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Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, (TDCB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $19.0M

TC Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, logo Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, TDCB · US
Price$19.00
Fair Value$20.82
Upside+9.6%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range $15.61 – $26.02 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +10.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$19.49 $5.81 Fair Value $20.82 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.81 – $19.49 · fair‑value band $15.61 – $26.02 · the $19.00 price screens below the $20.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, (TDCB) currently trades at $19.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.82, implying the stock looks roughly 9.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, generated revenue of $10.7M at a net margin of 18.9%. Revenue grew 12.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at $20.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $15.61 (bear case) to $26.02 (bull case); at $19.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 126% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 10%, TDCB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $9.89 $11.41 $20.70 76
Gordon GGM $1.73 $2.90 $3.76 70
P/E Multiple $15.61 $20.82 $26.02 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.73 $2.90 $3.76 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.73 $2.75 $3.12 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $15.61 $20.82 $26.02 63
P/B Multiple $11.84 $15.78 $19.73 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.64 $7.55 $11.27 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.89 $11.41 $20.70 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($15.78) versus Dividend Discount ($2.75). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $10.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.3%
Net margin 18.9%
Return on equity 16.7%
Free cash flow $2.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.0
More key figures
Operating margin 23.9%
EPS (TTM) $1.61
EPS growth (YoY) +36.8%
Net debt $20.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 95
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, engages in the provision of banking and financial services to individual and corporate customers in Johnson County and surrounding counties in Indiana.

Full company description

Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, engages in the provision of banking and financial services to individual and corporate customers in Johnson County and surrounding counties in Indiana. The company offers checking, savings, health savings accounts, and CDs and IRAs; business checking; treasury management, such as online banking, remote deposit capture, wire transfers, ACH origination, and merchant services; consumer lending, including home remodeling, lot and land, new and used vehicle, and unsecured loans, as well as home equity products; commercial, and mortgage loans; as well as bill pay, online and mobile banking, and e-statements. It also provides 1031 Like-Kind Exchange, overdraft protection, ATM, debit and credit cards, check reorder, safe deposit boxes, trust services, switch kits, and financial calculator. Third Century Bancorp was founded in 1890 and is based in Franklin, Indiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, reported revenue of $18.3M in FY2025 versus $10.5M in FY2021, a compound +14.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.9M in FY2025, compounding −5.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$18.3M
Latest YoY
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.7%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Revenue +14.8%/yr
FY21 $10.5M
FY22 $11.3M
FY23 $14.7M
FY24 $17.0M
FY25 $18.3M
Net income −5.5%/yr
FY21 $2.3M
FY22 $2.1M
FY23 $1.0M
FY24 $1.3M
FY25 $1.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TDCB

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.93× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.77× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 46 · sector 39
FUTURE 62 · sector 44
PAST 67 · sector 41
HEALTH 54 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, (TDCB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.82 versus a price of $19.00, about +10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TDCB?
Our model-based fair value for Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, is $20.82 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $19.00.
What is the quality score of TDCB?
Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, (TDCB)?
Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TDCB?
The net profit margin of Third Century Bancorp, a holding company, is about 18.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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