PT Tifico Fiber Indonesia Tbk (TFCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 3.2T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from 718.00 IDR to 361.28 IDR (−49.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (541.92 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (180.64 IDR to 541.92 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 410.00 IDR – 1,165 IDR · fair‑value band 180.64 IDR – 541.92 IDR · the 740.00 IDR price screens above the 361.28 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
PT Tifico Fiber Indonesia Tbk (TFCO) currently trades at 740.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 361.28 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 51.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Tifico Fiber Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 190M IDR at a net margin of -2.7%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 42.2M IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 180.64 IDR (bear case) to 541.92 IDR (bull case); at 740.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -51%, TFCO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (122,835 IDR) versus Multiples (120.43 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Tifico Fiber Indonesia Tbk engages in the production and sale of polyester products in Indonesia, Japan, Thailand, the United States, China, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through Polyester Chip, Polyester Staple Fiber, Polyester Filament Yarn, and RCL segments. It also exports its products.
Full company description
PT Tifico Fiber Indonesia Tbk engages in the production and sale of polyester products in Indonesia, Japan, Thailand, the United States, China, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through Polyester Chip, Polyester Staple Fiber, Polyester Filament Yarn, and RCL segments. It also exports its products. PT Tifico Fiber Indonesia Tbk was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Tifico Fiber Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 186M IDR in FY2025 versus 214M IDR in FY2021, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was −1.4M IDR in FY2025.
TFCO screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →
Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$44.40 | HK$75.65 | +70% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.56 | ¥14.53 | -38% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.04 | ¥14.35 | +19% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 28.72 TWD | +4% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,083 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥78.00 | ¥11.85 | -85% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥5.18 | ¥2.21 | -57% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹602.20 | ₹437.53 | -27% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 323.84 TRY | +86% |
| Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 | ¥16.75 | ¥6.42 | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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