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Telecom Argentina (TECO2) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Telecom Argentina ARS 5,027, price ARS 4,510, upside +11.5%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · AR · ISIN ARP9028N1016

TA Some data Sep 24, 2026

Telecom Argentina

TECO2 · BA

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

Fair value 5,027 ARS · Undervalued (+11%)
!Quality 39/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +94.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.9% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·0.30% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 21 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 6 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

4,755 ARS 139.55 ARS Fair Value 5,027 ARS Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 139.55 ARS – 4,755 ARS · fair‑value band 3,108 ARS – 8,067 ARS · the 4,510 ARS price screens below the 5,027 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, Chile and the United States.

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Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, Chile and the United States. The company offers mobile telecommunications services, including voice communications, high-speed mobile internet content and applications download, online streaming, and other services; and sells mobile communication devices, such as handsets, modems, MiFi and wingles, and smartwatches. It also offers internet connectivity products, including virtual private network services, traditional internet protocol links, and other products; and programming and other cable television services. In addition, the company provides telephone services, including local, domestic, and international long-distance telephone services, as well as public telephone services; and other related supplementary services, such as call waiting, call forwarding, conference calls, caller ID, voice mail, itemized billing, and maintenance services. Further, it offers infrastructure, interconnection, datacenter, internet, value added, and international long-distance services; and data services, including data transmission, virtual private networks, symmetric internet access, national and international signal transport, and videoconferencing services; Personal Pay, a digital wallet service. The company also offers broadcasting, cable television, financial, cybersecurity, ICT services and audiovisual communication, content platform and related services; security solutions and services; closed-circuit and community closed-circuit television, as well as investment and consulting services. The company was formerly known as Cablevisión S.A. and changed its name to Telecom Argentina S.A. in January 2018. Telecom Argentina S.A. was founded in 1979 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Stock analysis

Telecom Argentina (TECO2) currently trades at 4,510 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5,027 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 10.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 11,796 ARS per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the 4,510 ARS price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2,135 ARS, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 3,108 ARS (bear) to 8,067 ARS (bull), the price of 4,510 ARS sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Telecom Argentina reported revenue of 8.3T ARS in FY2025 versus 425B ARS in FY2021, a compound +110.3%/yr. Reported net income was −170B ARS in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 9.7T ARS (≈ $6.8B) · P/E ratio 27.0 · P/S ratio 1.06 · EPS (TTM) 161.83 ARS · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −2.0% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 116% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 11%, TECO2 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 3,108 ARS Fair Value 5,027 ARS Bull 8,067 ARS
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (108.41 ARS per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 1,707 ARS 2,224 ARS 2,670 ARS 74
FCF DCF 8,234 ARS 13,522 ARS 30,010 ARS 72
Growth DCF 7,637 ARS 15,951 ARS 29,345 ARS 72
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 8,234 ARS 13,522 ARS 30,010 ARS 72
Owner Earnings 4,085 ARS 10,957 ARS 24,853 ARS 67
5Y Revenue Exit 4,115 ARS 7,554 ARS 14,691 ARS 66
5Y EBITDA Exit 10,215 ARS 19,884 ARS 38,866 ARS 68
10Y Revenue Exit 5,285 ARS 11,796 ARS 15,420 ARS 64
10Y EBITDA Exit 9,794 ARS 24,629 ARS 50,784 ARS 61
Earnings-Based
EPV 1,707 ARS 2,224 ARS 2,670 ARS 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT 3,234 ARS 4,834 ARS 6,434 ARS 65
EV/EBITDA 10,595 ARS 14,648 ARS 18,702 ARS 67
EV/Revenue 2,074 ARS 3,634 ARS 5,194 ARS 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,594 ARS 2,135 ARS 3,187 ARS 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 7,637 ARS 15,951 ARS 29,345 ARS 72
Rev-Margin DCF 4,663 ARS 8,877 ARS 17,747 ARS 66
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 1,707 ARS 2,224 ARS 2,670 ARS 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 4
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 81
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+53.0%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+125.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+94.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +82.7% a year
Revenue growth 10 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+82.7%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.4% (2020) → 10.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Argentina: IMF forecast 13.8% a year to 2030) that is about +7.3% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 252 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +12% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 31% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.56× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.42× · book value is mostly goodwill Goodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 1.09× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.35× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)49 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)21 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)72 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)6 · sector 77

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 80941 HK$67.45 HK$114.85 +70%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $162.41 $270.48 +67%
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $46.45 $69.92 +51%
AT&T Inc T $25.10 $50.40 +101%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,833 ₹1,883 +3%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.10 ¥8.36 +37%
América Móvil, S.A. AMX $22.29 $32.77 +47%
Saudi Telecom Company 7010 43.66 SAR 41.80 SAR −4%
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 4.32 SGD 2.15 SGD −50%
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 651.00 CHF 505.18 −22%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Telecom Argentina Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TECO2

Frequently asked questions

Is Telecom Argentina (TECO2) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5,027 ARS versus a price of 4,510 ARS, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TECO2?
Our model-based fair value for Telecom Argentina is 5,027 ARS (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4,510 ARS.
What is the quality score of TECO2?
Telecom Argentina has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5,027 ARS (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3,108 ARS, optimistic scenario 8,067 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Telecom Argentina stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5,027 ARS, about +11% upside versus a price of 4,510 ARS (undervalued). Cautious scenario 3,108 ARS, optimistic scenario 8,067 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
Telecom Argentina reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.9T ARS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Telecom Argentina pay a dividend?
Telecom Argentina currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Telecom Argentina would have to grow free cash flow by +22.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 17.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +94.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TECO2 use?
Our models discount Telecom Argentina at 17.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.36, country premium for Argentina. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Telecom Argentina that is +22.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (17.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Telecom Argentina (TECO2) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Telecom Argentina grew +94.2 % a year. The price currently implies +22.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Telecom Argentina (TECO2) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Telecom Argentina (+22.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.22 %: that much free cash flow Telecom Argentina produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (17.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Telecom Argentina it is 5,027 ARS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 4,510 ARS. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Telecom Argentina stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TECO2 trades below its calculated fair value: price 4,510 ARS, fair value 5,027 ARS, a gap of about +11% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TECO2?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4,510 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5,027 ARS). For Telecom Argentina the two are 516.96 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Telecom Argentina worth?
The market values Telecom Argentina at about 9.7T ARS (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 4,510 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 5,027 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TECO2?
Our models span a range for Telecom Argentina: cautious scenario 3,108 ARS, base 5,027 ARS, optimistic 8,067 ARS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 4,510 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TECO2?
Telecom Argentina trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 5,027 ARS is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 1.4, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
What is the PEG ratio of TECO2?
The PEG ratio of Telecom Argentina is 0.35 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
Balance-sheet figures for Telecom Argentina (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TECO2 from its 52-week high?
Telecom Argentina trades at 4,510 ARS, about 5% below its 52-week high of 4,755 ARS and 116% above the low of 2,085 ARS (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5,027 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Telecom Argentina?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, T-Mobile US, Inc, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Telecom Argentina stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 4,510 ARS, calculated fair value 5,027 ARS (+11%), Quality Score 39/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TECO2 calculated?
We run Telecom Argentina through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5,027 ARS, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Telecom Argentina currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 4,510 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 5,027 ARS, about +11% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Telecom Argentina right now?
A fairly wide model range (3,108 ARS to 8,067 ARS) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Telecom Argentina

How large is the market capitalisation of Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
The market capitalisation of Telecom Argentina is 9.7T ARS (≈ $6.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Telecom Argentina is 1.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
Earnings per share at Telecom Argentina are 161.83 ARS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
The dividend yield of Telecom Argentina is 0.3% (payout 8.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
The net margin of Telecom Argentina is −2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Telecom Argentina is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Telecom Argentina is −2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
The operating margin of Telecom Argentina is 12.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
Revenue at Telecom Argentina is growing +30.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +125%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Telecom Argentina (TECO2)?
Earnings per share at Telecom Argentina are growing +439% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Telecom Argentina (TECO2) carry?
The net debt of Telecom Argentina is 5.0T ARS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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