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Transcat, Inc (TRNS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $836M

TI Transcat, Inc logo Transcat, Inc TRNS · US
Price$93.11
Fair Value$11.18
Upside-88.0%
Quality42/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/13)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range $7.44 – $15.11 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $12.09 to $11.18 (−7.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($15.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($7.44 to $15.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$144.07 $47.14 Fair Value $11.18 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $47.14 – $144.07 · fair‑value band $7.44 – $15.11 · the $93.11 price screens above the $11.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Transcat, Inc (TRNS) currently trades at $93.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.18, implying the stock looks roughly 88.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Transcat, Inc generated revenue of $332M at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at $124M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.44 (bear case) to $15.11 (bull case); at $93.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -88%, TRNS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $10.13 $18.74 $29.81 80
Residual Income $21.16 $19.57 $13.94 76
Rev-Margin DCF $5.29 $13.38 $23.05 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $10.11 $20.26 $34.29 38
Owner Earnings $6.69 $15.12 $26.78 31
5Y Revenue Exit $5.29 $13.23 $23.27 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $20.07 $41.58 $67.21 41
5Y P/E Exit $2.70 $8.27 $14.04 38
10Y Revenue Exit $6.68 $14.10 $24.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $15.72 $32.33 $55.36 37
10Y P/E Exit $5.49 $10.91 $17.43 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.91 $13.74 $18.48 54
Lynch FV $3.21 $4.58 $5.96 50
PEG = 1.0 $3.21 $4.58 $5.96 46
EPV $0.2000 $1.24 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.65 $2.97 $4.09 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.65 $2.71 $3.17 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $9.06 $12.09 $15.11 63
P/S Multiple $7.34 $9.78 $12.23 58
P/B Multiple $7.34 $9.78 $12.23 55
EV/EBIT $7.94 $13.97 $20.01 53
EV/EBITDA $31.00 $44.72 $58.44 54
EV/Revenue $2.76 $8.29 $13.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.09 $21.56 $32.18 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10.13 $18.74 $29.81 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.29 $13.38 $23.05 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $21.16 $19.57 $13.94 76
ROIC Compounder $0.2000 $1.24 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $7.83 $11.18 $14.54 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($21.56) versus Economic Profit ($0.2000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $332M
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.8%
Net margin 1.6%
Return on equity 1.8%
Free cash flow $19.6M FY2026
P/E ratio 156.9
More key figures
Operating margin 6.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.5700
EPS growth (YoY) -58.3%
Net debt $124M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 41
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Transcat, Inc. provides calibration and laboratory instrument services in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Service and Distribution. The Service segment offers calibration, repair, inspection, analytical qualification, preventative maintenance, consulting, and other related services.

Full company description

Transcat, Inc. provides calibration and laboratory instrument services in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Service and Distribution. The Service segment offers calibration, repair, inspection, analytical qualification, preventative maintenance, consulting, and other related services. This segment also provides CalTrak, a proprietary document and asset management system that is used to manage the workflow of its calibration service centers and customers' assets; and Compliance, Control, and Cost, an online customer portal that provides its customers with web-based asset management capability, as well as a safe and secure off-site archive of calibration and other service records. The Distribution segment sells and rents test, measurement, and control instruments for customers' test and measurement instrumentation needs, as well as value-added services, such as calibration/certification of equipment purchase, equipment rental, used equipment for sale, and equipment kitting. This segment markets and sells its products through website, digital and print advertising, proactive outbound sales, and an inbound call center. The company provides services and products to highly regulated industries, principally life science, which includes companies in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, medical device, and other FDA-regulated industries; and additional industries, including aerospace and defense, industrial manufacturing, energy and utilities, oil and gas, chemical manufacturing, and other industries that require accuracy in processes and confirmation of the capabilities of their equipment. Transcat, Inc. was incorporated in 1964 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Transcat, Inc reported revenue of $332M in FY2026 versus $205M in FY2022, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was $5.4M in FY2026, compounding −17.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$332M
Latest YoY
+19.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (39Y)
+8.2%
Revenue +12.8%/yr
FY22 $205M
FY23 $231M
FY24 $259M
FY25 $278M
FY26 $332M
Net income −17.1%/yr
FY22 $11.4M
FY23 $10.7M
FY24 $13.6M
FY25 $14.5M
FY26 $5.4M

TRNS screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Transcat, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRNS

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 255 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.33× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 156.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.78× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.52× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 42.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 22.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 24
FUTURE 79 · sector 25
PAST 7 · sector 33
HEALTH 83 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $206.25 $95.30 -54%
RELX PLC RELX $33.70 $32.49 -4%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$133.87 C$70.40 -47%
Copart, Inc CPRT $27.61 $28.59 +4%
Global Payments Inc GPN $80.49 $69.67 -13%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$156.43 C$49.14 -69%
Brambles Limited BXB A$18.79 A$12.28 -35%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $87.76 $33.62 -62%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €62.56 €103.99 +66%
Aramark ARMK $56.74 $13.73 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Transcat, Inc (TRNS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.18 versus a price of $93.11, about −88% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRNS?
Our model-based fair value for Transcat, Inc is $11.18 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $93.11.
What is the quality score of TRNS?
Transcat, Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Transcat, Inc (TRNS)?
Transcat, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $332M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TRNS?
The net profit margin of Transcat, Inc is about 1.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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