Bank of Greece (TELL) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · GR · Market cap €294M
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from €18.87 to €18.93 (+0.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −0.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €12.90 – €17.25 · fair‑value band €14.19 – €23.66 · the €14.90 price screens below the €18.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Bank of Greece (TELL) currently trades at €14.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €18.93, implying the stock looks roughly 27.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Bank of Greece generated revenue of €712M at a net margin of 36.2%. It earns a return on equity of 7.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 1.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €14.19 (bear case) to €23.66 (bull case); at €14.90, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 27%, TELL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€168.67) versus Asset-Based (€119.56). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bank of Greece operates as the central bank of Greece. It participates in the formulation and implementation of monetary policy in the euro area as a member of the Eurosystem; provides liquidity and accepts deposits from domestic credit institutions; supervises credit and various financial institutions, insurance and reinsurance undertakings, and insurance …
Full company description
Bank of Greece operates as the central bank of Greece. It participates in the formulation and implementation of monetary policy in the euro area as a member of the Eurosystem; provides liquidity and accepts deposits from domestic credit institutions; supervises credit and various financial institutions, insurance and reinsurance undertakings, and insurance distributors, as well as financial institutions under liquidation; and operates as a national resolution authority for the credit and financial institutions. It also provides payment and securities settlement infrastructures; oversees payment systems and means of payment and clearing systems; coordinates with various parties in financial markets; operates electronic secondary securities market; and issues foreign exchange rates and maintains an archive of historical rates. In addition, the company sells and purchases gold sovereigns, bars, coins, and ingots; issues banknotes and coins, and daily price bulletins for gold and gold coins; collects, compiles, and publishes data on monetary and credit, balance of payments and international investment position, national financial accounts, and loan-by-loan credit data; and monitors and assesses developments in the financial systems, adopts measures to reduce the build-up of systemic risk, and enhance the resilience of the financial systems. Further, it prints euro banknotes, euro coins, collector and commemorative coins, securities of the Greek State, and other security documents; acts as treasurer and fiscal agent for the Greek government; executes domestic and cross-border payment orders on behalf of the Greek government; manages the collective investment portfolio of social security organizations and legal entities; and provides custody and depository services to Greek government. The company operates through a network of 15 branches, 32 agencies, and 4 outlets. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Athens, Greece.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bank of Greece reported revenue of €908M in FY2025 versus €993M in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was €258M in FY2025, compounding −47.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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