PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus IDR 10, price IDR 99, upside -89.4%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nusa Tbk engages in the IT transportation telematics and systems development activities to passenger and freight transportation industries in Indonesia.
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PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nusa Tbk engages in the IT transportation telematics and systems development activities to passenger and freight transportation industries in Indonesia. The company provides safety fleet management system, public transport and logistic solutions, intelligent traffic control system, Internet of Things (IoT) smart bus, tourism solutions, smart street lighting, digital payment solutions, transit-oriented development, terminal operating system, smart command center, railways monitoring solutions, identification and booking system, maintenance and LiDAR system. It also offers Software as a Service solution, including transit management, project management, and smart parking; and telematic smart devices for public transport, maritime and mining sector. In addition, the company provides business process outsourcing, which includes customer service management, human resources, information technology systems, and real-time performance reporting; three-wheel electric vehicle solutions; revolutionizing transportation; battery electric vehicle; new energy vehicle; battery energy storage system; and charging facilities for electric vehicles. PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nusa Tbk was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Jakarta Utara, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON) currently trades at 99.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.48 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 844.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 6.92 IDR (bear) to 13.10 IDR (bull), the price of 99.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus reported revenue of 62.0B IDR in FY2025 versus 108B IDR in FY2022, a compound −16.8%/yr. Reported net income was −36.4B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 292B IDR (≈ $29.2M) · P/S ratio 7.23 · Net margin −58.7% · Return on equity −19.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4% · Operating margin 5.3% · Revenue (TTM) 41.3B IDR · Revenue growth (YoY) −51.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 66% fair-value upside, at −89%, TRON screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 6.92 IDRFair Value 10.48 IDRBull 13.10 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−59.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.8%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
20.3% (2022) → −26.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 490 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−89% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−95% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−51% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 44
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRON
Frequently asked questions
Is PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.48 IDR versus a price of 99.00 IDR, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRON?
Our model-based fair value for PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is 10.48 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 99.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of TRON?
PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10.48 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.92 IDR, optimistic scenario 13.10 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10.48 IDR, about −89% upside versus a price of 99.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.92 IDR, optimistic scenario 13.10 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 41.3B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus it is 10.48 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 99.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TRON trades above its calculated fair value: price 99.00 IDR, fair value 10.48 IDR, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TRON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (99.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10.48 IDR). For PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus the two are 88.52 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus worth?
The market values PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus at about 292B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 99.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 10.48 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TRON?
Our models span a range for PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus: cautious scenario 6.92 IDR, base 10.48 IDR, optimistic 13.10 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 99.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −19.5%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TRON from its 52-week high?
PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus trades at 99.00 IDR, about 69% below its 52-week high of 318.00 IDR and 50% above the low of 66.00 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 10.48 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 99.00 IDR, calculated fair value 10.48 IDR (−89%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TRON calculated?
We run PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 10.48 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 99.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 10.48 IDR, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (13.10 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (6.92 IDR to 13.10 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
The market capitalisation of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is 292B IDR (≈ $29.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is 7.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
The net margin of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is −58.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is −19.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is 8.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
The operating margin of PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
Revenue at PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus is growing −51.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus (TRON)?
Earnings per share at PT Teknologi Karya Digital Nus are growing −95.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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