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T1 Energy Inc (TE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.6B

TE T1 Energy Inc logo T1 Energy Inc TE · US
Price$5.85
Fair Value$0.2210
Upside-96.2%
Quality27/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -42.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0442 – $0.4165 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 7, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −20.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 96% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.4165). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.0442 to $0.4165). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.08 $0.9500 Fair Value $0.2210 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9500 – $16.08 · fair‑value band $0.0442 – $0.4165 · the $5.85 price screens above the $0.2210 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

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Analysis

T1 Energy Inc (TE) currently trades at $5.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2210, implying the stock looks roughly 96.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, T1 Energy Inc generated revenue of $879M at a net margin of -42.3%. Revenue grew 232.3% year over year. Net debt stands at $145M. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0442 (bear case) to $0.4165 (bull case); at $5.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -96%, TE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.3100 $1.12 $2.42 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.1900 $0.7800 $2.01 74
NCAV (Graham) $0.5800 $0.7700 $1.15 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.3700 $0.8800 $2.48 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1200 $0.6100 $1.63 39
10Y Revenue Exit $0.1800 $1.03 $1.55 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue $0.2000 $0.4300 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5800 $0.7700 $1.15 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.3100 $1.12 $2.42 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.1900 $0.7800 $2.01 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.8800) versus Multiples ($0.2000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $879M
Revenue growth (YoY) +232%
Net margin -42.3%
Return on equity -111%
Free cash flow $16.7M FY2025
Operating margin -12.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.87
Net debt $145M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

T1 Energy Inc. provides energy solutions for solar modules and cells in the United States, Norway and internationally. It manufactures and sells photovoltaic solar modules. The company was formerly known as FREYR Battery, Inc. and changed its name to T1 Energy Inc. in February 2025. T1 Energy Inc. is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

T1 Energy Inc reported revenue of $755M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$368M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$755M
Latest YoY
+25,572.8%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
−5.3%
Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $2.9M
FY25 $755M
Net income
FY21 −$93.4M
FY22 −$98.8M
FY23 −$71.9M
FY24 −$450M
FY25 −$368M

TE screens 96% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "T1 Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TE

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −96% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -42% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 232% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.07× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 8.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.97× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 156.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 47 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is T1 Energy Inc (TE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2210 versus a price of $5.85, about −96% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TE?
Our model-based fair value for T1 Energy Inc is $0.2210 (as of Aug 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.85.
What is the quality score of TE?
T1 Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of T1 Energy Inc (TE)?
T1 Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $879M (latest available figure, as of Aug 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TE?
The net profit margin of T1 Energy Inc is about -42.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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