Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) $3.06, price $22.16, upside -86.2%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range $5.60 – $344.51 · fair‑value band $2.28 – $3.98 · the $22.16 price screens above the $3.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
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Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ), a biopharma company, provides medicines in the areas of haematology, immunology, and specialty care in Europe, North America, the Middle East, Asia, and Australia. The company operates through three segments: Haematology, Immunology, and Specialty Care.
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Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ), a biopharma company, provides medicines in the areas of haematology, immunology, and specialty care in Europe, North America, the Middle East, Asia, and Australia. The company operates through three segments: Haematology, Immunology, and Specialty Care. It offers Alprolix for haemophilia B; ALTUVOCT for the treatment and prophylaxis of bleeding in patients with haemophilia A; Aspaveli/Empaveli for treating adult patients with paroxysmal nocturnal haemoglobinuria; Doptelet for the treatment of immune thrombocytopenia and thrombocytopenia; Elocta/Eloctate for the treatment and prophylaxis of bleeding in patients with haemophilia A; Gamifant for treating hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis; Kineret for the treatment of cryopyrin-associated periodic syndrome, rheumatoid arthritis, familial Mediterranean fever, deficiency of interleukin-1 receptor antagonist, and systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis; Orfadin for hereditary tyrosinemia type 1 and alkaptonuria; Synagis for the prevention of serious lower respiratory tract infection caused by respiratory syncytial virus in infants and young children; VONJO, a kinase inhibitor indicated for the treatment of post-polycythemia vera or post-essential thrombocythemia myelofibrosis; and Zynlonta for treating adult patients with relapsed or refractory diffuse large and high grade B-cell lymphoma. The company also provides other medicines, such as Akynzeo, Jyseleca, Tegsedi, and Waylivra, as well as develops drug substances for ReFacto AF/Xyntha for Pfizer. The company has collaboration agreements with Sanofi, Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc., ADC Therapeutics SA, and Cartesian Therapeutics, Inc. The company was incorporated in 1939 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY) currently trades at $22.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.06, 86.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $8.64 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the $22.16 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.02, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $2.28 (bear) to $3.98 (bull), the price of $22.16 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) reported revenue of 28.2B SEK in FY2025 versus 15.5B SEK in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was 478M SEK in FY2025, compounding −35.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $16.8B · P/E ratio 165.7 · P/S ratio 2.81 · EPS (TTM) $0.1400 · Net margin 1.7% · Return on equity 2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% · Revenue (TTM) 27.9B SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −86%, SWOBY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.1400 to $30.09). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $2.28Fair Value $3.06Bull $3.98
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1059 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.88/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−34.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−34.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.29% → 3%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in SEK, Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.7% a year for the price and +9.6% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 569 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside+12.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Return on assets7.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth11.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)165.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.47× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SWOBY
Frequently asked questions
Is Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.06 versus a price of $22.16, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SWOBY?
Our model-based fair value for Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) is $3.06 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $22.16.
What is the quality score of SWOBY?
Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.06 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.28, optimistic scenario $3.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.06, about −86% upside versus a price of $22.16 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.28, optimistic scenario $3.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 27.9B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) would have to grow free cash flow by +1.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.1 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SWOBY use?
Our models discount Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) that is +1.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) grew +13.1 % a year. The price currently implies +1.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (+1.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.04 %: that much free cash flow Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) it is $3.06 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $22.16. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, SWOBY trades above its calculated fair value: price $22.16, fair value $3.06, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SWOBY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($22.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.06). For Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) the two are $19.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) worth?
The market values Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) at about $16.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $22.16; our models calculate a fair value of $3.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SWOBY?
Our models span a range for Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ): cautious scenario $2.28, base $3.06, optimistic $3.98 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $22.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SWOBY?
Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 165.7 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.06 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 4.5, P/S 6.1, EV/EBITDA 14.8.
What is the PEG ratio of SWOBY?
The PEG ratio of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) is 0.33 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 2.3%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SWOBY from its 52-week high?
Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) trades at $22.16, about 24% below its 52-week high of $29.32 and 49% above the low of $14.84 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ)?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Merck KGaA, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $22.16, calculated fair value $3.06 (−86%), Quality Score 47/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SWOBY calculated?
We run Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $22.16. Our model-based fair value is $3.06, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ)
How large is the market capitalisation of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
The market capitalisation of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) is $16.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) is 2.81 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
Earnings per share at Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) are $0.1400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 165.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
The net margin of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) is 1.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
Revenue at Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) is growing +11.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY)?
Earnings per share at Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) are growing +49.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) (SWOBY) carry?
The net debt of Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ) is 10.1B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 29, 2026