Tennant Minerals Ltd (TMS) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$16.5M (≈ $11.9M) · ISIN AU0000142945
What is Tennant Minerals Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 77% below our fair value of A$0.0400.
As of Jun 25, 2026, the fair value of Tennant Minerals Ltd is A$0.0400 per share against a price of A$0.0090, so the fair value sits 344% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 72 days ago
Share price +12.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (16/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0300). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0050 – A$0.0770 · fair‑value band A$0.0300 – A$0.0500 · the A$0.0090 price screens below the A$0.0400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.
Analysis
Tennant Minerals Ltd (TMS) currently trades at A$0.0090, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0400, implying the stock looks roughly 77.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 16/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$32.3K. It earns a return on equity of −7.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$1.2M. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0300 (bear case) to A$0.0500 (bull case); at A$0.0090, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 344%, TMS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Tennant Minerals Limited engages in the exploration, development, and mining of minerals. The company explore for gold and copper deposits. Its key assets include the 100% owned Barkly Project that comprises two exploration licenses; and the Babbler project located in the Northern Territory, Australia.
Full company description
Tennant Minerals Limited engages in the exploration, development, and mining of minerals. The company explore for gold and copper deposits. Its key assets include the 100% owned Barkly Project that comprises two exploration licenses; and the Babbler project located in the Northern Territory, Australia. The company was formerly known as Tennant Minerals NL and changed its name to Tennant Minerals Limited in December 2021. Tennant Minerals Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Tennant Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$0 in FY2024 versus A$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −A$1.4M in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 469 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHP | A$66.84 | A$42.16 | −37% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $15.31 | $8.95 | −42% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 65.50 SAR | 33.87 SAR | −48% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.42 | ¥16.15 | −12% |
| Teck Resources Limited TECK | $69.34 | $32.02 | −54% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹573.00 | ₹508.34 | −11% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥66.76 | ¥9.55 | −86% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | −74% |
| Western Mining Co 601168 | ¥37.85 | ¥25.99 | −31% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | −13% |
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