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Südzucker AG (SUEZY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.9B

SA Südzucker AG logo Südzucker AG SUEZY · US
Price$5.98
Fair Value$6.49
Upside+8.5%
Quality37/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -4.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.64% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.01 – $11.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $6.44 to $6.49 (+0.8%) since Jun 24, 2026.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($3.01 to $11.87). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$9.59 $5.09 Fair Value $6.49 Aug 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.09 – $9.59 · fair‑value band $3.01 – $11.87 · the $5.98 price screens below the $6.49 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Südzucker AG (SUEZY) currently trades at $5.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.49, implying the stock looks roughly 8.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Südzucker AG generated revenue of $8.4B at a net margin of -4.3%. Revenue declined 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.0%. Net debt stands at $2.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.01 (bear case) to $11.87 (bull case); at $5.98, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 9%, SUEZY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.8600 $1.02 $1.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.8600 $1.12 $1.44 61
EV/EBITDA $6.51 $9.65 $12.79 54
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.20 $5.67 $10.37 41
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.3300 $2.75 $5.56 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.8600 $1.02 $1.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.8600 $1.12 $1.44 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $6.51 $9.65 $12.79 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.63 $3.53 $5.27 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($9.65) versus Dividend Discount ($1.02). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $8.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.4%
Net margin -4.3%
Return on equity -10.0%
Free cash flow $19.5M FY2026
Operating margin 2.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.10
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -71.9%
Net debt $2.5B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Südzucker AG produces and sells sugar products in Germany and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Sugar, Special Products, CropEnergies, Starch, and Fruit.

Full company description

Südzucker AG produces and sells sugar products in Germany and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Sugar, Special Products, CropEnergies, Starch, and Fruit. The Sugar segment produces and sells sugar, sugar specialty products, glucose syrup, and animal feed to food industry, retailers, and agriculture markets, as well as offers by-products of sugar. The Special Products segment produces functional ingredients, including dietary fibers, sugar substitutes, sugar, and vegetable texturates for food, animal feed, non-food, and pharmaceutical industries. This segment also offers frozen and chilled pizzas, frozen pasta, snacks, dressings, sauces, baguettes, breadsnacks, portion packed articles, and non-food products to hotels, caterers, food retailers, and restaurants. The CropEnergies segment produces fuel-grade ethanol, neutral alcohol, protein-based food and animal feed, and liquid CO2 to oil companies and traders, food and animal feed producers, beverage, cosmetics, and industrial and pharmaceutical companies. The Starch segment offers starches, saccharification products, ethanol, and byproducts, which include animal feed and fertilizers to food, paper, textiles, industrial chemicals, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, petroleum, and animal feed industries. The Fruit segment produces fruit preparations for the dairy, ice cream, baked goods, and food service industries; and fruit juice concentrates, not-from- concentrate juices, fruit wines, natural aromas, and beverage bases for beverage industry. The company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in Mannheim, Germany. Südzucker AG is a subsidiary of Süddeutsche Zuckerrübenverwertungs-Genossenschaft eG.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Südzucker AG reported revenue of $8.2B in FY2026 versus $7.6B in FY2022, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$354M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 33/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$8.2B
Latest YoY
−15.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+1.9%
Revenue +1.8%/yr
FY22 $7.6B
FY23 $9.5B
FY24 $10.3B
FY25 $9.7B
FY26 $8.2B
Net income
FY22 $77.7M
FY23 $412M
FY24 $589M
FY25 −$78.0M
FY26 −$354M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Südzucker AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SUEZY

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +9% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.73× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.35× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.35× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 148.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 45 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 63 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 33 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Südzucker AG (SUEZY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.49 versus a price of $5.98, about +9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SUEZY?
Our model-based fair value for Südzucker AG is $6.49 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.98.
What is the quality score of SUEZY?
Südzucker AG has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Südzucker AG (SUEZY)?
Südzucker AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SUEZY?
The net profit margin of Südzucker AG is about -4.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Südzucker AG pay a dividend?
Südzucker AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.64% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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