $21.28 $46.67 39
10Y Revenue Exit $2.31 $14.40 $27.26 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $26.56 $28.63 $31.71 70
DDM Multi-Stage $26.56 $31.62 $38.14 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue $7.86 $26.49 $45.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.26 $19.10 $28.51 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.41 $15.57 $32.86 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.80 $22.30 $45.02 74

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($28.63) versus DCF Models ($14.93). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.2%
Net margin -13.2%
Return on equity -34.7%
Free cash flow $80.2M FY2026
Operating margin -4.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-16.80
Net debt $512M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 96
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Starz Entertainment Corp. provides subscription video programming services to consumers in the United States and Canada.

Full company description

Starz Entertainment Corp. provides subscription video programming services to consumers in the United States and Canada. The company distributes STARZ-branded premium subscription video services through over-the-top streaming platforms and distributors on a direct-to-consumer basis through the Starz App, as well as through wholesale OTT and multichannel video programming distributors, including cable operators, satellite television providers, and telecommunications companies. Starz Entertainment Corp. was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Starz Entertainment Corp reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2026 versus $3.6B in FY2022, a compound −23.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$403M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.3B
Latest YoY
−8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−31.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.9%
Revenue −23.1%/yr
FY22 $3.6B
FY23 $3.9B
FY24 $1.4B
FY25 $1.4B
FY26 $1.3B
Net income
FY22 −$188M
FY23 −$2.0B
FY24 −$915M
FY25 −$211M
FY26 −$403M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Starz Entertainment Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STRZ

Peer Group

Entertainment · 265 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +9% · Above median
Return on assets -1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -13% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -4% · Below median
Revenue growth -7% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.46× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.94× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.36× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 5.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 46 · sector 6
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 27 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹298.25 ₹63.45 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Starz Entertainment Corp (STRZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.63 versus a price of $26.22, about +9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of STRZ?
Our model-based fair value for Starz Entertainment Corp is $28.63 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $26.22.
What is the quality score of STRZ?
Starz Entertainment Corp has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Starz Entertainment Corp (STRZ)?
Starz Entertainment Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of STRZ?
The net profit margin of Starz Entertainment Corp is about -13.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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